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← CockpitCompetitor Analysis › KEL.TO Kelt Exploration Ltd.Open in the cockpit ↗

Kelt Exploration Ltd.KEL.TOCompetitor analysis, valuation and peers

Canada · CAD·Energy›Integrated Oil

Canadian oil and gas producer operating in the Alberta/BC Deep Basin and Montney regions, focused on natural gas and liquids.

≈ An Alberta/BC Deep Basin natural gas producerMomentum neutral 58
Mkt cap
$1.45B
US dollars, full cap
Free float
81%
of shares outstanding
$/day
$7.56M
20-day average traded
Fwd P/E
12.4×
forward earnings
ROIC−WACC
-0.6 pp
WACC 5.9%
Hurdle
n/a
no reverse DCF
Next earnings
7 days
13 Nov 2026
Close · CADC$10.01
1D+2.2%
1W-15.2%
1M-7.5%
3M+5.6%
6M+3.8%
YTD+30.5%
1Y+35.3%
ATR %4.2%
52w lowhigh16.8% off high

What Kelt Exploration does

Canadian oil and gas producer operating in the Alberta/BC Deep Basin and Montney regions, focused on natural gas and liquids.

Sells gas, condensate and other liquids at Canadian market prices, with gas priced at Alberta's AECO hub, which can trade well below US levels, so the share of liquids matters because they earn more per unit of energy than dry gas.

In one line: An Alberta/BC Deep Basin natural gas producer.

Products and services

  • Deep Basin natural gas/liquids production
  • Montney natural gas production

Customers

  • Natural gas/NGL marketers

Where it sits in the supply chain

  • Energy exploration & production
  • Deep Basin/Montney natural gas…
  • Liquids-rich gas production

What could go right

  • Natural gas price strength
  • Production growth from drilling program

What could go wrong

  • Natural gas price volatility
  • Well decline/reserve replacement risk

Moat: none. Commodity gas producer without a structural cost or scale advantage over larger Montney/Deep Basin peers.

Headquarters: Calgary, Canada · Founded: 2008 · Employees: 86

Named competitors

Kelt Exploration at a glance

Size Kelt Exploration (KEL.TO) is a Canada Energy company (Integrated Oil) with a market value of $1.45B, the 210th largest of 420 Canada companies the cockpit tracks. Shares closed at C$10.01 on 6 Nov 2026.

Performance Over six months the shares gained 3.8%, against -18.1% for the median peer and +5.2% for the Canada market (cap-weighted) — 4th highest of 21 in its peer set.

Growth Revenue grew 30.3% over the last twelve months (peer median +22.9%); the operating margin is 17.1% (peer median 21.5%).

Valuation It trades at 12.4× forward earnings against a peer median of 5.9× (3rd most expensive of 14).

Capital Return on invested capital runs 0.6 points below its cost of capital (5.9% WACC).

Next results Next results expected around 13 Nov 2026 (exchange calendar; dates can move).

Relative performance

8010012011 May 202611 Aug 20266 Nov 2026KEL.TO 103Peer median 80
Six months, rebased to 100: Kelt Exploration against the median of its 20 peers (local-currency closes).

Kelt Exploration financials

Reported figures in CAD; fiscal year ends 2025-12-31. TTM = trailing twelve months.
TTMFY2025FY2024FY2023FY2022
RevenueC$579MC$467MC$414MC$436MC$548M
Revenue growth—+13%-5%-20%—
Gross profitC$120MC$71.8MC$88.6MC$142MC$261M
EBITDAC$316MC$237MC$212MC$252MC$362M
Net incomeC$57.0MC$63.1MC$45.4MC$86.0MC$159M
Free cash flow-C$72.8M-C$49.2M-C$117MC$6.75M-C$3.56M
Capital expenditureC$385MC$329MC$329MC$283MC$317M
Total debtC$188MC$181MC$111MC$1.46MC$12.3M

Quarterly statements and history in the cockpit →

Kelt Exploration competitor charts

The default views of Competitor Analysis ▸ Charts, drawn from the same data. Open them in the cockpit to change the axes, pin companies and read every value.

Performance: 6-month against 1-month return

-40%-20%0%-20%-10%0%0467MNRGFR600759BIRKOS001331EC300483300191BKVHWXTBNDNO000968SOILREPX16621907INRKEL.TO6-month return →1-month return →
Up and to the right = strong over both horizons. Kelt Exploration is the large dot.

Fundamentals: revenue growth against valuation

0%+50%+100%5×10×0467MNRBIRKOS300483BKVHWXDNOSOILREPX16621907INRKEL.TORevenue growth (TTM) →Forward P/E →
Further right = faster growth; higher = more expensive. The dashed lines are the peer medians. Kelt Exploration is the large dot.

