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← CockpitCompetitor Analysis › 1378.HK ChinahongqiaoOpen in the cockpit ↗

Chinahongqiao1378.HKCompetitor analysis, valuation and peers

Hong Kong · HKD·Materials›Aluminum

World's largest aluminum producer, making primary aluminum and alumina, privately controlled and Shandong-based.

≈ China's Alcoa, but larger and privately ownedMomentum weak 32
Mkt cap
$25.5B
US dollars, full cap
Free float
32%
of shares outstanding
$/day
$101M
20-day average traded
Fwd P/E
5.0×
forward earnings
ROIC−WACC
+11.9 pp
WACC 8.7%
Hurdle
-26 pp
Req g minus delivered
Next earnings
133 days
19 Mar 2027
Close · HKDHK$20.40
1D-3.0%
1W+0.9%
1M-2.8%
3M-15.6%
6M-35.5%
YTD-33.8%
1Y-22.1%
ATR %3.6%
52w lowhigh47.9% off high

What Chinahongqiao does

World's largest aluminum producer, making primary aluminum and alumina, privately controlled and Shandong-based.

Sells aluminum alloy products and alumina, with prices following the exchange price for aluminum, so earnings turn on the gap between that and the cost of bauxite, alumina and power. It owns the alumina refining behind its smelters, with bauxite from Guinea and Indonesia, and has moved smelting capacity to Yunnan to use hydropower. Zhang Shiping's family controls the company.

In one line: China's Alcoa, but larger and privately owned.

Products and services

  • Primary aluminum smelting
  • Alumina refining
  • Aluminum fabricated products

Customers

  • Aluminum fabricators/rollers
  • Construction & auto industries

Where it sits in the supply chain

  • Materials
  • Aluminum
  • Alumina refining & primary aluminum…

What could go right

  • Aluminum demand from EV/renewables

What could go wrong

  • Aluminum price cyclicality
  • Energy-cost/regulatory scrutiny of smelting

Moat: narrow (scale, cost advantage). Largest global production scale and integrated alumina supply give a leading cost position.

Headquarters: Zouping, China · Founded: 1994 · Employees: 51,234

Named competitors

Chinahongqiao at a glance

Size Chinahongqiao (1378.HK) is a Hong Kong Materials company (Aluminum) with a market value of $25.5B, the 65th largest of 891 Hong Kong companies the cockpit tracks. Shares closed at HK$20.40 on 6 Nov 2026.

Performance Over six months the shares fell 35.5%, against -22.9% for the median peer and -13.4% for the Hong Kong market (cap-weighted) — 2nd lowest of 10 in its peer set.

Growth Revenue grew 6.9% over the last twelve months (peer median +15.6%); the operating margin is 24.8% (peer median 26.2%).

Valuation It trades at 5.0× forward earnings against a peer median of 7.1× (cheapest of 11).

Price implies For today's price to make sense, revenue must grow about -13% a year for seven years (Req g). Recent delivered growth is +13%, so the hurdle is -26 pp: the price already allows for a slowdown.

Capital Return on invested capital runs 11.9 points above its cost of capital (8.7% WACC).

Next results Next results expected around 19 Mar 2027 (exchange calendar; dates can move).

Relative performance

608010011 May 202611 Aug 20266 Nov 2026Peer median 751378.HK 63
Six months, rebased to 100: Chinahongqiao against the median of its 10 peers (local-currency closes).

Chinahongqiao financials

Reported figures in HKD; fiscal year ends 2025-12-31. TTM = trailing twelve months.
TTMFY2025FY2024FY2023FY2022
RevenueHK$189BHK$176BHK$169BHK$148BHK$153B
Revenue growth—+4%+15%-4%—
Gross profitHK$54.0BHK$45.0BHK$45.7BHK$23.2BHK$21.2B
EBITDAHK$54.9BHK$46.7BHK$46.7BHK$24.9BHK$22.6B
Net incomeHK$30.9BHK$24.5BHK$24.3BHK$12.7BHK$10.1B
Free cash flowHK$38.6BHK$29.7BHK$20.9BHK$14.1B-HK$6.46B
Capital expenditureHK$5.77BHK$12.1BHK$13.9BHK$8.03BHK$14.9B
Total debtn/aHK$80.8BHK$76.5BHK$70.3BHK$67.1B

Quarterly statements and history in the cockpit →

Chinahongqiao competitor charts

The default views of Competitor Analysis ▸ Charts, drawn from the same data. Open them in the cockpit to change the axes, pin companies and read every value.

Performance: 6-month against 1-month return

-30%-20%-20%-10%0%NHY000807002128VEDLAA6006730009330025326002191378.HK6-month return →1-month return →
Up and to the right = strong over both horizons. Chinahongqiao is the large dot.

Fundamentals: revenue growth against valuation

-40%-20%0%+20%+40%20×40×NHY000807002128VEDLAA6006736002191378.HKRevenue growth (TTM) →Forward P/E →
Further right = faster growth; higher = more expensive. The dashed lines are the peer medians. Chinahongqiao is the large dot.

Capital: growth delivered against growth the price implies

-10%0%+10%-10%0%10%NHY000807002128VEDLAA0009330025326002191378.HKGrowth delivered (Del g) →Growth the price implies (Req g, 7 yrs) →
Above the diagonal = the price needs more growth than the company has been delivering; below = the price already allows for a slowdown. Chinahongqiao is the large dot.

