Loading…
← CockpitCompetitor Analysis › WCN.TO Waste Connections, Inc.Open in the cockpit ↗

Waste Connections, Inc.WCN.TOCompetitor analysis, valuation and peers

Canada · CAD·Industrials›Environmental Services

North American solid-waste collection, transfer, disposal and recycling company operating mainly in secondary/rural markets.

≈ A Waste Management/Republic Services peer focused on secondary marketsMomentum leader 93
Mkt cap
$47.6B
US dollars, full cap
Free float
99%
of shares outstanding
$/day
$87.5M
20-day average traded
Fwd P/E
31.6×
forward earnings
ROIC−WACC
+2.1 pp
WACC 5.3%
Hurdle
-2 pp
Req g minus delivered
Official | Implied
BBB+ / A+
agencies · bond market
Next earnings
103 days
17 Feb 2027
Close · CADC$266.73
1D-0.5%
1W+3.9%
1M+20.5%
3M+14.9%
6M+27.2%
YTD+10.8%
1Y+13.8%
ATR %2.4%
52w lowhigh2.4% off high

What Waste Connections does

North American solid-waste collection, transfer, disposal and recycling company operating mainly in secondary/rural markets.

Earns from long-term contracts and franchises to collect waste in smaller cities where it faces little competition, plus disposal fees at its landfills, and oilfield waste disposal in energy basins. It was formed in 2016 by merging Waste Connections with Canada's Progressive Waste Solutions. Price increases and frequent small acquisitions drive growth.

In one line: A Waste Management/Republic Services peer focused on secondary markets.

Products and services

  • Residential/commercial waste collection
  • Landfill disposal
  • Recycling processing
  • E&P (oilfield) waste services

Customers

  • Municipalities
  • Residential/commercial customers
  • Industrial/energy customers (E&P waste)

Where it sits in the supply chain

  • Environmental services
  • Solid waste collection & disposal
  • Transfer stations + landfills +…

What could go right

  • Tuck-in acquisition consolidation strategy
  • Landfill gas-to-energy monetisation

What could go wrong

  • Fuel/labour cost inflation
  • Regulatory/environmental compliance costs

Moat: wide (regulatory licence, installed base, scale). Owns scarce, hard-to-permit landfill capacity and exclusive municipal collection contracts in secondary markets.

Headquarters: The Woodlands, Texas / Vaughan, Canada · Founded: 1997 · Employees: 24,214

Named competitors

Waste Connections at a glance

Size Waste Connections (WCN.TO) is a Canada Industrials company (Environmental Services) with a market value of $47.6B, the 27th largest of 420 Canada companies the cockpit tracks. Shares closed at C$266.73 on 6 Nov 2026.

Performance Over six months the shares gained 27.2%, against -5.9% for the median peer and +5.2% for the Canada market (cap-weighted) — 2nd highest of 21 in its peer set.

Growth Revenue grew 5.5% over the last twelve months (peer median +5.2%); the operating margin is 18.0% (peer median 17.6%).

Valuation It trades at 31.6× forward earnings against a peer median of 18.1× (4th most expensive of 20).

Price implies For today's price to make sense, revenue must grow about 11% a year for seven years (Req g). Recent delivered growth is +13%, so the hurdle is -2 pp: the price already allows for a slowdown.

Capital Return on invested capital runs 2.1 points above its cost of capital (5.3% WACC).

Credit Waste Connections has 11 bonds outstanding ($6.70B), rated BBB+ by the agencies and trading like A+ at a weighted spread of 64 bp.

Next results Next results expected around 17 Feb 2027 (exchange calendar; dates can move).

Relative performance

10012011 May 202611 Aug 20266 Nov 2026WCN.TO 128Peer median 92
Six months, rebased to 100: Waste Connections against the median of its 20 peers (local-currency closes).

