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Timken CompanyTKRCompetitor analysis, valuation and peers

United States · USD·Industrials›Industrial Machinery

Makes bearings and mechanical power-transmission products used in industrial, automotive and off-highway equipment.

Momentum weak 26
Mkt cap
$7.07B
US dollars, full cap
Free float
91%
of shares outstanding
$/day
$103M
20-day average traded
Fwd P/E
14.5×
forward earnings
ROIC−WACC
+4.8 pp
WACC 10.5%
Hurdle
-2 pp
Req g minus delivered
Official | Implied
BBB- / BBB
agencies · bond market
Next earnings
94 days
8 Feb 2027
Close · USD$102.03
1D+2.1%
1W-8.0%
1M-10.8%
3M-19.4%
6M-13.5%
YTD+21.3%
1Y+30.0%
ATR %4.4%
Beta1.29
52w lowhigh30.3% off high

What Timken does

Makes bearings and mechanical power-transmission products used in industrial, automotive and off-highway equipment.

Sells bearings both to equipment makers building them into new machines and, through distributors, as replacement parts, with the second channel less cyclical. Has grown power transmission (couplings, drives, gears) through a string of acquisitions to sell more per customer. Spun off its specialty steel business as TimkenSteel in 2014.

Products and services

  • Bearings
  • Power transmission components (belts, gears)
  • Industrial services/aftermarket

Customers

  • Industrial equipment OEMs
  • Automotive/off-highway manufacturers
  • Aftermarket distributors

Where it sits in the supply chain

  • Industrial machinery
  • Bearing & power-transmission component…
  • Distribution to industrial/automotive…

What could go right

  • Industrial production/capex growth
  • Aftermarket replacement demand

What could go wrong

  • Industrial/automotive capex cyclicality
  • Raw material (steel) cost inflation

Moat: narrow (brand, installed base, customer qualification). Long-standing bearing brand qualified into OEM designs, with a recurring aftermarket replacement business.

Headquarters: North Canton, Ohio, US · Founded: 1899 · Employees: 19,000

Named competitors

Timken at a glance

Size Timken (TKR) is a United States Industrials company (Industrial Machinery) with a market value of $7.07B, the 954th largest of 3,117 United States companies the cockpit tracks. Shares closed at $102.03 on 6 Nov 2026.

Performance Over six months the shares fell 13.5%, against -8.0% for the median peer and -1.1% for the United States market (cap-weighted) — 9th lowest of 20 in its peer set.

Growth Revenue grew 6.0% over the last twelve months (peer median +20.2%); the operating margin is 15.2% (peer median 12.8%).

Valuation It trades at 14.5× forward earnings against a peer median of 22.8× (3rd cheapest of 21).

Price implies For today's price to make sense, revenue must grow about 4% a year for seven years (Req g). Recent delivered growth is +5%, so the hurdle is -2 pp: the price already allows for a slowdown.

Capital Return on invested capital runs 4.8 points above its cost of capital (10.5% WACC).

Backlog Backlog (remaining performance obligations) was $166M at 30 Sep 2026, down 29% on a year earlier — 0.0 years of trailing revenue. Backlog detail →

Credit Timken has 4 bonds outstanding ($1.52B), rated BBB- by the agencies and trading like BBB at a weighted spread of 116 bp.

Short interest Short interest is 7.0% of the free float (15 Oct 2026).

Next results Next results expected around 8 Feb 2027 (exchange calendar; dates can move).

Relative performance

10012011 May 202611 Aug 20266 Nov 2026Peer median 93TKR 87
Six months, rebased to 100: Timken against the median of its 20 peers (local-currency closes).

