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Newag SANWG.WACompetitor analysis, valuation and peers

Poland · PLN·Industrials›Trucks/Construction/Farm Machinery

Polish manufacturer of trains and trams, building electric multiple units, locomotives and rolling stock for rail operators.

≈ A Polish train and tram manufacturerMomentum laggard 16
Mkt cap
$1.04B
US dollars, full cap
Free float
48%
of shares outstanding
$/day
$309,133
20-day average traded
Fwd P/E
11.9×
forward earnings
ROIC−WACC
+27.9 pp
WACC 10.9%
Hurdle
-17 pp
Req g minus delivered
Next earnings
26 days
2 Dec 2026
Close · PLNPLN 90.40
1D-2.4%
1W-7.5%
1M-10.5%
3M-5.8%
6M-15.7%
YTD-4.1%
1Y-3.4%
ATR %3.7%
52w lowhigh30.8% off high

What Newag does

Polish manufacturer of trains and trams, building electric multiple units, locomotives and rolling stock for rail operators.

Wins train orders mainly through public tenders by regional governments and rail operators, then books revenue as vehicles are delivered over several years, and later earns from repairs and maintenance. Funding for Polish regional rail depends on EU and national budgets.

In one line: A Polish train and tram manufacturer.

Products and services

  • Electric multiple units (EMUs)
  • Locomotives
  • Trams
  • Rolling stock modernization/repair

Customers

  • Polish national/regional rail operators
  • European rail operators
  • City transit authorities

Where it sits in the supply chain

  • Rail industrials
  • Rolling stock manufacturing
  • EMUs, locomotives & trams

What could go right

  • EU rail investment/modernization funding
  • Export order growth

What could go wrong

  • Reliance on public rail procurement tenders
  • Past reputational issues from a software-lockout scandal

Moat: narrow (process know-how, customer qualification, regulatory licence). Rail vehicle type-approval/certification requirements and long-term maintenance relationships create switching costs.

Headquarters: Nowy Sacz, Poland · Founded: 1876 · Employees: 1,933

Named competitors

  • Alstom ALO.PA
  • Stadler Rail SRAIL.SW
  • Skoda Group private or unlisted
  • PESA Bydgoszcz private or unlisted

Newag at a glance

Size Newag (NWG.WA) is a Poland Industrials company (Trucks/Construction/Farm Machinery) with a market value of $1.04B, the 37th largest of 83 Poland companies the cockpit tracks. Shares closed at PLN 90.40 on 6 Nov 2026.

Performance Over six months the shares fell 15.7%, against -20.2% for the median peer and +14.3% for the Poland market (cap-weighted) — 9th highest of 21 in its peer set.

Growth Revenue grew 44.5% over the last twelve months (peer median +10.7%); the operating margin is 21.0% (peer median 9.3%).

Valuation It trades at 11.9× forward earnings against a peer median of 19.6× (5th cheapest of 12).

Price implies For today's price to make sense, revenue must grow about -4% a year for seven years (Req g). Recent delivered growth is +13%, so the hurdle is -17 pp: the price already allows for a slowdown.

Capital Return on invested capital runs 27.9 points above its cost of capital (10.9% WACC).

Next results Next results expected around 2 Dec 2026 (exchange calendar; dates can move).

Relative performance

809010011 May 202611 Aug 20266 Nov 2026NWG.WA 80Peer median 80
Six months, rebased to 100: Newag against the median of its 20 peers (local-currency closes).

Newag financials

Reported figures in PLN; fiscal year ends 2025-12-31. TTM = trailing twelve months.
TTMFY2025FY2024FY2023FY2022
RevenuePLN 2.69BPLN 2.39BPLN 1.59BPLN 1.23BPLN 964M
Revenue growth—+50%+29%+28%—
Gross profitPLN 766MPLN 678MPLN 336MPLN 263MPLN 148M
EBITDAPLN 624MPLN 495MPLN 220MPLN 179MPLN 96.6M
Net incomePLN 432MPLN 356MPLN 122MPLN 95.2MPLN 22.8M
Free cash flowPLN 323MPLN 425M-PLN 94.7MPLN 632M-PLN 56.4M
Capital expenditurePLN 68.7MPLN 46.1MPLN 68.1MPLN 32.6MPLN 13.5M
Total debtPLN 98.0MPLN 117MPLN 140MPLN 215MPLN 407M

Quarterly statements and history in the cockpit →

Newag competitor charts

The default views of Competitor Analysis ▸ Charts, drawn from the same data. Open them in the cockpit to change the axes, pin companies and read every value.

Performance: 6-month against 1-month return

-60%-40%-20%0%-20%-10%0%+10%6395002667LNNVOS0020976001696250TITAGARH439260300486002651300440JWL300159071970601890KMEWENGCON-BASB603680NWG.WA6-month return →1-month return →
Up and to the right = strong over both horizons. Newag is the large dot.

Fundamentals: revenue growth against valuation

0%+20%+40%10×20×30×6395LNNVOS6250TITAGARH439260JWL071970601890ENGCON-BASBNWG.WARevenue growth (TTM) →Forward P/E →
Further right = faster growth; higher = more expensive. The dashed lines are the peer medians. Newag is the large dot.

Capital: growth delivered against growth the price implies

0%+20%+40%0%20%40%LNNVOS6001696250TITAGARH300486002651300440071970601890ENGCON-B603680NWG.WAGrowth delivered (Del g) →Growth the price implies (Req g, 7 yrs) →
Above the diagonal = the price needs more growth than the company has been delivering; below = the price already allows for a slowdown. Newag is the large dot.

