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← CockpitCompetitor Analysis › NFI.TO NFI Group Inc.Open in the cockpit ↗

NFI Group Inc.NFI.TOCompetitor analysis, valuation and peers

Canada · CAD·Industrials›Trucks/Construction/Farm Machinery

Manufactures transit buses and motor coaches under the New Flyer and MCI brands, including zero-emission models.

Momentum strong 60
Mkt cap
$2.06B
US dollars, full cap
Free float
99%
of shares outstanding
$/day
$6.57M
20-day average traded
Fwd P/E
11.0×
forward earnings
ROIC−WACC
-2.0 pp
WACC 5.1%
Hurdle
+3 pp
Req g minus delivered
Next earnings
118 days
4 Mar 2027
Close · CADC$24.25
1D-6.9%
1W-0.6%
1M-3.4%
3M-2.9%
6M+12.7%
YTD+56.2%
1Y+72.2%
ATR %4.3%
52w lowhigh11.4% off high

What NFI does

Manufactures transit buses and motor coaches under the New Flyer and MCI brands, including zero-emission models.

Sells buses to transit agencies through public tenders, often on multi-year contracts, so orders follow government funding and delivery is slow; the backlog gives visibility. Aftermarket parts and service for the large installed fleet add steadier income. Its UK unit, Alexander Dennis, brings double-deck and electric buses.

Products and services

  • New Flyer transit buses
  • MCI motor coaches
  • Zero-emission (electric/fuel-cell) buses
  • Aftermarket parts & service

Customers

  • Transit agencies (North America)
  • Motor coach operators

Where it sits in the supply chain

  • Industrials
  • Bus/coach manufacturing
  • OEM + zero-emission propulsion

What could go right

  • Government transit electrification funding/mandates
  • Aging North American transit fleet replacement cycle

What could go wrong

  • Supply-chain/production execution risk on zero-emission ramp-up
  • Dependence on public transit agency capital budgets

Moat: narrow (installed base, regulatory licence, scale). Largest heavy-duty transit bus manufacturer in North America with deep public-agency relationships.

Headquarters: Winnipeg, Canada · Employees: 9,300

Named competitors

  • Gillig private or unlisted
  • BYD 1211.HK
  • Nova Bus (Volvo) private or unlisted
  • CAF private or unlisted
  • Yutong Bus 600066.SS

NFI at a glance

Size NFI (NFI.TO) is a Canada Industrials company (Trucks/Construction/Farm Machinery) with a market value of $2.06B, the 182nd largest of 420 Canada companies the cockpit tracks. Shares closed at C$24.25 on 6 Nov 2026.

Performance Over six months the shares gained 12.7%, against -12.7% for the median peer and +5.2% for the Canada market (cap-weighted) — 3rd highest of 21 in its peer set.

Growth Revenue grew 14.8% over the last twelve months (peer median +11.7%); the operating margin is 1.9% (peer median 6.7%).

Valuation It trades at 11.0× forward earnings against a peer median of 11.5× (8th cheapest of 18).

Price implies For today's price to make sense, revenue must grow about 12% a year for seven years (Req g). Recent delivered growth is +9%, so the hurdle is +3 pp: the price needs faster growth than the company has been delivering — of companies that just grew 25–50% a year, 93.8% slowed down over the next four years.

Capital Return on invested capital runs 2.0 points below its cost of capital (5.1% WACC).

Next results Next results expected around 4 Mar 2027 (exchange calendar; dates can move).

Relative performance

8010012011 May 202611 Aug 20266 Nov 2026NFI.TO 113Peer median 88
Six months, rebased to 100: NFI against the median of its 20 peers (local-currency closes).

NFI financials

Reported figures in CAD; fiscal year ends 2025-12-31. TTM = trailing twelve months.
TTMFY2025FY2024FY2023FY2022
RevenueC$5.22BC$5.05BC$4.28BC$3.63BC$2.68B
Revenue growth—+18%+18%+35%—
Gross profitC$480MC$378MC$479MC$298MC$64.0M
EBITDAC$214MC$123MC$278MC$84.2M-C$106M
Net incomeC$77.4M-C$199M-C$4.52M-C$184M-C$360M
Free cash flowC$374MC$195M-C$20.5M-C$122M-C$343M
Capital expenditureC$80.1MC$63.3MC$65.6MC$49.9MC$41.1M
Total debtC$1.73BC$1.77BC$1.70BC$1.50BC$1.69B

Quarterly statements and history in the cockpit →

NFI competitor charts

The default views of Competitor Analysis ▸ Charts, drawn from the same data. Open them in the cockpit to change the axes, pin companies and read every value.

Performance: 6-month against 1-month return

-40%-20%0%+20%-20%0%600761000680301039700360071060103864326884850027793105TRN600528CADLRDEZBEML603950605389605099WAC000528NFI.TO6-month return →1-month return →
Up and to the right = strong over both horizons. NFI is the large dot.

Fundamentals: revenue growth against valuation

0%+20%+40%0×50×100×150×6007610006803010396010380027793105TRNCADLRBEML603950NFI.TORevenue growth (TTM) →Forward P/E →
Further right = faster growth; higher = more expensive. The dashed lines are the peer medians. NFI is the large dot.

Capital: growth delivered against growth the price implies

-20%0%+20%+40%-20%0%20%40%600761000680301039700360071060103864323105600528DEZ603950605389WACNFI.TOGrowth delivered (Del g) →Growth the price implies (Req g, 7 yrs) →
Above the diagonal = the price needs more growth than the company has been delivering; below = the price already allows for a slowdown. NFI is the large dot.