Timken financials

Reported figures in USD; fiscal year ends 2025-12-31. TTM = trailing twelve months.
TTMFY2025FY2024FY2023FY2022
Revenue$4.81B$4.58B$4.57B$4.77B$4.50B
Revenue growth—0%-4%+6%—
Gross profit$1.52B$1.31B$1.36B$1.45B$1.29B
EBITDA$967M$817M$847M$940M$819M
Net income$283M$288M$353M$394M$407M
Free cash flow$443M$406M$306M$357M$285M
Capital expenditure$143M$148M$170M$188M$178M
Total debt$473M$2.06B$2.18B$2.50B$2.05B

Quarterly statements and history in the cockpit →

Timken competitor charts

The default views of Competitor Analysis ▸ Charts, drawn from the same data. Open them in the cockpit to change the axes, pin companies and read every value.

Performance: 6-month against 1-month return

-40%-20%0%+20%-50%-25%0%+25%002837ZWSSPX688200300757SUNJBTM0001576880376525300316688017300450RAA0020089962MIDD6881886488TKR6-month return →1-month return →
Up and to the right = strong over both horizons. Timken is the large dot.

Fundamentals: revenue growth against valuation

0%+20%+40%+60%0×100×200×002837ZWSSPX688200300757SUNJBTM000157688037300316INDOMIM6880173004500020089962MIDD688188TKRRevenue growth (TTM) →Forward P/E →
Further right = faster growth; higher = more expensive. The dashed lines are the peer medians. Timken is the large dot.

Capital: growth delivered against growth the price implies

0%+20%+40%+60%0%20%40%60%002837ZWSSPX688200SUNJBTM0001576525300316INDOMIM300450RAA0020089962MIDD688188TKRGrowth delivered (Del g) →Growth the price implies (Req g, 7 yrs) →
Above the diagonal = the price needs more growth than the company has been delivering; below = the price already allows for a slowdown. Timken is the large dot.

Timken competitors and peer comparison

Head to head with its named competitors (TKR vs SKF-A.ST vs 6471.T vs RBC)
CompanyMarket cap6M returnRevenue growthOp. marginForward P/EReq g
Timken TKR$7.07B-14%+6%15%14.5×3.7%
SKF SKF-A.ST$12.7B+18%-10%12%16.4×5.8%
NSK 6471.T$2.87B-27%+26%5%12.9×1.9%
RBC Bearings RBC$15.0B-22%+17%26%29.6×26.0%

How Timken compares with its peers

Peer set: Industry: the same industry and sector in any market, nearest in size. This is the same default set the interactive Competitor Analysis opens with.

Timken against its 20 peers (data as of 6 Nov 2026)
MeasureTKRPeer medianRank in peer set
1-month return-10.8%-8.2%10th lowest of 21
6-month return-13.5%-8.0%9th lowest of 20
Distance from 52-week high-30.3%-40.9%10th highest of 21
Revenue growth (TTM)+6.0%+20.2%6th lowest of 21
Operating margin15.2%12.8%9th highest of 21
Forward P/E14.5×22.8×3rd cheapest of 21
Growth the price implies (Req g, 7 yrs)3.7%16.4%3rd least demanding of 17
Growth delivered (Del g)+5.5%+11.8%6th lowest of 17
Hurdle (Req g minus delivered)-1.8 pp+8.7 pp5th least demanding of 17
ROIC minus cost of capital+4.8 pp-0.8 pp8th highest of 21
EV / EBITDA7.5×14.6×cheapest of 10
Net debt / EBITDA0.1×0.7×4th least indebted of 11
Bond spread116 bpn/a—