Waste Connections financials

Reported figures in CAD; fiscal year ends 2025-12-31. TTM = trailing twelve months.
TTMFY2025FY2024FY2023FY2022
RevenueC$13.8BC$13.2BC$12.2BC$10.8BC$9.39B
Revenue growth—+8%+13%+15%—
Gross profitC$4.08BC$3.88BC$3.51BC$3.07BC$2.55B
EBITDAC$4.29BC$4.20BC$3.77BC$3.34BC$2.87B
Net incomeC$1.57BC$1.50BC$846MC$1.03BC$1.09B
Free cash flowC$1.63BC$1.70BC$1.61BC$1.61BC$1.44B
Capital expenditureC$1.87BC$1.67BC$1.45BC$1.26BC$1.19B
Total debtC$13.9BC$12.5BC$12.1BC$9.28BC$9.64B

Quarterly statements and history in the cockpit →

Waste Connections competitor charts

The default views of Competitor Analysis ▸ Charts, drawn from the same data. Open them in the cockpit to change the axes, pin companies and read every value.

Performance: 6-month against 1-month return

-20%0%+20%-10%0%+10%+20%RSGWMGFLCLHCWSTFCCCWY6003239336603588301109BFSA0000356012003011270020340005449793301175WCN.TO6-month return →1-month return →
Up and to the right = strong over both horizons. Waste Connections is the large dot.

Fundamentals: revenue growth against valuation

0%+20%+40%0×20×40×60×RSGWMGFLCLHCWSTFCCCWY6003239336603588301109BFSA000035601200002034000544301175WCN.TORevenue growth (TTM) →Forward P/E →
Further right = faster growth; higher = more expensive. The dashed lines are the peer medians. Waste Connections is the large dot.

Capital: growth delivered against growth the price implies

0%+20%+40%0%20%40%RSGWMGFLCLHCWSTFCCCWY60032393366035886012000020349793WCN.TOGrowth delivered (Del g) →Growth the price implies (Req g, 7 yrs) →
Above the diagonal = the price needs more growth than the company has been delivering; below = the price already allows for a slowdown. Waste Connections is the large dot.

Waste Connections competitors and peer comparison

Head to head with its named competitors (WCN.TO vs WM vs RSG vs GFL)
CompanyMarket cap6M returnRevenue growthOp. marginForward P/EReq g
Waste Connections WCN.TO$47.6B+27%+6%18%31.6×10.7%
Waste Management WM$93.9B+10%+5%19%27.4×5.8%
Republic Services RSG$75.2B+24%+4%20%31.9×6.6%
GFL Environmental GFL$20.2B+26%+5%5%58.8×42.5%
Casella Waste Systems CWST$6.25B+15%+14%5%72.1×36.3%

How Waste Connections compares with its peers

Peer set: Industry: the same industry and sector in any market, nearest in size. This is the same default set the interactive Competitor Analysis opens with.

Waste Connections against its 20 peers (data as of 6 Nov 2026)
MeasureWCN.TOPeer medianRank in peer set
1-month return+20.5%+3.4%highest of 21
6-month return+27.2%-5.9%2nd highest of 21
Distance from 52-week high-2.4%-20.1%3rd highest of 21
Revenue growth (TTM)+5.5%+5.2%10th highest of 21
Operating margin18.0%17.6%10th highest of 19
Forward P/E31.6×18.1×4th most expensive of 20
Growth the price implies (Req g, 7 yrs)10.7%3.7%5th most demanding of 15
Growth delivered (Del g)+12.6%+11.6%8th highest of 15
Hurdle (Req g minus delivered)-1.9 pp-5.7 pp4th most demanding of 15
ROIC minus cost of capital+2.1 pp+0.5 pp9th highest of 19
EV / EBITDA18.8×13.5×2nd most expensive of 10
Net debt / EBITDA3.2×2.6×3rd most indebted of 10
Bond spread64 bp93 bp3rd tightest of 5

