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← CockpitCompetitor Analysis › 6324.T Harmonic Drive Systems Inc.Open in the cockpit ↗

Harmonic Drive Systems Inc.6324.TCompetitor analysis, valuation and peers

Japan · JPY·Industrials›Industrial Machinery

Leading maker of precision strain-wave (harmonic drive) gears used in industrial and humanoid robot joints.

≈ The world's dominant harmonic-drive gear maker, akin to a robotics-focused TimkenMomentum laggard 6
Mkt cap
$2.60B
US dollars, full cap
Free float
60%
of shares outstanding
$/day
$50.0M
20-day average traded
Fwd P/E
62.4×
forward earnings
ROIC−WACC
-11.2 pp
WACC 15.1%
Hurdle
n/a
no reverse DCF
Next earnings
5 days
11 Nov 2026
Close · JPY¥4,265
1D-7.7%
1W-22.2%
1M-35.4%
3M-32.6%
6M-18.3%
YTD+12.8%
1Y+30.4%
ATR %8.5%
52w lowhigh53.4% off high

What Harmonic Drive Systems does

Leading maker of precision strain-wave (harmonic drive) gears used in industrial and humanoid robot joints.

Sells precision gears to robot and machine makers, who design them into joints and axes, so a qualified gear is ordered for the life of each robot model and volumes track industrial-automation and chip-equipment investment. Humanoid robots, which need many joints each, are the newer source of interest in the gears.

In one line: The world's dominant harmonic-drive gear maker, akin to a robotics-focused Timken.

Products and services

  • Harmonic drive strain-wave gears
  • Robot actuators/components

Customers

  • Industrial robot makers
  • Humanoid robotics developers
  • Semiconductor equipment makers

Where it sits in the supply chain

  • Robotics components
  • Precision reduction gears
  • Strain-wave (harmonic) gears, actuators

What could go right

  • Humanoid/industrial robotics adoption growth

What could go wrong

  • Robotics capex cyclicality
  • Customer concentration in robot OEMs

Moat: wide (IP / patents, process know-how, customer qualification). Pioneered and holds leading global share of harmonic drive gears, deeply qualified in robot designs.

Headquarters: Azumino, Japan · Founded: 1970 · Employees: 1,419

Named competitors

Harmonic Drive Systems at a glance

Size Harmonic Drive Systems (6324.T) is a Japan Industrials company (Industrial Machinery) with a market value of $2.60B, the 401st largest of 1,379 Japan companies the cockpit tracks. Shares closed at ¥4,265 on 6 Nov 2026.

Performance Over six months the shares fell 18.3%, against -22.9% for the median peer and +1.8% for the Japan market (cap-weighted) — 7th highest of 21 in its peer set.

Growth Revenue grew 11.8% over the last twelve months (peer median +19.4%); the operating margin is 6.8% (peer median 8.4%).

Valuation It trades at 62.4× forward earnings against a peer median of 22.0× (2nd most expensive of 17).

Capital Return on invested capital runs 11.2 points below its cost of capital (15.1% WACC).

Next results Next results expected around 11 Nov 2026 (exchange calendar; dates can move).

Relative performance

10015011 May 202611 Aug 20266 Nov 20266324.T 83Peer median 77
Six months, rebased to 100: Harmonic Drive Systems against the median of its 20 peers (local-currency closes).

Harmonic Drive Systems financials

Reported figures in JPY; fiscal year ends 2026-03-31. TTM = trailing twelve months.
TTMFY2025FY2024FY2023FY2022
Revenue¥62.7B¥59.6B¥55.6B¥55.8B¥71.5B
Revenue growth—+7%0%-22%—
Gross profit¥20.2B¥16.3B¥13.2B¥13.1B¥23.5B
EBITDA¥11.6B¥9.93B¥8.03B¥10.5B¥19.8B
Net income¥2.92B¥1.61B¥3.47B-¥24.8B¥7.60B
Free cash flown/a¥735M¥2.63B¥7.79B¥2.01B
Capital expendituren/a¥5.94B¥5.33B¥5.31B¥9.07B
Total debt¥16.9B¥18.1B¥20.7B¥23.8B¥27.4B

Quarterly statements and history in the cockpit →

Harmonic Drive Systems competitor charts

The default views of Competitor Analysis ▸ Charts, drawn from the same data. Open them in the cockpit to change the axes, pin companies and read every value.

Performance: 6-month against 1-month return

-40%-30%-20%-10%-40%-20%0%JUN3600320CECO000009301029614161873005030026116886526268TIMKEN5631454910MTRS240810AMBER60363861341084906324.T6-month return →1-month return →
Up and to the right = strong over both horizons. Harmonic Drive Systems is the large dot.

Fundamentals: revenue growth against valuation

-20%0%+20%+40%20×40×60×80×JUN3600320CECO301029614161870026116886526268TIMKEN5631MTRS240810AMBER60363861346324.TRevenue growth (TTM) →Forward P/E →
Further right = faster growth; higher = more expensive. The dashed lines are the peer medians. Harmonic Drive Systems is the large dot.

