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← CockpitCompetitor Analysis › NEXT NextDecade Corp.Open in the cockpit ↗

NextDecade Corp.NEXTCompetitor analysis, valuation and peers

United States · USD·Energy›Oil & Gas Production

Developing the Rio Grande LNG export terminal in Texas to liquefy and export US natural gas.

Momentum weak 23
Mkt cap
$1.56B
US dollars, full cap
Free float
48%
of shares outstanding
$/day
$21.9M
20-day average traded
P/B
13.63×
price to book
ROE
-70.4%
delivered
Implied ROE
124.8%
what the price asks
Next earnings
122 days
8 Mar 2027
Close · USD$5.80
1D-0.8%
1W-21.4%
1M-14.1%
3M-16.9%
6M-23.3%
YTD+10.1%
1Y-3.5%
ATR %6.8%
Beta-0.52
52w lowhigh37.2% off high

What NextDecade does

Developing the Rio Grande LNG export terminal in Texas to liquefy and export US natural gas.

Customers sign 20-year agreements to buy LNG, paying a fixed fee per unit for liquefaction whether or not they take it, and these fees repay the debt and equity funding the plant. NextDecade earns from distributions of the project companies only once plants run, so cash comes after construction.

Products and services

  • Rio Grande LNG export facility
  • Long-term LNG offtake agreements

Customers

  • Global utilities/energy majors (LNG offtake buyers

Where it sits in the supply chain

  • Energy
  • LNG
  • LNG export terminal development

What could go right

  • Global LNG demand growth
  • Additional offtake/train expansion FIDs

What could go wrong

  • Construction cost overruns/delays
  • Global LNG price and demand cyclicality

Moat: narrow (scale, regulatory licence). Federally permitted, large-scale LNG export project with long-term offtake contracts, but construction-stage risk.

Headquarters: Houston, Texas, United States · Founded: 2010 · Employees: 360

Named competitors

NextDecade at a glance

Size NextDecade (NEXT) is a United States Energy company (Oil & Gas Production) with a market value of $1.56B, the 1968th largest of 3,117 United States companies the cockpit tracks. Shares closed at $5.80 on 6 Nov 2026.

Performance Over six months the shares fell 23.3%, against -16.3% for the median peer and -1.1% for the United States market (cap-weighted) — 5th lowest of 20 in its peer set.

Valuation It trades at 13.63× book value against a peer median of 1.52× (most expensive of 21).

Price implies The share price implies a return on equity of about 124.8%; NextDecade delivers -70.4%, so the price asks more than the business earns today.

Next results Next results expected around 8 Mar 2027 (exchange calendar; dates can move).

Relative performance

8010011 May 202611 Aug 20266 Nov 2026Peer median 83NEXT 72
Six months, rebased to 100: NextDecade against the median of its 20 peers (local-currency closes).

NextDecade financials

Reported figures in USD; fiscal year ends 2025-12-31. TTM = trailing twelve months.
TTMFY2025FY2024FY2023FY2022
Revenue$0$0$0$0$0
Revenue growth—————
Gross profit-$34.6M-$12.1M-$6.68M-$3.15M-$1.27M
EBITDA-$177M-$214M-$164M-$120M-$53.2M
Net income-$93.7M-$306M-$61.8M-$162M-$60.1M
Free cash flow-$5.37B-$5.02B-$2.66B-$1.81B-$73.8M
Capital expenditure$5.37B$4.85B$2.57B$1.75B$40.9M
Total debt$12.2B$8.66B$4.07B$1.97B$1.56M

Quarterly statements and history in the cockpit →

NextDecade competitor charts

The default views of Competitor Analysis ▸ Charts, drawn from the same data. Open them in the cockpit to change the axes, pin companies and read every value.

Performance: 6-month against 1-month return

-40%-20%0%-20%0%+20%+40%MAUVETBNORSDEBPTENOGPXT603619AAVSER002221WTTRTNZVLENOGRKHMERNEXT6-month return →1-month return →
Up and to the right = strong over both horizons. NextDecade is the large dot.

Fundamentals: return on equity against price-to-book

-75%-50%-25%0%25%00×50×100×MAUVETBNORSDEBPTENOGCJPXTAAV002221TNZNOGNEXTReturn on equity →Price / book →
A bank or insurer earning more on its equity usually trades at a higher multiple of book; points far above the trend are priced for more. NextDecade is the large dot.

Capital: ROE delivered against the ROE the price implies

-50%0%50%100%0%100%MAUVETSDEBPTENOGPXT002221TNZNEXTROE delivered →ROE the price implies →
Above the diagonal = the price asks for a higher return on equity than the business earns today. NextDecade is the large dot.

