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← CockpitCompetitor Analysis › DHL.DE Deutsche Post AGOpen in the cockpit ↗

Deutsche Post AGDHL.DECompetitor analysis, valuation and peers

Germany · EUR·Industrials›Air Freight/Couriers

Operates Germany's postal service and DHL, one of the world's largest express delivery, freight and logistics networks.

≈ Germany's USPS combined with FedEx/UPSMomentum leader 80
Mkt cap
$72.8B
US dollars, full cap
Free float
79%
of shares outstanding
$/day
$96.5M
20-day average traded
Fwd P/E
16.0×
forward earnings
ROIC−WACC
+2.5 pp
WACC 7.4%
Hurdle
-1 pp
Req g minus delivered
Next earnings
119 days
5 Mar 2027
Close · EUR€58.02
1D-3.9%
1W-1.1%
1M+5.6%
3M+4.9%
6M+21.1%
YTD+24.2%
1Y+34.9%
ATR %2.2%
52w lowhigh5.3% off high

What Deutsche Post does

Operates Germany's postal service and DHL, one of the world's largest express delivery, freight and logistics networks.

Express delivery carries the profit: customers pay for time-guaranteed international parcels, and results follow world trade and e-commerce volumes. Forwarding is bought per shipment and moves with freight rates, while the German mail and parcel business is regulated. The German state, through KfW, is a large shareholder. It renamed itself DHL Group in 2022.

In one line: Germany's USPS combined with FedEx/UPS.

Products and services

  • DHL Express (international parcel/document)
  • Post & Parcel Germany
  • Global Forwarding, Freight
  • Supply Chain (contract logistics)

Customers

  • E-commerce retailers
  • Corporates (freight/forwarding)
  • Consumers (mail/parcel)

Where it sits in the supply chain

  • Logistics
  • Mail, parcel & freight networks
  • Express, freight forwarding, supply…

What could go right

  • Global e-commerce parcel growth
  • Cross-border trade volumes
  • Cost efficiency programs

What could go wrong

  • Freight/forwarding rate cyclicality
  • Fuel and labor costs
  • German postal regulation/price caps

Moat: narrow (scale, installed base, distribution). Dense global express network and Germany's universal postal licence, though logistics margins are thin and competitive.

Headquarters: Bonn, Germany · Founded: 1995 · Employees: 583,998

Named competitors

Deutsche Post at a glance

Size Deutsche Post (DHL.DE) is a Germany Industrials company (Air Freight/Couriers) with a market value of $72.8B, the 7th largest of 205 Germany companies the cockpit tracks. Shares closed at €58.02 on 6 Nov 2026.

Performance Over six months the shares gained 21.1%, against +1.0% for the median peer and +2.6% for the Germany market (cap-weighted) — highest of 9 in its peer set.

Growth Revenue grew 1.3% over the last twelve months (peer median +9.1%); the operating margin is 7.8% (peer median 8.5%).

Valuation It trades at 16.0× forward earnings against a peer median of 15.6× (4th most expensive of 9).

Price implies For today's price to make sense, revenue must grow about 3% a year for seven years (Req g). Recent delivered growth is +4%, so the hurdle is -1 pp: the price already allows for a slowdown.

Capital Return on invested capital runs 2.5 points above its cost of capital (7.4% WACC).

Next results Next results expected around 5 Mar 2027 (exchange calendar; dates can move).

Relative performance

10012011 May 202611 Aug 20266 Nov 2026DHL.DE 124Peer median 101
Six months, rebased to 100: Deutsche Post against the median of its 8 peers (local-currency closes).

Deutsche Post financials

Reported figures in EUR; fiscal year ends 2025-12-31. TTM = trailing twelve months.
TTMFY2025FY2024FY2023FY2022
Revenue€85.0B€82.9B€84.2B€81.8B€94.4B
Revenue growth—-2%+3%-13%—
Gross profit€9.75B€8.99B€8.63B€8.83B€11.3B
EBITDA€11.6B€8.87B€8.60B€8.87B€10.7B
Net income€3.72B€3.50B€3.33B€3.67B€5.36B
Free cash flow€6.18B€5.61B€5.12B€5.42B€6.60B
Capital expenditure€2.87B€2.79B€2.94B€3.38B€3.91B
Total debt€28.0B€25.4B€22.4B€20.8B€20.2B

Quarterly statements and history in the cockpit →

Deutsche Post competitor charts

The default views of Competitor Analysis ▸ Charts, drawn from the same data. Open them in the cockpit to change the axes, pin companies and read every value.

Performance: 6-month against 1-month return

-10%0%+10%+20%0%+10%+20%+30%FDXUPSDSVPSTEXPD6936002352BXBDHL.DE6-month return →1-month return →
Up and to the right = strong over both horizons. Deutsche Post is the large dot.