Kelt Exploration competitors and peer comparison

Head to head with its named competitors (KEL.TO vs PEY.TO vs ARX.TO vs AAV.TO)
CompanyMarket cap6M returnRevenue growthOp. marginForward P/EReq g
Kelt Exploration KEL.TO$1.45B+4%+30%17%12.4×n/a
Peyto Exploration & Development PEY.TO$3.54B-5%+26%40%12.6×-2.1%
ARC Resources ARX.TOn/a+29%n/an/an/an/a
Advantage Energy AAV.TO$1.26B+6%+14%20%16.0×n/a

How Kelt Exploration compares with its peers

Peer set: Industry: the same industry and sector in any market, nearest in size. This is the same default set the interactive Competitor Analysis opens with.

Kelt Exploration against its 20 peers (data as of 6 Nov 2026)
MeasureKEL.TOPeer medianRank in peer set
1-month return-7.5%-12.4%8th highest of 21
6-month return+3.8%-18.1%4th highest of 21
Distance from 52-week high-16.8%-38.5%2nd highest of 21
Revenue growth (TTM)+30.3%+22.9%8th highest of 20
Operating margin17.1%21.5%9th lowest of 20
Forward P/E12.4×5.9×3rd most expensive of 14
ROIC minus cost of capital-0.6 pp+2.0 pp7th lowest of 21
EV / EBITDA7.0×4.6×4th most expensive of 15
Net debt / EBITDA0.6×1.1×7th least indebted of 15

Peer table

Peer set: Industry: the same industry and sector in any market, nearest in size
CompanyMarketMarket cap6M returnRevenue growthOp. marginForward P/EReq gDelivered g
Kelt Exploration KEL.TOCanada$1.45B+4%+30%17%12.4×n/an/a
United Energy 0467.HKHong Kong$1.44B-10%+28%14%3.6×n/an/a
Mach Natural Resources LP MNRUnited States$1.50B-35%+39%22%5.9×-10.0%+2.9%
Greenfire Resources GFR.TOCanada$1.36B+3%-2%17%n/an/an/a
Geo-Jade Petroleum 600759.SSChina$1.33B-54%+42%30%n/a-0.7%+2.8%
Birchcliff Energy BIR.TOCanada$1.29B+3%+10%20%13.5×1.9%+5.8%
Kosmos Energy KOSUnited States$1.26B-23%+23%23%4.6×-6.4%+9.9%
Senton Energy 001331.SZChina$1.75B-24%-24%-1%n/an/an/a
Totalenergies EP Gabon EC.PAFrance$1.14B-5%-13%25%n/a-10.7%-0.6%
Sino Prima Gas Technology 300483.SZChina$1.11B-15%+40%24%12.5×-8.7%+13.3%
Sino Geophysical 300191.SZChina$1.10B-47%+136%14%n/an/an/a
BKV BKVUnited States$1.92B-37%+84%-1%11.1×n/an/a
Headwater Exploration HWX.TOCanada$1.95B-10%+13%44%9.9×3.0%+125.4%
Tamboran Resources TBNUnited States$1.01B-19%n/an/an/an/an/a
DNO DNO.OLNorway$2.13B+6%+128%48%5.9×n/an/a
Shanxi Blue Flame 000968.SZChina$961M-28%-1%14%n/a-6.8%+7.9%
Saturn Oil & Gas SOIL.TOCanada$941M+13%+6%28%3.0×-13.8%+161.8%
Riley Exploration Permian REPXUnited States$913M+24%+23%39%4.2×-7.1%+164.3%
Japan Petroleum Exploration 1662.TJapan$2.36B-36%-16%9%5.1×-5.6%+7.2%
China Risun 1907.HKHong Kong$841M-45%-2%3%9.0×n/an/a
Infinity Natural Resources INRUnited States$811M-17%+75%44%4.5×n/an/a

Questions

Who are Kelt Exploration's main competitors?
Named competitors: Peyto Exploration & Development (PEY.TO), ARC Resources (ARX.TO), Advantage Energy (AAV.TO). The cockpit's measured peer set (industry) also includes United Energy (0467.HK), Mach Natural Resources LP (MNR), Greenfire Resources (GFR.TO), Geo-Jade Petroleum (600759.SS), Birchcliff Energy (BIR.TO), Kosmos Energy (KOS).
Is Kelt Exploration expensive compared with its peers?
On forward p/e it trades at 12.4× against a peer median of 5.9×, 3rd most expensive of 14 in its peer set.
How has Kelt Exploration stock performed?
Over six months to 6 Nov 2026 the shares returned +3.8% against -18.1% for the median peer; over one year +35.3%.

How these numbers are made. Returns are close-to-close in local currency. Revenue growth and margins are trailing twelve months. Req g is the revenue growth that today's enterprise value requires for seven years at the company's own cost of capital; Delivered g is what it actually grew; the gap is the hurdle (honest precision about ±8 points, so read the ranking more than the decimal). No fair values, price targets or analyst ratings are shown, by design. Method and validation.