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United Parcel ServiceUPSCompetitor analysis, valuation and peers

United States · USD·Industrials›Air Freight/Couriers

Global package delivery company moving parcels and freight for businesses and consumers, plus supply-chain logistics services.

Momentum strong 75
Mkt cap
$92.1B
US dollars, full cap
Free float
100%
of shares outstanding
$/day
$558M
20-day average traded
Fwd P/E
13.6×
forward earnings
ROIC−WACC
+8.3 pp
WACC 8.6%
Hurdle
+3 pp
Req g minus delivered
Official | Implied
A / A+
agencies · bond market
Next earnings
88 days
2 Feb 2027
Close · USD$108.30
1D-2.5%
1W+0.1%
1M+15.1%
3M+3.4%
6M+9.3%
YTD+12.6%
1Y+22.3%
ATR %2.4%
Beta0.70
52w lowhigh8.8% off high

What United Parcel Service does

Global package delivery company moving parcels and freight for businesses and consumers, plus supply-chain logistics services.

Charges per package, with US ground delivery the main earner and a Teamsters-represented workforce a key cost. It is deliberately shrinking low-margin volume for Amazon, its largest customer, to emphasise small businesses, healthcare and international shipments. Supply-chain and freight services earn separately under contracts.

Products and services

  • US Domestic Package
  • International Package
  • Supply Chain Solutions (freight, logistics)

Customers

  • E-commerce retailers
  • Small/medium businesses
  • Enterprise shippers

Where it sits in the supply chain

  • Logistics
  • Parcel delivery and freight
  • Ground/air package delivery network

What could go right

  • E-commerce parcel volume growth
  • Healthcare logistics expansion

What could go wrong

  • Reduced Amazon shipping volume
  • Labor cost/union contract pressure

Moat: wide (scale, distribution, installed base). Dense, hard-to-replicate ground/air delivery network built over a century gives cost and coverage advantages.

Headquarters: Atlanta, Georgia, US · Founded: 1907 · Employees: 460,000

Named competitors

United Parcel Service at a glance

Size United Parcel Service (UPS) is a United States Industrials company (Air Freight/Couriers) with a market value of $92.1B, the 139th largest of 3,117 United States companies the cockpit tracks. Shares closed at $108.30 on 6 Nov 2026.

Performance Over six months the shares gained 9.3%, against +0.6% for the median peer and -1.1% for the United States market (cap-weighted) — 3rd highest of 8 in its peer set.

Growth Revenue fell 0.2% over the last twelve months (peer median +10.5%); the operating margin is 9.3% (peer median 7.8%).

Valuation It trades at 13.6× forward earnings against a peer median of 15.9× (3rd cheapest of 8).

Price implies For today's price to make sense, revenue must grow about 4% a year for seven years (Req g). Recent delivered growth is +1%, so the hurdle is +3 pp: the price needs faster growth than the company has been delivering — of companies that just grew 25–50% a year, 93.8% slowed down over the next four years.

Capital Return on invested capital runs 8.3 points above its cost of capital (8.6% WACC).

Credit United Parcel Service has 28 bonds outstanding ($22.2B), rated A by the agencies and trading like A+ at a weighted spread of 68 bp.

Short interest Short interest is 3.5% of the free float (15 Oct 2026).

Next results Next results expected around 2 Feb 2027 (exchange calendar; dates can move).

Relative performance

9010011012011 May 202611 Aug 20266 Nov 2026UPS 110Peer median 101
Six months, rebased to 100: United Parcel Service against the median of its 7 peers (local-currency closes).

United Parcel Service financials

Reported figures in USD; fiscal year ends 2025-12-31. TTM = trailing twelve months.
TTMFY2025FY2024FY2023FY2022
Revenue$90.0B$88.6B$90.9B$90.7B$100B
Revenue growth—-2%0%-9%—
Gross profit$16.5B$16.4B$17.1B$17.7B$20.1B
EBITDA$12.2B$12.2B$12.3B$12.7B$16.2B
Net income$4.57B$5.57B$5.78B$6.71B$11.5B
Free cash flow$5.46B$4.76B$6.21B$5.08B$9.34B
Capital expenditure$3.41B$3.69B$3.91B$5.16B$4.77B
Total debt$28.7B$28.6B$25.7B$26.7B$23.5B

Quarterly statements and history in the cockpit →

United Parcel Service competitor charts

The default views of Competitor Analysis ▸ Charts, drawn from the same data. Open them in the cockpit to change the axes, pin companies and read every value.

Performance: 6-month against 1-month return

-10%0%+10%+20%0%+10%+20%+30%DHLFDXDSVPSTEXPD6936002352UPS6-month return →1-month return →
Up and to the right = strong over both horizons. United Parcel Service is the large dot.

Fundamentals: revenue growth against valuation

0%+10%+20%+30%15×20×DHLFDXDSVPSTEXPD6936002352UPSRevenue growth (TTM) →Forward P/E →
Further right = faster growth; higher = more expensive. The dashed lines are the peer medians. United Parcel Service is the large dot.