NFI competitors and peer comparison

Head to head with its named competitors (NFI.TO vs 1211.HK vs 600066.SS)
CompanyMarket cap6M returnRevenue growthOp. marginForward P/EReq g
NFI NFI.TO$2.06B+13%+15%2%11.0×12.0%
BYD 1211.HK$98.9B-26%0%4%15.8×n/a
Yutong Bus 600066.SS$10.1B-12%+3%14%11.5×-10.0%

How NFI compares with its peers

Peer set: Industry: the same industry and sector in any market, nearest in size. This is the same default set the interactive Competitor Analysis opens with.

NFI against its 20 peers (data as of 6 Nov 2026)
MeasureNFI.TOPeer medianRank in peer set
1-month return-3.4%+1.7%6th lowest of 21
6-month return+12.7%-12.7%3rd highest of 21
Distance from 52-week high-11.4%-31.8%3rd highest of 21
Revenue growth (TTM)+14.8%+11.7%4th highest of 21
Operating margin1.9%6.7%2nd lowest of 21
Forward P/E11.0×11.5×8th cheapest of 18
Growth the price implies (Req g, 7 yrs)12.0%1.5%5th most demanding of 16
Growth delivered (Del g)+9.3%+6.1%5th highest of 16
Hurdle (Req g minus delivered)+2.7 pp-6.7 pp5th most demanding of 16
ROIC minus cost of capital-2.0 pp-0.2 pp9th lowest of 21
Net debt / EBITDA7.3×1.2×2nd most indebted of 9

Peer table

Peer set: Industry: the same industry and sector in any market, nearest in size
CompanyMarketMarket cap6M returnRevenue growthOp. marginForward P/EReq gDelivered g
NFI NFI.TOCanada$2.06B+13%+15%2%11.0×12.0%+9.3%
Anhui Heli 600761.SSChina$2.06B-14%+13%7%10.9×-6.7%+9.2%
Shantui Construction Machinery 000680.SZChina$2.06B-22%+14%10%9.8×-4.4%+15.6%
CIMC Vehicles (Group) 301039.SZChina$2.07B-18%+6%4%16.6×-4.3%-5.2%
Mitsui ES 7003.TJapan$1.98B-45%+12%11%8.7×16.0%-11.3%
Sumec 600710.SSChina$2.18B-9%+14%4%9.8×-17.2%+3.6%
First Tractor 601038.SSChina$1.95B+2%+12%6%17.5×-1.6%+7.5%
Takeuchi Mfg.Co 6432.TJapan$2.21B+4%+12%16%10.6×4.0%+14.9%
Beijing Jiuzhouyigui Environmental Technology 688485.SSChina$1.91B+29%+9%2%n/an/an/a
ZHEJIANG ZHONGJIAN TECHNOLOGY 002779.SZChina$2.26B+2%+28%-17%150.7×n/an/a
Nisshinbo 3105.TJapan$1.87B-9%+2%7%11.5×3.6%+1.9%
Trinity Industries TRNUnited States$2.30B-20%-2%13%15.8×n/an/a
China Railway Hi-tech Industry 600528.SSChina$2.37B-9%-8%5%n/a-4.0%+2.6%
Cadeler A/S CADLR.OLNorway$2.41B-14%+53%36%9.4×n/an/a
Deutz DEZ.DEGermany$1.74B-13%+11%5%11.4×19.8%+9.5%
BEML BEML.NSIndia$1.72B-2%+13%6%39.1×n/an/a
Xiangyang Changyuandonggu Industry 603950.SSChina$1.72B-36%-8%17%22.8×22.1%+6.1%
JiangSu Changling Hydraulic 605389.SSChina$1.72B-32%+19%12%n/a36.1%+4.4%
CoCreation Grass 605099.SSChina$1.72B-41%+10%21%15.4×2.2%+12.3%
Wacker Neuson WAC.DEGermany$1.71B+20%+14%7%13.4×1.5%+6.6%
Guangxi Liugong Machinery 000528.SZChina$2.58B-13%+10%6%10.5×-3.5%+5.0%

Questions

Who are NFI's main competitors?
Named competitors: Gillig (private or unlisted), BYD (1211.HK), Nova Bus (Volvo) (private or unlisted), CAF (private or unlisted), Yutong Bus (600066.SS). The cockpit's measured peer set (industry) also includes Anhui Heli (600761.SS), Shantui Construction Machinery (000680.SZ), CIMC Vehicles (Group) (301039.SZ), Mitsui ES (7003.T), Sumec (600710.SS), First Tractor (601038.SS).
Is NFI expensive compared with its peers?
On forward p/e it trades at 11.0× against a peer median of 11.5×, 8th cheapest of 18 in its peer set. For today's price to make sense, revenue must grow about 12% a year for seven years (Req g). Recent delivered growth is +9%, so the hurdle is +3 pp: the price needs faster growth than the company has been delivering — of companies that just grew 25–50% a year, 93.8% slowed down over the next four years.
How has NFI stock performed?
Over six months to 6 Nov 2026 the shares returned +12.7% against -12.7% for the median peer; over one year +72.2%.

How these numbers are made. Returns are close-to-close in local currency. Revenue growth and margins are trailing twelve months. Req g is the revenue growth that today's enterprise value requires for seven years at the company's own cost of capital; Delivered g is what it actually grew; the gap is the hurdle (honest precision about ±8 points, so read the ranking more than the decimal). No fair values, price targets or analyst ratings are shown, by design. Method and validation.