Peer table

Peer set: Industry: the same industry and sector in any market, nearest in size
CompanyMarketMarket cap6M returnRevenue growthOp. marginForward P/EReq gDelivered g
Waste Connections WCN.TOCanada$47.6B+27%+6%18%31.6×10.7%+12.6%
Republic Services RSGUnited States$75.2B+24%+4%20%31.9×6.6%+10.3%
Waste Management WMUnited States$93.9B+10%+5%19%27.4×5.8%+10.6%
GFL Environmental GFLUnited States$20.2B+26%+5%5%58.8×42.5%+7.9%
Clean Harbors CLHUnited States$15.0B-2%+10%13%29.2×11.7%+13.9%
Casella Waste Systems CWSTUnited States$6.25B+15%+14%5%72.1×36.3%+18.8%
Fomento de Construcciones y Contratas FCC.MCSpain$5.53B-10%+10%7%15.1×2.9%+9.5%
Cleanaway Waste Management CWY.AXAustralia$4.68B+35%+13%8%28.2×20.5%+12.6%
Grandblue Environment 600323.SSChina$3.78B-3%+24%24%11.0×-4.7%+13.3%
Daiei Kankyo 9336.TJapan$2.57B+8%+14%26%24.2×4.2%+7.4%
Beijing GeoEnviron Engineering & Technology 603588.SSChina$2.55B-23%+50%12%10.5×2.7%+16.6%
Hunan Junxin Environmental Protection 301109.SZChina$1.73B-9%+1%n/a14.2×n/an/a
Befesa BFSA.DEGermany$1.67B+6%-2%n/a13.0×3.1%+14.4%
China Tianying 000035.SZChina$1.64B-30%-1%16%21.9×n/an/a
Shanghai Environment 601200.SSChina$1.40B-16%-10%18%14.7×-2.6%+6.8%
Wuhan Tianyuan 301127.SZChina$1.31B-5%+5%17%31.1×n/an/a
Wangneng Environment 002034.SZChina$1.12B-15%0%30%9.6×-13.6%+14.1%
Zhongyuan Environmental Protection 000544.SZChina$1.05B-15%0%32%5.1×n/an/a
Daiseki 9793.TJapan$1.02B-20%+4%21%14.0×-7.6%+6.9%
China Sciences Ecorizon Tech 301175.SZChina$1.01B-7%+42%25%18.1×n/an/a
Huaxin Resources Technology 301265.SZChina$1,000M-14%+13%7%n/an/an/a

Waste Connections bonds and credit

Waste Connections has 11 bonds outstanding with $6.70B face value. The agencies rate it BBB+; its bonds trade like A+. Weighted yield 5.43%, a spread of 64 bp over government bonds.

Every bond, yield and spread in the cockpit →

Questions

Who are Waste Connections's main competitors?
Named competitors: Waste Management (WM), Republic Services (RSG), GFL Environmental (GFL), Casella Waste Systems (CWST). The cockpit's measured peer set (industry) also includes Republic Services (RSG), Waste Management (WM), GFL Environmental (GFL), Clean Harbors (CLH), Casella Waste Systems (CWST), Fomento de Construcciones y Contratas (FCC.MC).
Is Waste Connections expensive compared with its peers?
On forward p/e it trades at 31.6× against a peer median of 18.1×, 4th most expensive of 20 in its peer set. For today's price to make sense, revenue must grow about 11% a year for seven years (Req g). Recent delivered growth is +13%, so the hurdle is -2 pp: the price already allows for a slowdown.
How has Waste Connections stock performed?
Over six months to 6 Nov 2026 the shares returned +27.2% against -5.9% for the median peer; over one year +13.8%.

How these numbers are made. Returns are close-to-close in local currency. Revenue growth and margins are trailing twelve months. Req g is the revenue growth that today's enterprise value requires for seven years at the company's own cost of capital; Delivered g is what it actually grew; the gap is the hurdle (honest precision about ±8 points, so read the ranking more than the decimal). No fair values, price targets or analyst ratings are shown, by design. Method and validation.