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← CockpitCompetitor Analysis › 5301.T Tokai Carbon CoOpen in the cockpit ↗

Tokai Carbon Co5301.TCompetitor analysis, valuation and peers

Japan · JPY·Materials›Electrical Products

Maker of carbon black for tires/rubber and graphite electrodes used in electric-arc-furnace steelmaking.

≈ A Japanese GrafTech/Cabot Corporation hybridMomentum strong 67
Mkt cap
$2.02B
US dollars, full cap
Free float
84%
of shares outstanding
$/day
$19.5M
20-day average traded
Fwd P/E
13.5×
forward earnings
ROIC−WACC
-3.3 pp
WACC 6.9%
Hurdle
-1 pp
Req g minus delivered
Next earnings
95 days
9 Feb 2027
Close · JPY¥1,561
1D-6.6%
1W-22.4%
1M-34.4%
3M+1.5%
6M+41.1%
YTD+63.0%
1Y+48.6%
ATR %6.6%
52w lowhigh35.6% off high

What Tokai Carbon does

Maker of carbon black for tires/rubber and graphite electrodes used in electric-arc-furnace steelmaking.

Sells graphite electrodes to steelmakers that melt scrap in electric furnaces, so electrode demand rises and falls with electric-furnace steel output. Carbon black for tire and rubber makers tracks car and tire production, and smaller advanced-carbon materials serve semiconductor equipment.

In one line: A Japanese GrafTech/Cabot Corporation hybrid.

Products and services

  • Carbon black (tire/rubber reinforcement)
  • Graphite electrodes (EAF steelmaking)
  • Specialty/advanced carbon materials

Customers

  • Tire/rubber manufacturers
  • Steelmakers using electric-arc furnaces

Where it sits in the supply chain

  • Materials
  • Carbon products
  • Carbon black & graphite electrodes

What could go right

  • EAF steelmaking growth (greener steel production)
  • Tire/rubber demand growth

What could go wrong

  • Graphite electrode/carbon black pricing cyclicality
  • Petroleum feedstock cost volatility

Moat: narrow (scale, process know-how). Global-scale carbon black and graphite electrode production, capital-intensive to replicate.

Headquarters: Tokyo, Japan · Founded: 1918 · Employees: 4,436

Named competitors

Tokai Carbon at a glance

Size Tokai Carbon (5301.T) is a Japan Materials company (Electrical Products) with a market value of $2.02B, the 478th largest of 1,379 Japan companies the cockpit tracks. Shares closed at ¥1,561 on 6 Nov 2026.

Performance Over six months the shares gained 41.1%, against +4.7% for the median peer and +1.8% for the Japan market (cap-weighted) — highest of 21 in its peer set.

Growth Revenue grew 0.4% over the last twelve months (peer median +4.6%); the operating margin is 8.0% (peer median 8.4%).

Valuation It trades at 13.5× forward earnings against a peer median of 11.4× (3rd most expensive of 21).

Price implies For today's price to make sense, revenue must grow about 9% a year for seven years (Req g). Recent delivered growth is +10%, so the hurdle is -1 pp: the price already allows for a slowdown.

Capital Return on invested capital runs 3.3 points below its cost of capital (6.9% WACC).

Next results Next results expected around 9 Feb 2027 (exchange calendar; dates can move).

Relative performance

10015020011 May 202611 Aug 20266 Nov 20265301.T 138Peer median 103
Six months, rebased to 100: Tokai Carbon against the median of its 20 peers (local-currency closes).

Tokai Carbon financials

Reported figures in JPY; fiscal year ends 2025-12-31. TTM = trailing twelve months.
TTMFY2025FY2024FY2023FY2022
Revenue¥339B¥323B¥350B¥364B¥340B
Revenue growth—-8%-4%+7%—
Gross profit¥74.2B¥70.3B¥62.2B¥81.5B¥78.3B
EBITDA¥63.0B¥58.4B¥61.1B¥76.0B¥75.6B
Net income¥18.8B¥20.1B-¥56.5B¥25.5B¥22.4B
Free cash flown/a¥14.8B¥10.9B¥16.7B-¥2.78B
Capital expendituren/a¥42.9B¥55.1B¥49.6B¥45.2B
Total debt¥217B¥209B¥200B¥171B¥171B

Quarterly statements and history in the cockpit →

Tokai Carbon competitor charts

The default views of Competitor Analysis ▸ Charts, drawn from the same data. Open them in the cockpit to change the axes, pin companies and read every value.

Performance: 6-month against 1-month return

-20%0%+20%+40%-20%0%574142087966411439414368547141184205420642724202404379884966463140464061571452335301.T6-month return →1-month return →
Up and to the right = strong over both horizons. Tokai Carbon is the large dot.

Fundamentals: revenue growth against valuation

0%+10%+20%+30%7.5×10×12.5×5741420879664114394143685471420542064272420240434966463140464061571452335301.TRevenue growth (TTM) →Forward P/E →
Further right = faster growth; higher = more expensive. The dashed lines are the peer medians. Tokai Carbon is the large dot.

Capital: growth delivered against growth the price implies

0%+10%0%10%5741796641144368547141184205420642724202404379884966404652335301.TGrowth delivered (Del g) →Growth the price implies (Req g, 7 yrs) →
Above the diagonal = the price needs more growth than the company has been delivering; below = the price already allows for a slowdown. Tokai Carbon is the large dot.

