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GFL Environmental IncGFLCompetitor analysis, valuation and peers

United States · USD·Industrials›Environmental Services

Canadian waste-management company providing collection, disposal, recycling and liquid/hazardous waste services in Canada and the US.

Momentum leader 86
Mkt cap
$20.2B
US dollars, full cap
Free float
75%
of shares outstanding
$/day
$231M
20-day average traded
Fwd P/E
58.8×
forward earnings
ROIC−WACC
-6.2 pp
WACC 7.4%
Hurdle
+35 pp
Req g minus delivered
Official | Implied
BB / BB+
agencies · bond market
Next earnings
109 days
23 Feb 2027
Close · USD$46.32
1D+0.4%
1W+2.5%
1M+9.4%
3M+12.5%
6M+26.1%
YTD+7.8%
1Y+5.6%
ATR %2.9%
Beta0.16
52w lowhigh0.9% off high

What GFL Environmental does

Canadian waste-management company providing collection, disposal, recycling and liquid/hazardous waste services in Canada and the US.

Collects fees for picking up waste, through municipal contracts and commercial and industrial accounts, and for dumping it at landfills it owns, which earn more because the sites are hard to permit. Founded in 2007 by Patrick Dovigi, who remains chief executive, it grew through many acquisitions of small haulers. This is the New York-listed line of the Toronto company.

Products and services

  • Solid waste collection/disposal
  • Liquid & hazardous waste services
  • Recycling

Customers

  • Residential, commercial and industrial waste custo

Where it sits in the supply chain

  • Industrials
  • Environmental services
  • Waste collection, disposal…

What could go right

  • Disciplined tuck-in M&A across Canada/US
  • Pricing power from disposal capacity

What could go wrong

  • Higher leverage than peers
  • Recycled-commodity price volatility

Moat: narrow (regulatory licence, scale, installed base). Landfill/hazardous-waste permits are scarce, though GFL's portfolio is younger and more leveraged than peers.

Headquarters: Vaughan, Ontario, Canada · Founded: 2007 · Employees: 15,000

Named competitors

GFL Environmental at a glance

Size GFL Environmental (GFL) is a United States Industrials company (Environmental Services) with a market value of $20.2B, the 492nd largest of 3,117 United States companies the cockpit tracks. Shares closed at $46.32 on 6 Nov 2026.

Performance Over six months the shares gained 26.1%, against +14.9% for the median peer and -1.1% for the United States market (cap-weighted) — 2nd highest of 6 in its peer set.

Growth Revenue grew 5.1% over the last twelve months (peer median +9.7%); the operating margin is 5.1% (peer median 13.2%).

Valuation It trades at 58.8× forward earnings against a peer median of 31.6× (2nd most expensive of 6).

Price implies For today's price to make sense, revenue must grow about 42% a year for seven years (Req g). Recent delivered growth is +8%, so the hurdle is +35 pp: the price needs faster growth than the company has been delivering — of companies that just grew 25–50% a year, 93.8% slowed down over the next four years.

Capital Return on invested capital runs 6.2 points below its cost of capital (7.4% WACC).

Credit GFL Environmental has 4 bonds outstanding ($3.00B), rated BB by the agencies and trading like BB+ at a weighted spread of 131 bp.

Short interest Short interest is 5.2% of the free float (15 Oct 2026).

Next results Next results expected around 23 Feb 2027 (exchange calendar; dates can move).

Relative performance

10012011 May 202611 Aug 20266 Nov 2026GFL 126Peer median 118
Six months, rebased to 100: GFL Environmental against the median of its 5 peers (local-currency closes).

GFL Environmental financials

Reported figures in USD; fiscal year ends 2025-12-31. TTM = trailing twelve months.
TTMFY2025FY2024FY2023FY2022
Revenue$5.22B$4.82B$4.27B$5.67B$4.99B
Revenue growth—+13%-25%+14%—
Gross profit$1.02B$977M$768M$947M$607M
EBITDA$1.34B$1.30B$1.31B$1.42B$1.23B
Net income-$218M$214M-$502M$34.3M-$230M
Free cash flow$132M$278M$231M-$85.2M$231M
Capital expenditure$815M$831M$829M$796M$575M
Total debt$8.69B$5.78B$7.33B$7.00B$7.87B

Quarterly statements and history in the cockpit →

GFL Environmental competitor charts

The default views of Competitor Analysis ▸ Charts, drawn from the same data. Open them in the cockpit to change the axes, pin companies and read every value.

Performance: 6-month against 1-month return

-10%0%+10%+20%+30%-10%0%+10%+20%CLHWCNCWSTFCCRSGGFL6-month return →1-month return →
Up and to the right = strong over both horizons. GFL Environmental is the large dot.

Fundamentals: revenue growth against valuation

+5%+7.5%+10%+12.5%20×40×60×CLHWCNCWSTFCCRSGGFLRevenue growth (TTM) →Forward P/E →
Further right = faster growth; higher = more expensive. The dashed lines are the peer medians. GFL Environmental is the large dot.

