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Tokyo Gas Co9531.TCompetitor analysis, valuation and peers

Japan · JPY·Utilities›Gas Distributors

Japan's largest gas utility, distributing city gas in the Tokyo region and trading LNG globally.

≈ A Japanese regional gas utility, akin to a Con Edison for gasMomentum neutral 54
Mkt cap
$13.1B
US dollars, full cap
Free float
83%
of shares outstanding
$/day
$51.7M
20-day average traded
Fwd P/E
16.3×
forward earnings
ROIC−WACC
+0.2 pp
WACC 5.0%
Hurdle
-12 pp
Req g minus delivered
Next earnings
84 days
29 Jan 2027
Close · JPY¥6,214
1D-6.8%
1W-3.6%
1M+1.9%
3M+0.5%
6M-6.8%
YTD+0.9%
1Y+19.0%
ATR %2.9%
52w lowhigh21.4% off high

What Tokyo Gas does

Japan's largest gas utility, distributing city gas in the Tokyo region and trading LNG globally.

Sells gas to households and businesses in the Tokyo area at tariffs that pass fuel costs through with a delay, so profit depends on that lag, and also sells electricity. It buys LNG (liquefied natural gas) under long-term contracts and resells part to others, which is where trading profit comes from.

In one line: A Japanese regional gas utility, akin to a Con Edison for gas.

Products and services

  • City gas distribution
  • LNG procurement/trading
  • Electricity retail
  • Real estate/other businesses

Customers

  • Households and businesses in Tokyo region

Where it sits in the supply chain

  • Utilities
  • Gas distributors
  • Regional gas distribution + LNG trading

What could go right

  • LNG trading margins
  • Electricity retail cross-sell

What could go wrong

  • Gas demand decline (efficiency/electrification)
  • LNG price volatility

Moat: narrow (regulatory licence, installed base). Regulated regional gas pipeline network, but a liberalized retail energy market limits pricing power.

Headquarters: Tokyo, Japan · Founded: 1885 · Employees: 16,001

Named competitors

Tokyo Gas at a glance

Size Tokyo Gas (9531.T) is a Japan Utilities company (Gas Distributors) with a market value of $13.1B, the 109th largest of 1,379 Japan companies the cockpit tracks. Shares closed at ¥6,214 on 6 Nov 2026.

Performance Over six months the shares fell 6.8%, against +1.4% for the median peer and +1.8% for the Japan market (cap-weighted) — 5th lowest of 21 in its peer set.

Growth Revenue grew 3.6% over the last twelve months (peer median +4.6%); the operating margin is 7.2% (peer median 23.2%).

Valuation It trades at 16.3× forward earnings against a peer median of 15.6× (11th cheapest of 21).

Price implies For today's price to make sense, revenue must grow about -2% a year for seven years (Req g). Recent delivered growth is +10%, so the hurdle is -12 pp: the price already allows for a slowdown.

Capital Return on invested capital runs 0.2 points above its cost of capital (5.0% WACC).

Next results Next results expected around 29 Jan 2027 (exchange calendar; dates can move).

Relative performance

909510011 May 202611 Aug 20266 Nov 2026Peer median 1029531.T 94
Six months, rebased to 100: Tokyo Gas against the median of its 20 peers (local-currency closes).

Tokyo Gas financials

Reported figures in JPY; fiscal year ends 2026-03-31. TTM = trailing twelve months.
TTMFY2025FY2024FY2023FY2022
Revenue¥2.86T¥2.83T¥2.64T¥2.66T¥3.29T
Revenue growth—+8%-1%-19%—
Gross profit¥714B¥507B¥380B¥446B¥656B
EBITDAn/a¥464B¥401B¥431B¥631B
Net income¥196B¥227B¥74.2B¥165B¥281B
Free cash flown/a¥291B¥177B¥136B¥336B
Capital expendituren/a¥303B¥315B¥220B¥190B
Total debt¥1.24T¥1.28T¥1.34T¥1.44T¥1.26T

Quarterly statements and history in the cockpit →

Tokyo Gas competitor charts

The default views of Competitor Analysis ▸ Charts, drawn from the same data. Open them in the cockpit to change the axes, pin companies and read every value.

Performance: 6-month against 1-month return

-10%0%+10%0%+5%+10%9532ALAIGAPACU6008030003CNA0135NIDCCSRG2688SWXBKHCQPATONJRNTGYSR9531.T6-month return →1-month return →
Up and to the right = strong over both horizons. Tokyo Gas is the large dot.

Fundamentals: revenue growth against valuation

-10%0%+10%10×15×20×9532ALAIGAPACU6008030003CNA0135NIDCCSRG2688SWXBKHCQPATONJRNTGYSR9531.TRevenue growth (TTM) →Forward P/E →
Further right = faster growth; higher = more expensive. The dashed lines are the peer medians. Tokyo Gas is the large dot.

Capital: growth delivered against growth the price implies

-10%0%+10%+20%-10%0%10%20%9532IGAPACU60080300030135DCCSRG2688CQPNTGY9531.TGrowth delivered (Del g) →Growth the price implies (Req g, 7 yrs) →
Above the diagonal = the price needs more growth than the company has been delivering; below = the price already allows for a slowdown. Tokyo Gas is the large dot.