Newag competitors and peer comparison

Head to head with its named competitors (NWG.WA vs ALO.PA vs SRAIL.SW)
CompanyMarket cap6M returnRevenue growthOp. marginForward P/EReq g
Newag NWG.WA$1.04B-16%+45%21%11.9×-4.3%
Alstom ALO.PA$5.56B-40%+4%4%n/a2.7%
Stadler Rail SRAIL.SW$3.84B+38%+26%5%19.8×0.2%

How Newag compares with its peers

Peer set: Industry: the same industry and sector in any market, nearest in size. This is the same default set the interactive Competitor Analysis opens with.

Newag against its 20 peers (data as of 6 Nov 2026)
MeasureNWG.WAPeer medianRank in peer set
1-month return-10.5%-5.4%7th lowest of 21
6-month return-15.7%-20.2%9th highest of 21
Distance from 52-week high-30.8%-40.1%9th highest of 21
Revenue growth (TTM)+44.5%+10.7%4th highest of 21
Operating margin21.0%9.3%4th highest of 21
Forward P/E11.9×19.6×5th cheapest of 12
Growth the price implies (Req g, 7 yrs)-4.3%8.8%3rd least demanding of 13
Growth delivered (Del g)+12.6%+7.2%3rd highest of 13
Hurdle (Req g minus delivered)-16.8 pp+0.4 pp2nd least demanding of 13
ROIC minus cost of capital+27.9 pp-1.8 pp2nd highest of 21
EV / EBITDA6.5×17.1×4th cheapest of 11
Net debt / EBITDA-0.1×0.7×3rd least indebted of 11

Peer table

Peer set: Industry: the same industry and sector in any market, nearest in size
CompanyMarketMarket cap6M returnRevenue growthOp. marginForward P/EReq gDelivered g
Newag NWG.WAPoland$1.04B-16%+45%21%11.9×-4.3%+12.6%
TADANO 6395.TJapan$1.02B-8%+21%9%10.8×n/an/a
Willing New Energy 002667.SZChina$1.08B-20%+49%-44%n/an/an/a
Lindsay LNNUnited States$1.08B-3%-6%11%20.4×6.0%+2.3%
Vossloh Aktiengesellschaft VOS.DEGermany$1.08B-31%+21%5%21.7×12.9%+9.1%
Sunward Intelligent Equipment 002097.SZChina$985M-38%+10%1%n/an/an/a
Taiyuan Heavy Industry 600169.SSChina$1.10B-8%+10%6%n/a-3.8%+3.7%
Yamabiko 6250.TJapan$1.11B+8%+10%13%9.9×-2.2%+5.7%
Titagarh Rail Systems TITAGARH.NSIndia$967M-20%-10%10%34.8×45.4%+15.9%
DAEHAN SHIPBUILDING 439260.KSSouth Korea$955M-62%+14%26%4.4×n/an/a
OMH SCIENCE 300486.SZChina$1.17B-30%+35%2%n/a47.7%-0.3%
Chengdu Leejun Industrial 002651.SZChina$1.17B-20%+7%-6%n/a15.0%-2.3%
Chengdu Yunda Technology 300440.SZChina$1.17B-1%+9%6%n/a42.0%+8.7%
Jupiter Wagons JWL.NSIndia$896M-35%-12%10%32.8×n/an/a
Xinjiang Machinery Research Institute 300159.SZChina$1.21B-28%+28%-40%n/an/an/a
HD-Hyundai Marine Engine 071970.KSSouth Korea$887M-66%+54%26%8.7×-9.8%+10.2%
Asian Star Anchor Chain 601890.SSChina$1.22B-23%+2%13%19.6×10.7%+13.5%
Knowledge Marine & Engineering Works KMEW.NSIndia$876M+44%+57%40%n/an/an/a
engcon ENGCON-B.STSweden$876M-13%+16%16%29.7×7.0%+11.9%
Austal ASB.AXAustralia$1.23B0%+11%-7%18.1×n/an/a
KTK 603680.SSChina$1.28B-24%-16%17%n/a-6.0%+2.3%

Questions

Who are Newag's main competitors?
Named competitors: Alstom (ALO.PA), Stadler Rail (SRAIL.SW), Skoda Group (private or unlisted), PESA Bydgoszcz (private or unlisted). The cockpit's measured peer set (industry) also includes TADANO (6395.T), Willing New Energy (002667.SZ), Lindsay (LNN), Vossloh Aktiengesellschaft (VOS.DE), Sunward Intelligent Equipment (002097.SZ), Taiyuan Heavy Industry (600169.SS).
Is Newag expensive compared with its peers?
On forward p/e it trades at 11.9× against a peer median of 19.6×, 5th cheapest of 12 in its peer set. For today's price to make sense, revenue must grow about -4% a year for seven years (Req g). Recent delivered growth is +13%, so the hurdle is -17 pp: the price already allows for a slowdown.
How has Newag stock performed?
Over six months to 6 Nov 2026 the shares returned -15.7% against -20.2% for the median peer; over one year -3.4%.

How these numbers are made. Returns are close-to-close in local currency. Revenue growth and margins are trailing twelve months. Req g is the revenue growth that today's enterprise value requires for seven years at the company's own cost of capital; Delivered g is what it actually grew; the gap is the hurdle (honest precision about ±8 points, so read the ranking more than the decimal). No fair values, price targets or analyst ratings are shown, by design. Method and validation.