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UPM-Kymmene OyjUPM.HECompetitor analysis, valuation and peers

Finland · EUR·Materials›Pulp & Paper

Finnish forest-products company making pulp, paper, biofuels and specialty biomaterials.

Momentum weak 32
Mkt cap
$13.3B
US dollars, full cap
$/day
$28.2M
20-day average traded
Fwd P/E
18.2×
forward earnings
ROIC−WACC
-2.2 pp
WACC 6.7%
Hurdle
+4 pp
Req g minus delivered
Official | Implied
BBB / BBB+
agencies · bond market
Next earnings
90 days
4 Feb 2027
Close · EUR€22.46
1D-1.0%
1W-1.2%
1M-6.9%
3M-3.2%
6M-10.8%
YTD-9.4%
1Y-3.1%
ATR %2.6%
52w lowhigh19.6% off high

What UPM-Kymmene does

Finnish forest-products company making pulp, paper, biofuels and specialty biomaterials.

Sells pulp and paper at world-market prices, and owns shares in Finnish power companies, including nuclear and hydropower, which cushions its energy costs. Its Uruguay pulp mill, opened in 2023, shifted the weight of the business from declining paper toward pulp.

Products and services

  • Pulp
  • Paper
  • Biofuels (renewable diesel from tall oil)
  • Specialty papers/labels

Customers

  • Packaging converters, fuel distributors, industria

Where it sits in the supply chain

  • Materials
  • Forest products
  • Pulp, paper, biofuels & biomaterials

What could go right

  • Renewable fuel/biochemical diversification
  • Global pulp demand growth

What could go wrong

  • Paper segment structural decline
  • Pulp price cyclicality

Moat: narrow (scale, installed base). Vertically integrated forest ownership and biorefining scale across multiple output streams.

Headquarters: Helsinki, Finland · Founded: 1996 · Employees: 15,127

Named competitors

UPM-Kymmene at a glance

Size UPM-Kymmene (UPM.HE) is a Finland Materials company (Pulp & Paper) with a market value of $13.3B, the 10th largest of 65 Finland companies the cockpit tracks. Shares closed at €22.46 on 6 Nov 2026.

Performance Over six months the shares fell 10.8%, against +7.5% for the median peer and -2.9% for the Finland market (cap-weighted) — lowest of 7 in its peer set.

Growth Revenue fell 6.0% over the last twelve months (peer median +1.9%); the operating margin is 8.3% (peer median 9.9%).

Valuation It trades at 18.2× forward earnings against a peer median of 17.1× (3rd most expensive of 7).

Price implies For today's price to make sense, revenue must grow about 6% a year for seven years (Req g). Recent delivered growth is +2%, so the hurdle is +4 pp: the price needs faster growth than the company has been delivering — of companies that just grew 25–50% a year, 93.8% slowed down over the next four years.

Capital Return on invested capital runs 2.2 points below its cost of capital (6.7% WACC).

Credit UPM-Kymmene has 5 bonds outstanding ($2.99B), rated BBB by the agencies and trading like BBB+ at a weighted spread of 96 bp.

Next results Next results expected around 4 Feb 2027 (exchange calendar; dates can move).

Relative performance

9010011011 May 202611 Aug 20266 Nov 2026Peer median 109UPM.HE 89
Six months, rebased to 100: UPM-Kymmene against the median of its 6 peers (local-currency closes).

UPM-Kymmene financials

Reported figures in EUR; fiscal year ends 2025-12-31. TTM = trailing twelve months.
TTMFY2025FY2024FY2023FY2022
Revenue€9.37B€9.62B€10.3B€10.4B€11.8B
Revenue growth—-7%-1%-12%—
Gross profit€693M€1.49B€2.04B€1.69B€2.88B
EBITDA€1.29B€1.01B€1.58B€1.14B€2.38B
Net income€688M€480M€436M€388M€1.52B
Free cash flow€1.01B€977M€754M€1.19B-€969M
Capital expenditure€359M€428M€608M€1.08B€1.48B
Total debt€3.73B€3.79B€3.91B€3.38B€5.03B

Quarterly statements and history in the cockpit →

UPM-Kymmene competitor charts

The default views of Competitor Analysis ▸ Charts, drawn from the same data. Open them in the cockpit to change the axes, pin companies and read every value.

Performance: 6-month against 1-month return

-10%0%+10%+20%0%+10%AVYSUZIPSCA-A002078HOLM-AUPM.HE6-month return →1-month return →
Up and to the right = strong over both horizons. UPM-Kymmene is the large dot.

Fundamentals: revenue growth against valuation

-5%0%+5%+10%10×20×30×AVYSUZIPSCA-A002078HOLM-AUPM.HERevenue growth (TTM) →Forward P/E →
Further right = faster growth; higher = more expensive. The dashed lines are the peer medians. UPM-Kymmene is the large dot.