Fundamentals: revenue growth against valuation

0%+10%+20%+30%15×20×FDXUPSDSVPSTEXPD6936002352BXBDHL.DERevenue growth (TTM) →Forward P/E →
Further right = faster growth; higher = more expensive. The dashed lines are the peer medians. Deutsche Post is the large dot.

Capital: growth delivered against growth the price implies

-10%0%+10%+20%-10%0%10%20%FDXUPSDSVPSTEXPD6936002352BXBDHL.DEGrowth delivered (Del g) →Growth the price implies (Req g, 7 yrs) →
Above the diagonal = the price needs more growth than the company has been delivering; below = the price already allows for a slowdown. Deutsche Post is the large dot.

Deutsche Post competitors and peer comparison

Head to head with its named competitors (DHL.DE vs UPS vs FDX vs DSV.CO)
CompanyMarket cap6M returnRevenue growthOp. marginForward P/EReq g
Deutsche Post DHL.DE$72.8B+21%+1%8%16.0×3.3%
United Parcel Service UPS$92.1B+9%0%9%13.6×3.9%
FedEx FDX$72.2B+1%+8%7%15.4×8.3%
Dsv A/s DSV.CO$51.5B-3%+37%8%23.5×3.9%
Kuehne & Nagel International KNIN.SW$34.3B+35%+1%5%25.4×3.2%

How Deutsche Post compares with its peers

Peer set: Industry: the same industry and sector in any market, nearest in size. This is the same default set the interactive Competitor Analysis opens with.

Deutsche Post against its 8 peers (data as of 6 Nov 2026)
MeasureDHL.DEPeer medianRank in peer set
1-month return+5.6%+11.1%3rd lowest of 9
6-month return+21.1%+1.0%highest of 9
Distance from 52-week high-5.3%-14.6%highest of 9
Revenue growth (TTM)+1.3%+9.1%3rd lowest of 9
Operating margin7.8%8.5%5th highest of 9
Forward P/E16.0×15.6×4th most expensive of 9
Growth the price implies (Req g, 7 yrs)3.3%6.1%3rd least demanding of 9
Growth delivered (Del g)+4.4%+5.6%5th highest of 9
Hurdle (Req g minus delivered)-1.1 pp+1.8 pp4th least demanding of 9
ROIC minus cost of capital+2.5 pp+7.1 pp3rd lowest of 9
EV / EBITDA7.7×11.8×cheapest of 7
Net debt / EBITDA2.0×2.0×4th least indebted of 7

Peer table

Peer set: Industry: the same industry and sector in any market, nearest in size
CompanyMarketMarket cap6M returnRevenue growthOp. marginForward P/EReq gDelivered g
Deutsche Post DHL.DEGermany$72.8B+21%+1%8%16.0×3.3%+4.4%
FedEx FDXUnited States$72.2B+1%+8%7%15.4×8.3%+2.5%
United Parcel Service UPSUnited States$92.1B+9%0%9%13.6×3.9%+1.0%
Dsv A/s DSV.CODenmark$51.5B-3%+37%8%23.5×3.9%+16.3%
Poste Italiane PST.MIItaly$43.9B+1%+11%14%13.5×17.6%-6.8%
Expeditors International EXPDUnited States$24.0B+18%+19%10%21.1×8.9%+2.9%
S.F 6936.HKHong Kong$23.9B-12%+11%5%12.5×-11.4%+14.1%
S.F 002352.SZChina$23.9B-7%+6%5%15.9×-12.9%+14.9%
Brambles BXB.AXAustralia$20.4B+2%+1%17%20.8×8.9%+8.3%

Questions

Who are Deutsche Post's main competitors?
Named competitors: UPS (UPS), FedEx (FDX), Geopost/DPD (La Poste) (private or unlisted), DSV A/S (DSV.CO), Kuehne+Nagel (KNIN.SW). The cockpit's measured peer set (industry) also includes FedEx (FDX), United Parcel Service (UPS), Dsv A/s (DSV.CO), Poste Italiane (PST.MI), Expeditors International (EXPD), S.F (6936.HK).
Is Deutsche Post expensive compared with its peers?
On forward p/e it trades at 16.0× against a peer median of 15.6×, 4th most expensive of 9 in its peer set. For today's price to make sense, revenue must grow about 3% a year for seven years (Req g). Recent delivered growth is +4%, so the hurdle is -1 pp: the price already allows for a slowdown.
How has Deutsche Post stock performed?
Over six months to 6 Nov 2026 the shares returned +21.1% against +1.0% for the median peer; over one year +34.9%.

How these numbers are made. Returns are close-to-close in local currency. Revenue growth and margins are trailing twelve months. Req g is the revenue growth that today's enterprise value requires for seven years at the company's own cost of capital; Delivered g is what it actually grew; the gap is the hurdle (honest precision about ±8 points, so read the ranking more than the decimal). No fair values, price targets or analyst ratings are shown, by design. Method and validation.