Capital: growth delivered against growth the price implies

-10%0%+10%+20%-10%0%10%20%DHLFDXDSVPSTEXPD6936002352UPSGrowth delivered (Del g) →Growth the price implies (Req g, 7 yrs) →
Above the diagonal = the price needs more growth than the company has been delivering; below = the price already allows for a slowdown. United Parcel Service is the large dot.

United Parcel Service competitors and peer comparison

Head to head with its named competitors (UPS vs FDX vs DHL.DE vs AMZN)
CompanyMarket cap6M returnRevenue growthOp. marginForward P/EReq g
United Parcel Service UPS$92.1B+9%0%9%13.6×3.9%
FedEx FDX$72.2B+1%+8%7%15.4×8.3%
Deutsche Post DHL.DE$72.8B+21%+1%8%16.0×3.3%
Amazon AMZN$2.80T-5%+15%13%26.3×n/a

How United Parcel Service compares with its peers

Peer set: Industry: the same industry and sector in any market, nearest in size. This is the same default set the interactive Competitor Analysis opens with.

United Parcel Service against its 7 peers (data as of 6 Nov 2026)
MeasureUPSPeer medianRank in peer set
1-month return+15.1%+5.6%2nd highest of 8
6-month return+9.3%+0.6%3rd highest of 8
Distance from 52-week high-8.8%-16.5%2nd highest of 8
Revenue growth (TTM)-0.2%+10.5%lowest of 8
Operating margin9.3%7.8%3rd highest of 8
Forward P/E13.6×15.9×3rd cheapest of 8
Growth the price implies (Req g, 7 yrs)3.9%3.9%4th least demanding of 8
Growth delivered (Del g)+1.0%+4.4%2nd lowest of 8
Hurdle (Req g minus delivered)+2.9 pp-1.1 pp4th most demanding of 8
ROIC minus cost of capital+8.3 pp+2.8 pp4th highest of 8
EV / EBITDA9.5×12.6×3rd cheapest of 6
Net debt / EBITDA2.0×2.1×2nd least indebted of 6
Bond spread68 bp93 bp2nd tightest of 4

Peer table

Peer set: Industry: the same industry and sector in any market, nearest in size
CompanyMarketMarket cap6M returnRevenue growthOp. marginForward P/EReq gDelivered g
United Parcel Service UPSUnited States$92.1B+9%0%9%13.6×3.9%+1.0%
Deutsche Post DHL.DEGermany$72.8B+21%+1%8%16.0×3.3%+4.4%
FedEx FDXUnited States$72.2B+1%+8%7%15.4×8.3%+2.5%
Dsv A/s DSV.CODenmark$51.5B-3%+37%8%23.5×3.9%+16.3%
Poste Italiane PST.MIItaly$43.9B+1%+11%14%13.5×17.6%-6.8%
Expeditors International EXPDUnited States$24.0B+18%+19%10%21.1×8.9%+2.9%
S.F 6936.HKHong Kong$23.9B-12%+11%5%12.5×-11.4%+14.1%
S.F 002352.SZChina$23.9B-7%+6%5%15.9×-12.9%+14.9%

United Parcel Service bonds and credit

United Parcel Service has 28 bonds outstanding with $22.2B face value. The agencies rate it A; its bonds trade like A+. Weighted yield 5.54%, a spread of 68 bp over government bonds.

Every bond, yield and spread in the cockpit →

Questions

Who are United Parcel Service's main competitors?
Named competitors: FedEx (FDX), United States Postal Service (private or unlisted), Deutsche Post DHL (DHL.DE), Amazon Logistics (AMZN). The cockpit's measured peer set (industry) also includes Deutsche Post (DHL.DE), FedEx (FDX), Dsv A/s (DSV.CO), Poste Italiane (PST.MI), Expeditors International (EXPD), S.F (6936.HK).
Is United Parcel Service expensive compared with its peers?
On forward p/e it trades at 13.6× against a peer median of 15.9×, 3rd cheapest of 8 in its peer set. For today's price to make sense, revenue must grow about 4% a year for seven years (Req g). Recent delivered growth is +1%, so the hurdle is +3 pp: the price needs faster growth than the company has been delivering — of companies that just grew 25–50% a year, 93.8% slowed down over the next four years.
How has United Parcel Service stock performed?
Over six months to 6 Nov 2026 the shares returned +9.3% against +0.6% for the median peer; over one year +22.3%.

How these numbers are made. Returns are close-to-close in local currency. Revenue growth and margins are trailing twelve months. Req g is the revenue growth that today's enterprise value requires for seven years at the company's own cost of capital; Delivered g is what it actually grew; the gap is the hurdle (honest precision about ±8 points, so read the ranking more than the decimal). No fair values, price targets or analyst ratings are shown, by design. Method and validation.