Tokyo Gas competitors and peer comparison

Head to head with its named competitors (9531.T vs 9532.T vs 9533.T vs 9501.T)
CompanyMarket cap6M returnRevenue growthOp. marginForward P/EReq g
Tokyo Gas 9531.T$13.1B-7%+4%7%16.3×-1.8%
Osaka Gas 9532.T$13.3B-2%+1%7%14.6×4.0%
TOHO GAS 9533.T$2.83B+3%-2%1%21.3×24.6%
Tokyo Elec Power Co Hldgs 9501.T$4.17B-31%-2%1%3.7×n/a
Chubu Electric Power 9502.T$11.2B-13%+3%0%10.3×n/a
Saibu Gas 9536.T$630M+23%-6%5%n/an/a
Shizuoka Gas 9543.T$631M-5%0%6%11.6×-9.0%

How Tokyo Gas compares with its peers

Peer set: Industry: the same industry and sector in any market, nearest in size. This is the same default set the interactive Competitor Analysis opens with.

Tokyo Gas against its 20 peers (data as of 6 Nov 2026)
Measure9531.TPeer medianRank in peer set
1-month return+1.9%+5.1%7th lowest of 21
6-month return-6.8%+1.4%5th lowest of 21
Distance from 52-week high-21.4%-9.6%3rd lowest of 21
Revenue growth (TTM)+3.6%+4.6%10th lowest of 21
Operating margin7.2%23.2%5th lowest of 20
Forward P/E16.3×15.6×11th cheapest of 21
Growth the price implies (Req g, 7 yrs)-1.8%3.2%6th least demanding of 13
Growth delivered (Del g)+9.9%+7.6%4th highest of 13
Hurdle (Req g minus delivered)-11.7 pp-6.6 pp6th least demanding of 13
ROIC minus cost of capital+0.2 pp-0.6 pp9th highest of 20

Peer table

Peer set: Industry: the same industry and sector in any market, nearest in size
CompanyMarketMarket cap6M returnRevenue growthOp. marginForward P/EReq gDelivered g
Tokyo Gas 9531.TJapan$13.1B-7%+4%7%16.3×-1.8%+9.9%
Osaka Gas 9532.TJapan$13.3B-2%+1%7%14.6×4.0%+8.3%
AltaGas ALA.TOCanada$11.8B+4%+18%9%22.5×n/an/a
Italgas IG.MIItaly$10.4B-12%+9%49%12.3×2.4%+11.3%
APA APA.AXAustralia$10.4B+7%-6%38%49.3×12.5%+3.1%
Canadian Utilities CU.TOCanada$10.1B+9%+1%16%18.9×20.1%+2.7%
ENN Natural Gas 600803.SSChina$9.83B+5%-1%n/a11.8×-6.1%+8.4%
HK & China Gas 0003.HKHong Kong$17.6B+3%+2%14%21.6×8.7%+5.8%
Centrica CNA.LUnited Kingdom$9.23B-25%0%23%13.1×n/an/a
KunLun Energy 0135.HKHong Kong$8.35B+1%+6%5%9.5×-13.0%+11.4%
NiSource NIUnited States$21.2B-6%+10%27%20.3×n/an/a
DCC Energy DCC.LUnited Kingdom$7.41B+13%-14%3%12.7×7.1%+2.9%
Snam SRG.MIItaly$23.3B-2%+9%46%14.5×9.3%+6.9%
Enn Energy 2688.HKHong Kong$7.02B-17%+6%7%7.6×-3.4%+8.6%
Southwest Gas SWXUnited States$6.62B+2%-57%29%18.9×n/an/a
Black Hills BKHUnited States$6.47B+13%+3%24%18.2×n/an/a
Cheniere Energy Partners, L.P CQPUnited States$27.8B-8%+13%33%12.0×-13.4%+12.7%
Atmos Energy ATOUnited States$29.3B-4%+6%37%19.3×n/an/a
New Jersey Resources NJRUnited States$5.51B-2%+7%24%16.6×n/an/a
Naturgy Energy NTGY.MCSpain$31.8B+8%+5%18%13.1×-7.4%+4.9%
Spire SRUnited States$5.25B+4%+4%20%17.9×n/an/a

Questions

Who are Tokyo Gas's main competitors?
Named competitors: Osaka Gas (9532.T), Toho Gas (9533.T), Tokyo Electric Power Holdings (9501.T), Chubu Electric Power (9502.T), Saibu Gas Holdings (9536.T), Shizuoka Gas (9543.T). The cockpit's measured peer set (industry) also includes Osaka Gas (9532.T), AltaGas (ALA.TO), Italgas (IG.MI), APA (APA.AX), Canadian Utilities (CU.TO), ENN Natural Gas (600803.SS).
Is Tokyo Gas expensive compared with its peers?
On forward p/e it trades at 16.3× against a peer median of 15.6×, 11th cheapest of 21 in its peer set. For today's price to make sense, revenue must grow about -2% a year for seven years (Req g). Recent delivered growth is +10%, so the hurdle is -12 pp: the price already allows for a slowdown.
How has Tokyo Gas stock performed?
Over six months to 6 Nov 2026 the shares returned -6.8% against +1.4% for the median peer; over one year +19.0%.

How these numbers are made. Returns are close-to-close in local currency. Revenue growth and margins are trailing twelve months. Req g is the revenue growth that today's enterprise value requires for seven years at the company's own cost of capital; Delivered g is what it actually grew; the gap is the hurdle (honest precision about ±8 points, so read the ranking more than the decimal). No fair values, price targets or analyst ratings are shown, by design. Method and validation.