Capital: growth delivered against growth the price implies

0%+10%+20%+30%0%10%20%30%AVYSUZIPSCA-AHOLM-AUPM.HEGrowth delivered (Del g) →Growth the price implies (Req g, 7 yrs) →
Above the diagonal = the price needs more growth than the company has been delivering; below = the price already allows for a slowdown. UPM-Kymmene is the large dot.

UPM-Kymmene competitors and peer comparison

Head to head with its named competitors (UPM.HE vs STEAV.HE vs METSA.HE vs SW)
CompanyMarket cap6M returnRevenue growthOp. marginForward P/EReq g
UPM-Kymmene UPM.HE$13.3B-11%-6%8%18.2×6.1%
Stora Enso STEAV.HE$8.58B0%-1%-4%18.4×n/a
Metsa Board METSA.HE$1.22B-17%-11%-4%n/a16.7%
Smurfit Westrock SW$23.1B+7%+1%5%15.1×13.5%

How UPM-Kymmene compares with its peers

Peer set: Industry: the same industry and sector in any market, nearest in size. This is the same default set the interactive Competitor Analysis opens with.

UPM-Kymmene against its 6 peers (data as of 6 Nov 2026)
MeasureUPM.HEPeer medianRank in peer set
1-month return-6.9%+6.1%lowest of 7
6-month return-10.8%+7.5%lowest of 7
Distance from 52-week high-19.6%-17.4%3rd lowest of 7
Revenue growth (TTM)-6.0%+1.9%lowest of 7
Operating margin8.3%9.9%3rd lowest of 7
Forward P/E18.2×17.1×3rd most expensive of 7
Growth the price implies (Req g, 7 yrs)6.1%7.7%3rd least demanding of 6
Growth delivered (Del g)+2.3%+6.1%2nd lowest of 6
Hurdle (Req g minus delivered)+3.8 pp+1.5 pp3rd most demanding of 6
ROIC minus cost of capital-2.2 pp-1.6 pp4th highest of 7
EV / EBITDA11.9×11.1×3rd most expensive of 6
Net debt / EBITDA2.4×3.4×3rd least indebted of 6
Bond spread96 bpn/a—

Peer table

Peer set: Industry: the same industry and sector in any market, nearest in size
CompanyMarketMarket cap6M returnRevenue growthOp. marginForward P/EReq gDelivered g
UPM-Kymmene UPM.HEFinland$13.3B-11%-6%8%18.2×6.1%+2.3%
Avery Dennison AVYUnited States$14.1B+14%+7%13%17.4×1.9%+4.9%
Suzano S.A. Sponsored ADR SUZUnited States$12.0B+9%+1%19%16.9×3.2%+8.7%
International Paper IPUnited States$18.3B+6%+3%3%15.8×26.4%+6.1%
Svenska Cellulosa AB SCA SCA-A.STSweden$8.72B+21%-3%6%33.7×30.3%+2.1%
Shandong Sunpaper 002078.SZChina$6.02B-4%+9%11%10.4×n/an/a
Holmen HOLM-A.STSweden$4.73B-1%-5%9%22.2×7.7%+6.2%

UPM-Kymmene bonds and credit

UPM-Kymmene has 5 bonds outstanding with $2.99B face value. The agencies rate it BBB; its bonds trade like BBB+. Weighted yield 4.13%, a spread of 96 bp over government bonds.

Every bond, yield and spread in the cockpit →

Questions

Who are UPM-Kymmene's main competitors?
Named competitors: Stora Enso (STEAV.HE), Metsa Board (METSA.HE), Smurfit WestRock (SW), Sappi (private or unlisted). The cockpit's measured peer set (industry) also includes Avery Dennison (AVY), Suzano S.A. Sponsored ADR (SUZ), International Paper (IP), Svenska Cellulosa AB SCA (SCA-A.ST), Shandong Sunpaper (002078.SZ), Holmen (HOLM-A.ST).
Is UPM-Kymmene expensive compared with its peers?
On forward p/e it trades at 18.2× against a peer median of 17.1×, 3rd most expensive of 7 in its peer set. For today's price to make sense, revenue must grow about 6% a year for seven years (Req g). Recent delivered growth is +2%, so the hurdle is +4 pp: the price needs faster growth than the company has been delivering — of companies that just grew 25–50% a year, 93.8% slowed down over the next four years.
How has UPM-Kymmene stock performed?
Over six months to 6 Nov 2026 the shares returned -10.8% against +7.5% for the median peer; over one year -3.1%.

How these numbers are made. Returns are close-to-close in local currency. Revenue growth and margins are trailing twelve months. Req g is the revenue growth that today's enterprise value requires for seven years at the company's own cost of capital; Delivered g is what it actually grew; the gap is the hurdle (honest precision about ±8 points, so read the ranking more than the decimal). No fair values, price targets or analyst ratings are shown, by design. Method and validation.