Peer table

Peer set: Industry: the same industry and sector in any market, nearest in size
CompanyMarketMarket cap6M returnRevenue growthOp. marginForward P/EReq gDelivered g
Timken TKRUnited States$7.07B-14%+6%15%14.5×3.7%+5.5%
Shenzhen Envicool Technology 002837.SZChina$7.13B-49%+22%9%53.5×56.2%+29.0%
Zurn Elkay Water Solutions ZWSUnited States$7.18B-15%+10%23%21.8×10.9%-2.4%
Spirax SPX.LUnited Kingdom$7.24B+2%+5%18%22.7×20.5%+7.4%
Beijing Huafeng Test & Control Technology 688200.SSChina$6.87B-4%+44%36%50.0×47.7%+27.6%
Robotechnik Intelligent Technology 300757.SZChina$7.37B-42%+203%9%219.2×n/an/a
Sulzer SUN.SWSwitzerland$7.39B+23%-3%13%17.9×-1.4%+3.7%
JBT Marel JBTMUnited States$6.66B-8%+20%10%14.2×12.7%+17.0%
Zoomlion Heavy Industry Science & Technology 000157.SZChina$7.61B-22%+14%7%11.2×2.8%-4.3%
KINGSEMI 688037.SSChina$6.56B-7%+41%-5%264.1×n/an/a
Kokusai Electric 6525.TJapan$7.62B-21%+15%19%20.0×30.9%-1.5%
Zhejiang Jingsheng Mechanical & Electrical 300316.SZChina$7.69B-13%-25%0%74.3×39.6%+24.6%
INDO-MIM INDOMIM.NSIndia$6.39Bn/a+26%20%60.8×30.3%+15.8%
Leader Harmonious Drive Systems 688017.SSChina$7.84B+27%+46%15%283.8×n/an/a
Wuxi Lead Intelligent Equipment 300450.SZChina$7.88B-41%+28%10%22.9×10.4%+19.9%
Rational Aktiengesellschaft RAA.DEGermany$7.95B-4%+6%27%26.1×14.8%+14.2%
Han's Laser Technology Industry 002008.SZChina$7.97B-48%+59%12%19.1×19.6%+9.5%
MISUMI 9962.TJapan$6.25B+3%+24%13%17.9×9.3%+7.3%
Middleby MIDDUnited States$6.17B+3%-7%17%18.5×6.9%+5.0%
Shanghai BOCHU Electronic Technology 688188.SSChina$6.16B0%+20%44%29.6×18.0%+30.9%
GlobalWafers 6488.TWOTaiwan$8.15B-23%-6%11%21.4×n/an/a

Timken bonds and credit

Timken has 4 bonds outstanding with $1.52B face value. The agencies rate it BBB-; its bonds trade like BBB. Weighted yield 5.07%, a spread of 116 bp over government bonds.

Every bond, yield and spread in the cockpit →

Timken backlog

Timken reported $166M of remaining performance obligations at 30 Sep 2026, down 29% from a year earlier and up 41% from the previous quarter. That is 0.0 years of trailing revenue already under contract. Book-to-bill last quarter: 1.04.

Questions

Who are Timken's main competitors?
Named competitors: SKF (SKF-A.ST), NSK Ltd (6471.T), RBC Bearings (RBC). The cockpit's measured peer set (industry) also includes Shenzhen Envicool Technology (002837.SZ), Zurn Elkay Water Solutions (ZWS), Spirax (SPX.L), Beijing Huafeng Test & Control Technology (688200.SS), Robotechnik Intelligent Technology (300757.SZ), Sulzer (SUN.SW).
Is Timken expensive compared with its peers?
On forward p/e it trades at 14.5× against a peer median of 22.8×, 3rd cheapest of 21 in its peer set. For today's price to make sense, revenue must grow about 4% a year for seven years (Req g). Recent delivered growth is +5%, so the hurdle is -2 pp: the price already allows for a slowdown.
How has Timken stock performed?
Over six months to 6 Nov 2026 the shares returned -13.5% against -8.0% for the median peer; over one year +30.0%.
What is Timken's backlog?
Timken's remaining performance obligations (contracted revenue not yet recognised) were $166M at 30 Sep 2026, -29% on a year earlier.

How these numbers are made. Returns are close-to-close in local currency. Revenue growth and margins are trailing twelve months. Req g is the revenue growth that today's enterprise value requires for seven years at the company's own cost of capital; Delivered g is what it actually grew; the gap is the hurdle (honest precision about ±8 points, so read the ranking more than the decimal). No fair values, price targets or analyst ratings are shown, by design. Method and validation.