NextDecade competitors and peer comparison

Head to head with its named competitors (NEXT vs LNG vs VG vs SRE)
CompanyMarket cap6M returnRevenue growthROEPrice / bookImplied ROE
NextDecade NEXT$1.56B-23%n/a-70%13.63×124.8%
Cheniere Energy LNG$56.8B+16%+28%46%8.70×32.2%
Venture Global VG$28.8B+1%+101%48%3.36×14.3%
Sempra SRE$51.1B-14%+1%7%1.56×10.3%

How NextDecade compares with its peers

Peer set: Industry: the same industry and sector in any market, nearest in size. This is the same default set the interactive Competitor Analysis opens with.

NextDecade against its 20 peers (data as of 6 Nov 2026)
MeasureNEXTPeer medianRank in peer set
1-month return-14.1%-9.9%5th lowest of 21
6-month return-23.3%-16.3%5th lowest of 20
Return on equity-70.4%6.7%lowest of 20
Price / book13.63×1.52×most expensive of 21
ROE the price implies124.8%10.6%most demanding of 20
ROE delivered-70.4%6.7%lowest of 20

Peer table

Peer set: Industry: the same industry and sector in any market, nearest in size
CompanyMarketMarket cap6M returnRevenue growthROEPrice / bookImplied ROEDelivered ROE
NextDecade NEXTUnited States$1.56B-23%n/a-70%13.63×124.8%-70.4%
Etablissements Maurel & Prom MAU.PAFrance$1.57B-29%-11%35%1.02×6.7%34.8%
Vermilion Energy VET.TOCanada$1.61B-9%-2%-19%1.05×7.6%-18.5%
BlueNord BNOR.OLNorway$1.49B-6%+28%25%2.94×n/a25.2%
Spartan Delta SDE.TOCanada$1.63B-11%+93%10%3.10×16.0%10.3%
Beach Energy BPT.AXAustralia$1.42B-16%-9%9%0.63×5.2%8.7%
Energean ENOG.LUnited Kingdom$1.72B-19%+9%-49%7.45×55.3%-48.5%
Cardinal Energy CJ.TOCanada$1.40B-8%+18%7%2.02×14.9%6.7%
Parex Resources PXT.TOCanada$1.36B-30%+14%27%0.57×5.2%26.8%
Zhongman Petroleum and Natural Gas 603619.SSChina$1.30B-42%-13%7%2.08×14.7%7.2%
Vedanta Oil and Gas VOGL.NSIndia$1.27Bn/an/an/a0.65×12.4%n/a
Advantage Energy AAV.TOCanada$1.26B+6%+14%8%0.97×6.4%8.1%
Serica Energy SER.LUnited Kingdom$1.20B-17%+64%0%1.90×14.2%-0.4%
Oriental Energy 002221.SZChina$1.17B-36%-22%-7%0.82×5.8%-7.3%
Select Water Solutions WTTRUnited States$2.09B-4%-2%3%1.96×16.1%3.5%
Tenaz Energy TNZ.TOCanada$1.13B-21%+381%31%3.92×27.2%31.5%
Valeura Energy VLE.TOCanada$1.07B+11%+6%11%1.76×6.8%10.8%
Northern Oil and Gas NOGUnited States$2.43B-2%-3%-22%1.22×10.6%-22.1%
Talos Energy TALOUnited States$2.48B-1%+13%-18%1.27×8.3%-18.1%
Rockhopper Exploration RKH.LUnited Kingdom$937M-18%n/a3%2.11×21.2%3.5%
Meren Energy MER.TOCanada$921M-19%+388%-12%1.29×6.4%-12.0%

Questions

Who are NextDecade's main competitors?
Named competitors: Cheniere Energy (LNG), Venture Global LNG (VG), Sempra Infrastructure (Sempra) (SRE). The cockpit's measured peer set (industry) also includes Etablissements Maurel & Prom (MAU.PA), Vermilion Energy (VET.TO), BlueNord (BNOR.OL), Spartan Delta (SDE.TO), Beach Energy (BPT.AX), Energean (ENOG.L).
Is NextDecade expensive compared with its peers?
On price / book it trades at 13.63× against a peer median of 1.52×, most expensive of 21 in its peer set. The share price implies a return on equity of about 124.8%; NextDecade delivers -70.4%, so the price asks more than the business earns today.
How has NextDecade stock performed?
Over six months to 6 Nov 2026 the shares returned -23.3% against -16.3% for the median peer; over one year -3.5%.

How these numbers are made. Returns are close-to-close in local currency. Revenue growth and margins are trailing twelve months. Req g is the revenue growth that today's enterprise value requires for seven years at the company's own cost of capital; Delivered g is what it actually grew; the gap is the hurdle (honest precision about ±8 points, so read the ranking more than the decimal). No fair values, price targets or analyst ratings are shown, by design. Method and validation.