Harmonic Drive Systems competitors and peer comparison

Head to head with its named competitors (6324.T vs 6268.T vs 6302.T vs TKR)
CompanyMarket cap6M returnRevenue growthOp. marginForward P/EReq g
Harmonic Drive Systems 6324.T$2.60B-18%+12%7%62.4×n/a
Nabtesco 6268.T$2.77B-28%-8%9%17.6×7.8%
Sumitomo Heavy Industries 6302.T$3.64B-10%+9%6%13.0×6.3%
Timken TKR$7.07B-14%+6%15%14.5×3.7%

How Harmonic Drive Systems compares with its peers

Peer set: Industry: the same industry and sector in any market, nearest in size. This is the same default set the interactive Competitor Analysis opens with.

Harmonic Drive Systems against its 20 peers (data as of 6 Nov 2026)
Measure6324.TPeer medianRank in peer set
1-month return-35.4%-10.1%4th lowest of 21
6-month return-18.3%-22.9%7th highest of 21
Distance from 52-week high-53.4%-42.3%5th lowest of 21
Revenue growth (TTM)+11.8%+19.4%9th lowest of 21
Operating margin6.8%8.4%8th lowest of 21
Forward P/E62.4×22.0×2nd most expensive of 17
ROIC minus cost of capital-11.2 pp-0.1 pp3rd lowest of 21
EV / EBITDA34.8×14.5×3rd most expensive of 12
Net debt / EBITDA-0.5×-0.0×6th least indebted of 12

Peer table

Peer set: Industry: the same industry and sector in any market, nearest in size
CompanyMarketMarket cap6M returnRevenue growthOp. marginForward P/EReq gDelivered g
Harmonic Drive Systems 6324.TJapan$2.60B-18%+12%7%62.4×n/an/a
Jungheinrich AG Pref JUN3.DEGermany$2.58B-12%+2%5%10.3×-0.4%+7.6%
Shanghai Zhenhua Heavy Industries 600320.SSChina$2.64B-21%+6%5%20.4×-4.9%+9.7%
CECO Environmental CECOUnited States$2.56B-47%+38%6%16.5×n/an/a
China Baoan 000009.SZChina$2.56B-23%+26%7%n/an/an/a
Dongguan Yiheda Automation 301029.SZChina$2.65B-2%+31%18%27.1×21.6%+19.5%
Dmg Mori 6141.TJapan$2.53B-13%+20%4%23.5×12.9%+9.4%
All Ring Tech 6187.TWOTaiwan$2.52B-36%+1%29%25.0×26.4%+28.9%
Guangzhou Haozhi Industrial 300503.SZChina$2.70B-8%+55%20%n/an/an/a
Guangdong Dongfang Precision Science & Technology 002611.SZChina$2.50B-19%-16%8%20.2×17.8%+12.4%
Beijing Jingyi Automation Equipment 688652.SSChina$2.73B-10%+34%9%77.6×49.0%+32.4%
Nabtesco 6268.TJapan$2.77B-28%-8%9%17.6×7.8%+2.0%
Timken India TIMKEN.NSIndia$2.43B-12%+19%16%46.1×36.2%+19.8%
Japan Steel Works 5631.TJapan$2.41B-46%-1%10%17.0×n/an/a
Doosan Robotics 454910.KSSouth Korea$2.41B-54%+97%-91%n/an/an/a
Munters MTRS.STSweden$2.40B-34%0%9%26.2×12.4%+16.0%
Wonik IPS 240810.KSSouth Korea$2.39B-43%+9%8%14.7×29.4%-3.6%
Amber Enterprises India AMBER.NSIndia$2.39B-28%+15%5%59.6×n/an/a
Yantai Eddie Precision Machinery 603638.SSChina$2.38B-22%+35%16%28.8×15.1%+7.3%
Fuji 6134.TJapan$2.85B-23%+45%20%9.9×n/an/a
ROBOTIS 108490.KSSouth Korea$2.37B-30%+52%-16%n/an/an/a

Questions

Who are Harmonic Drive Systems's main competitors?
Named competitors: Nabtesco Corporation (6268.T), Sumitomo Heavy Industries (6302.T), Timken (TKR). The cockpit's measured peer set (industry) also includes Jungheinrich AG Pref (JUN3.DE), Shanghai Zhenhua Heavy Industries (600320.SS), CECO Environmental (CECO), China Baoan (000009.SZ), Dongguan Yiheda Automation (301029.SZ), Dmg Mori (6141.T).
Is Harmonic Drive Systems expensive compared with its peers?
On forward p/e it trades at 62.4× against a peer median of 22.0×, 2nd most expensive of 17 in its peer set.
How has Harmonic Drive Systems stock performed?
Over six months to 6 Nov 2026 the shares returned -18.3% against -22.9% for the median peer; over one year +30.4%.

How these numbers are made. Returns are close-to-close in local currency. Revenue growth and margins are trailing twelve months. Req g is the revenue growth that today's enterprise value requires for seven years at the company's own cost of capital; Delivered g is what it actually grew; the gap is the hurdle (honest precision about ±8 points, so read the ranking more than the decimal). No fair values, price targets or analyst ratings are shown, by design. Method and validation.