Chinahongqiao competitors and peer comparison

Head to head with its named competitors (1378.HK vs 601600.SS vs AA vs RIO.L)
CompanyMarket cap6M returnRevenue growthOp. marginForward P/EReq g
Chinahongqiao 1378.HK$25.5B-36%+7%25%5.0×-12.8%
Aluminum Corporation of China 601600.SS$20.7B-26%+5%18%6.7×-16.2%
Alcoa AA$10.4B-37%+10%14%7.4×-4.9%
Rio Tinto RIO.L$144B-21%+11%27%10.3×5.6%
Norsk Hydro NHY.OL$14.4B-34%-4%10%8.3×0.4%
Yunnan Aluminium 000807.SZ$12.8B-23%+16%26%5.8×-16.1%
Shandong Nanshan Aluminium 600219.SS$7.53B-19%+4%13%10.7×-5.7%
South32 S32.AX$13.7B-1%-4%15%12.7×6.3%
Century Aluminum CENX$3.31B-43%+10%15%3.2×9.9%

How Chinahongqiao compares with its peers

Peer set: Industry: the same industry and sector in any market, nearest in size. This is the same default set the interactive Competitor Analysis opens with.

Chinahongqiao against its 10 peers (data as of 6 Nov 2026)
Measure1378.HKPeer medianRank in peer set
1-month return-2.8%-5.7%3rd highest of 11
6-month return-35.5%-22.9%2nd lowest of 10
Distance from 52-week high-47.9%-39.6%3rd lowest of 11
Revenue growth (TTM)+6.9%+15.6%4th lowest of 10
Operating margin24.8%26.2%5th lowest of 10
Forward P/E5.0×7.1×cheapest of 11
Growth the price implies (Req g, 7 yrs)-12.8%-11.3%5th least demanding of 9
Growth delivered (Del g)+12.7%+8.9%4th highest of 9
Hurdle (Req g minus delivered)-25.5 pp-14.8 pp3rd least demanding of 9
ROIC minus cost of capital+11.9 pp+10.4 pp6th highest of 11
EV / EBITDA4.1×3.9×2nd most expensive of 4
Net debt / EBITDA0.2×0.3×2nd least indebted of 4

Peer table

Peer set: Industry: the same industry and sector in any market, nearest in size
CompanyMarketMarket cap6M returnRevenue growthOp. marginForward P/EReq gDelivered g
Chinahongqiao 1378.HKHong Kong$25.5B-36%+7%25%5.0×-12.8%+12.7%
Vedanta Aluminium Metal VAML.NSIndia$15.6Bn/an/an/a6.7×n/an/a
Norsk Hydro NHY.OLNorway$14.4B-34%-4%10%8.3×0.4%+12.7%
Yunnan Aluminium 000807.SZChina$12.8B-23%+16%26%5.8×-16.1%+15.2%
Inner Mongolia Dian Tou Energy 002128.SZChina$12.1B-16%+47%34%9.3×-15.4%+8.5%
Vedanta VEDL.NSIndia$10.8B-14%-37%28%6.0×-9.5%-3.1%
Alcoa AAUnited States$10.4B-37%+10%14%7.4×-4.9%+7.1%
Guangdong HEC Technology 600673.SSChina$10.4B-35%+30%6%51.0×n/an/a
Henan Shenhuo Coal Industary and Electricity Power 000933.SZChina$8.45B-21%+17%26%6.2×-16.2%+17.0%
Tianshan Aluminum 002532.SZChina$8.36B-28%+17%31%6.4×-13.0%+1.4%
Shandong Nanshan Aluminium 600219.SSChina$7.53B-19%+4%13%10.7×-5.7%+9.4%

Questions

Who are Chinahongqiao's main competitors?
Named competitors: Aluminum Corporation of China (601600.SS), Alcoa (AA), Rio Tinto (RIO.L), Norsk Hydro (NHY.OL), Yunnan Aluminium (000807.SZ), Nanshan Aluminium (600219.SS). The cockpit's measured peer set (industry) also includes Vedanta Aluminium Metal (VAML.NS), Norsk Hydro (NHY.OL), Yunnan Aluminium (000807.SZ), Inner Mongolia Dian Tou Energy (002128.SZ), Vedanta (VEDL.NS), Alcoa (AA).
Is Chinahongqiao expensive compared with its peers?
On forward p/e it trades at 5.0× against a peer median of 7.1×, cheapest of 11 in its peer set. For today's price to make sense, revenue must grow about -13% a year for seven years (Req g). Recent delivered growth is +13%, so the hurdle is -26 pp: the price already allows for a slowdown.
How has Chinahongqiao stock performed?
Over six months to 6 Nov 2026 the shares returned -35.5% against -22.9% for the median peer; over one year -22.1%.

How these numbers are made. Returns are close-to-close in local currency. Revenue growth and margins are trailing twelve months. Req g is the revenue growth that today's enterprise value requires for seven years at the company's own cost of capital; Delivered g is what it actually grew; the gap is the hurdle (honest precision about ±8 points, so read the ranking more than the decimal). No fair values, price targets or analyst ratings are shown, by design. Method and validation.