Tokai Carbon competitors and peer comparison

Head to head with its named competitors (5301.T vs EAF vs CBT vs 4004.T)
CompanyMarket cap6M returnRevenue growthOp. marginForward P/EReq g
Tokai Carbon 5301.T$2.02B+41%0%8%13.5×9.3%
GrafTech International EAFn/a+3%n/an/an/an/a
Cabot CBT$3.67B-17%+1%14%10.9×-3.2%
Resonac 4004.T$12.6B-26%+1%8%18.0×26.7%
Orion OECn/a-48%n/an/an/an/a
HEG HEG.NSn/a+27%n/an/an/an/a
Graphite India GRAPHITE.NS$1.50B0%+22%9%21.8×n/a
FangDa Carbon New Material 600516.SS$2.74B-20%+17%-4%226.5×n/a

How Tokai Carbon compares with its peers

Peer set: Sector in the same market, nearest in size. This is the same default set the interactive Competitor Analysis opens with.

Tokai Carbon against its 20 peers (data as of 6 Nov 2026)
Measure5301.TPeer medianRank in peer set
1-month return-34.4%-14.8%lowest of 21
6-month return+41.1%+4.7%highest of 21
Distance from 52-week high-35.6%-25.0%9th lowest of 21
Revenue growth (TTM)+0.4%+4.6%2nd lowest of 21
Operating margin8.0%8.4%9th lowest of 21
Forward P/E13.5×11.4×3rd most expensive of 21
Growth the price implies (Req g, 7 yrs)9.3%1.3%most demanding of 17
Growth delivered (Del g)+9.9%+7.0%4th highest of 17
Hurdle (Req g minus delivered)-0.6 pp-4.6 pp4th most demanding of 17
ROIC minus cost of capital-3.3 pp-0.6 pp3rd lowest of 21
EV / EBITDA7.7×6.9×3rd most expensive of 20
Net debt / EBITDA2.1×2.0×10th most indebted of 20

Peer table

Peer set: Sector in the same market, nearest in size
CompanyMarketMarket cap6M returnRevenue growthOp. marginForward P/EReq gDelivered g
Tokai Carbon 5301.TJapan$2.02B+41%0%8%13.5×9.3%+9.9%
UACJ 5741.TJapan$2.06B-36%+28%9%6.2×-5.3%+15.7%
Ube 4208.TJapan$1.94B+33%+3%4%12.0×n/an/a
Lintec 7966.TJapan$1.87B-14%+3%8%12.2×1.5%+6.2%
Nippon Shokubai 4114.TJapan$2.27B+11%+4%6%16.2×4.1%+7.9%
Rengo 3941.TJapan$2.29B+18%+4%4%11.0×n/an/a
Fuso Chemical 4368.TJapan$1.79B-19%+17%26%13.1×8.4%+12.8%
Daido Steel 5471.TJapan$2.29B-4%+8%7%10.8×8.8%+7.0%
Kaneka 4118.TJapan$2.30B+23%+4%5%11.6×4.9%+7.0%
Zeon 4205.TJapan$2.34B+6%+4%11%9.1×-1.5%+6.4%
Aica Kogyo 4206.TJapan$1.68B+19%+5%12%12.6×-7.0%+7.6%
Nippon Kayaku 4272.TJapan$1.66B+3%+14%10%10.1×-4.8%+6.9%
Daicel 4202.TJapan$2.48B+24%+2%7%11.1×6.1%+8.1%
Tokuyama 4043.TJapan$1.63B-11%+7%9%5.8×1.1%+2.9%
Nifco 7988.TJapan$2.62B+6%+4%14%11.7×-3.5%+6.6%
C. Uyemura & 4966.TJapan$1.54B-34%+16%23%14.0×5.0%+10.4%
DIC 4631.TJapan$2.68B+25%+6%7%9.3×-1.0%+8.5%
Osaka Soda 4046.TJapan$1.52B-2%+8%19%13.5×5.1%+0.5%
Denka 4061.TJapan$1.51B-33%-3%9%12.7×n/an/a
Dowa 5714.TJapan$2.78B-22%+29%6%6.9×n/an/a
Taiheiyo Cement 5233.TJapan$3.03B+19%+1%8%7.7×0.8%+0.8%

Questions

Who are Tokai Carbon's main competitors?
Named competitors: GrafTech International (EAF), Cabot Corporation (CBT), Resonac Holdings (Showa Denko) (4004.T), Orion Engineered Carbons (OEC), HEG (HEG.NS), Graphite India (GRAPHITE.NS). The cockpit's measured peer set (sector in the same market, nearest in size) also includes UACJ (5741.T), Ube (4208.T), Lintec (7966.T), Nippon Shokubai (4114.T), Rengo (3941.T), Fuso Chemical (4368.T).
Is Tokai Carbon expensive compared with its peers?
On forward p/e it trades at 13.5× against a peer median of 11.4×, 3rd most expensive of 21 in its peer set. For today's price to make sense, revenue must grow about 9% a year for seven years (Req g). Recent delivered growth is +10%, so the hurdle is -1 pp: the price already allows for a slowdown.
How has Tokai Carbon stock performed?
Over six months to 6 Nov 2026 the shares returned +41.1% against +4.7% for the median peer; over one year +48.6%.

How these numbers are made. Returns are close-to-close in local currency. Revenue growth and margins are trailing twelve months. Req g is the revenue growth that today's enterprise value requires for seven years at the company's own cost of capital; Delivered g is what it actually grew; the gap is the hurdle (honest precision about ±8 points, so read the ranking more than the decimal). No fair values, price targets or analyst ratings are shown, by design. Method and validation.