Capital: growth delivered against growth the price implies

0%+10%+20%+30%+40%0%20%40%CLHWCNCWSTFCCGFLGrowth delivered (Del g) →Growth the price implies (Req g, 7 yrs) →
Above the diagonal = the price needs more growth than the company has been delivering; below = the price already allows for a slowdown. GFL Environmental is the large dot.

GFL Environmental competitors and peer comparison

Head to head with its named competitors (GFL vs WM vs RSG vs WCN.TO)
CompanyMarket cap6M returnRevenue growthOp. marginForward P/EReq g
GFL Environmental GFL$20.2B+26%+5%5%58.8×42.5%
Waste Management WM$93.9B+10%+5%19%27.4×5.8%
Republic Services RSG$75.2B+24%+4%20%31.9×6.6%
Waste Connections WCN.TO$47.6B+27%+6%18%31.6×10.7%
Casella Waste Systems CWST$6.25B+15%+14%5%72.1×36.3%
Clean Harbors CLH$15.0B-2%+10%13%29.2×11.7%

How GFL Environmental compares with its peers

Peer set: Industry: the same industry and sector in any market, nearest in size. This is the same default set the interactive Competitor Analysis opens with.

GFL Environmental against its 5 peers (data as of 6 Nov 2026)
MeasureGFLPeer medianRank in peer set
1-month return+9.4%+13.8%3rd lowest of 6
6-month return+26.1%+14.9%2nd highest of 6
Distance from 52-week high-0.9%-9.0%highest of 6
Revenue growth (TTM)+5.1%+9.7%2nd lowest of 6
Operating margin5.1%13.2%2nd lowest of 6
Forward P/E58.8×31.6×2nd most expensive of 6
Growth the price implies (Req g, 7 yrs)42.5%10.7%most demanding of 6
Growth delivered (Del g)+7.9%+12.6%lowest of 6
Hurdle (Req g minus delivered)+34.6 pp-2.2 ppmost demanding of 6
ROIC minus cost of capital-6.2 pp+2.1 pplowest of 6
EV / EBITDA21.5×16.3×most expensive of 6
Net debt / EBITDA6.3×2.6×most indebted of 6
Bond spread131 bp64 bp2nd widest of 4

Peer table

Peer set: Industry: the same industry and sector in any market, nearest in size
CompanyMarketMarket cap6M returnRevenue growthOp. marginForward P/EReq gDelivered g
GFL Environmental GFLUnited States$20.2B+26%+5%5%58.8×42.5%+7.9%
Clean Harbors CLHUnited States$15.0B-2%+10%13%29.2×11.7%+13.9%
Waste Connections WCN.TOCanada$47.6B+27%+6%18%31.6×10.7%+12.6%
Casella Waste Systems CWSTUnited States$6.25B+15%+14%5%72.1×36.3%+18.8%
Fomento de Construcciones y Contratas FCC.MCSpain$5.53B-10%+10%7%15.1×2.9%+9.5%
Republic Services RSGUnited States$75.2B+24%+4%20%31.9×6.6%+10.3%

GFL Environmental bonds and credit

GFL Environmental has 4 bonds outstanding with $3.00B face value. The agencies rate it BB; its bonds trade like BB+. Weighted yield 5.86%, a spread of 131 bp over government bonds.

Every bond, yield and spread in the cockpit →

Questions

Who are GFL Environmental's main competitors?
Named competitors: Waste Management (WM), Republic Services (RSG), Waste Connections (WCN.TO), Casella Waste Systems (CWST), Clean Harbors (CLH). The cockpit's measured peer set (industry) also includes Clean Harbors (CLH), Waste Connections (WCN.TO), Casella Waste Systems (CWST), Fomento de Construcciones y Contratas (FCC.MC), Republic Services (RSG).
Is GFL Environmental expensive compared with its peers?
On forward p/e it trades at 58.8× against a peer median of 31.6×, 2nd most expensive of 6 in its peer set. For today's price to make sense, revenue must grow about 42% a year for seven years (Req g). Recent delivered growth is +8%, so the hurdle is +35 pp: the price needs faster growth than the company has been delivering — of companies that just grew 25–50% a year, 93.8% slowed down over the next four years.
How has GFL Environmental stock performed?
Over six months to 6 Nov 2026 the shares returned +26.1% against +14.9% for the median peer; over one year +5.6%.

How these numbers are made. Returns are close-to-close in local currency. Revenue growth and margins are trailing twelve months. Req g is the revenue growth that today's enterprise value requires for seven years at the company's own cost of capital; Delivered g is what it actually grew; the gap is the hurdle (honest precision about ±8 points, so read the ranking more than the decimal). No fair values, price targets or analyst ratings are shown, by design. Method and validation.