Chinese maker of corrugated-cardboard packaging machinery, also holds an EV transmission technology investment.
Chinese maker of corrugated-cardboard packaging machinery, also holds an EV transmission technology investment.
Sells large production lines to corrugated-carton makers on order, so orders are lumpy because each line is a major purchase and demand follows customers' capacity-expansion cycles. It owns Italy's Fosber, which gives it a place in the high-end machine market abroad.
Moat: narrow (installed base). Established equipment base among Chinese packaging converters.
Headquarters: Guangzhou, China · Founded: 1997 · Employees: 2,406
Size Guangdong Dongfang Precision Science & Technology (002611.SZ) is a China Industrials company (Industrial Machinery) with a market value of $2.50B, the 1036th largest of 4,839 China companies the cockpit tracks. Shares closed at CN¥13.91 on 6 Nov 2026.
Performance Over six months the shares fell 19.1%, against -21.5% for the median peer and -16.4% for the China market (cap-weighted) — 10th highest of 21 in its peer set.
Growth Revenue fell 16.3% over the last twelve months (peer median +13.6%); the operating margin is 8.3% (peer median 7.5%).
Valuation It trades at 20.2× forward earnings against a peer median of 25.0× (7th cheapest of 18).
Price implies For today's price to make sense, revenue must grow about 18% a year for seven years (Req g). Recent delivered growth is +12%, so the hurdle is +5 pp: the price needs faster growth than the company has been delivering — of companies that just grew 25–50% a year, 93.8% slowed down over the next four years.
Capital Return on invested capital runs 4.0 points above its cost of capital (10.9% WACC).
Next results Next results expected around 30 Mar 2027 (exchange calendar; dates can move).
| TTM | FY2025 | FY2024 | FY2023 | FY2022 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | CN¥4.07B | CN¥5.22B | CN¥4.77B | CN¥4.74B | CN¥3.89B |
| Revenue growth | — | +9% | +1% | +22% | — |
| Gross profit | CN¥1.05B | CN¥1.38B | CN¥1.38B | CN¥1.33B | CN¥1.01B |
| EBITDA | n/a | CN¥826M | CN¥853M | CN¥702M | CN¥536M |
| Net income | CN¥3.91B | CN¥725M | CN¥501M | CN¥433M | CN¥447M |
| Free cash flow | CN¥549M | CN¥843M | CN¥361M | CN¥188M | CN¥309M |
| Capital expenditure | CN¥240M | CN¥210M | CN¥358M | CN¥308M | CN¥218M |
| Total debt | CN¥350M | CN¥720M | CN¥517M | CN¥727M | CN¥663M |
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| Measure | 002611.SZ | Peer median | Rank in peer set |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1-month return | +2.2% | -10.1% | 5th highest of 21 |
| 6-month return | -19.1% | -21.5% | 10th highest of 21 |
| Distance from 52-week high | -37.7% | -42.3% | 9th highest of 21 |
| Revenue growth (TTM) | -16.3% | +13.6% | lowest of 21 |
| Operating margin | 8.3% | 7.5% | 9th highest of 21 |
| Forward P/E | 20.2× | 25.0× | 7th cheapest of 18 |
| Growth the price implies (Req g, 7 yrs) | 17.8% | 15.1% | 7th most demanding of 14 |
| Growth delivered (Del g) | +12.4% | +9.7% | 6th highest of 14 |
| Hurdle (Req g minus delivered) | +5.4 pp | +3.4 pp | 7th most demanding of 14 |
| ROIC minus cost of capital | +4.0 pp | -0.2 pp | 3rd highest of 21 |
| Company | Market | Market cap | 6M return | Revenue growth | Op. margin | Forward P/E | Req g | Delivered g |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Guangdong Dongfang Precision Science & Technology 002611.SZ | China | $2.50B | -19% | -16% | 8% | 20.2× | 17.8% | +12.4% |
| All Ring Tech 6187.TWO | Taiwan | $2.52B | -36% | +1% | 29% | 25.0× | 26.4% | +28.9% |
| Dmg Mori 6141.T | Japan | $2.53B | -13% | +20% | 4% | 23.5× | 12.9% | +9.4% |
| China Baoan 000009.SZ | China | $2.56B | -23% | +26% | 7% | n/a | n/a | n/a |
| CECO Environmental CECO | United States | $2.56B | -47% | +38% | 6% | 16.5× | n/a | n/a |
| Timken India TIMKEN.NS | India | $2.43B | -12% | +19% | 16% | 46.1× | 36.2% | +19.8% |
| Japan Steel Works 5631.T | Japan | $2.41B | -46% | -1% | 10% | 17.0× | n/a | n/a |
| Jungheinrich AG Pref JUN3.DE | Germany | $2.58B | -12% | +2% | 5% | 10.3× | -0.4% | +7.6% |
| Doosan Robotics 454910.KS | South Korea | $2.41B | -54% | +97% | -91% | n/a | n/a | n/a |
| Munters MTRS.ST | Sweden | $2.40B | -34% | 0% | 9% | 26.2× | 12.4% | +16.0% |
| Harmonic Drive Systems 6324.T | Japan | $2.60B | -18% | +12% | 7% | 62.4× | n/a | n/a |
| Wonik IPS 240810.KS | South Korea | $2.39B | -43% | +9% | 8% | 14.7× | 29.4% | -3.6% |
| Amber Enterprises India AMBER.NS | India | $2.39B | -28% | +15% | 5% | 59.6× | n/a | n/a |
| Yantai Eddie Precision Machinery 603638.SS | China | $2.38B | -22% | +35% | 16% | 28.8× | 15.1% | +7.3% |
| ROBOTIS 108490.KS | South Korea | $2.37B | -30% | +52% | -16% | n/a | n/a | n/a |
| Organo 6368.T | Japan | $2.36B | -14% | +10% | 19% | 12.1× | 12.8% | +12.0% |
| Shanghai Zhenhua Heavy Industries 600320.SS | China | $2.64B | -21% | +6% | 5% | 20.4× | -4.9% | +9.7% |
| Dongguan Yiheda Automation 301029.SZ | China | $2.65B | -2% | +31% | 18% | 27.1× | 21.6% | +19.5% |
| Chengdu Xuguang Electronics 600353.SS | China | $2.32B | +8% | +13% | 7% | 64.5× | 53.1% | +12.8% |
| Chervon 2285.HK | Hong Kong | $2.32B | +103% | -6% | 8% | 15.7× | 12.1% | +6.4% |
| Zhuhai Bojay Electronics 002975.SZ | China | $2.32B | -13% | +71% | 18% | 41.2× | 34.2% | +6.0% |