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Evolution ABEVO.STCompetitor analysis, valuation and peers

Sweden · SEK·Information Technology›Packaged Software

Swedish provider of live-dealer casino games and RNG slots technology, licensing its platform to online gambling operators.

≈ No direct US peer; a pure-play live-casino tech providerMomentum strong 79
Mkt cap
$15.8B
US dollars, full cap
Free float
58%
of shares outstanding
$/day
$30.6M
20-day average traded
Fwd P/E
14.4×
forward earnings
ROIC−WACC
+21.2 pp
WACC 8.3%
Hurdle
-32 pp
Req g minus delivered
Next earnings
90 days
4 Feb 2027
Close · SEKSEK 847.60
1D-1.3%
1W+2.8%
1M+4.8%
3M+14.5%
6M+33.4%
YTD+34.6%
1Y+34.5%
ATR %2.0%
52w lowhigh7.0% off high

What Evolution does

Swedish provider of live-dealer casino games and RNG slots technology, licensing its platform to online gambling operators.

Operators pay it a share of the money players lose at its tables and slots rather than a flat fee, so revenue rises with how much their players wager and with how many operators carry its games. Live games are streamed from its own studios. Buying NetEnt in 2021 built its slots side.

In one line: No direct US peer; a pure-play live-casino tech provider.

Products and services

  • Live-dealer casino tables (blackjack, roulette)
  • RNG slots (via NetEnt/Red Tiger studios)
  • Game show-style live games

Customers

  • Online casino/betting operators

Where it sits in the supply chain

  • Information technology
  • Online gambling technology
  • Live-dealer casino & RNG game content…

What could go right

  • Online/regulated gambling market growth (US states, Europe)
  • Live casino share gains from RNG

What could go wrong

  • Regulatory/licensing risk (multiple jurisdictions)
  • Customer/operator concentration

Moat: wide (scale, switching costs, installed base). Largest live-casino studio network and game catalog integrated deep into operators' platforms.

Headquarters: Stockholm, Sweden · Founded: 2006 · Employees: 16,243

Named competitors

Evolution at a glance

Size Evolution (EVO.ST) is a Sweden Information Technology company (Packaged Software) with a market value of $15.8B, the 20th largest of 221 Sweden companies the cockpit tracks. Shares closed at SEK 847.60 on 6 Nov 2026.

Performance Over six months the shares gained 33.4%, against +32.6% for the median peer and +8.2% for the Sweden market (cap-weighted) — 9th highest of 20 in its peer set.

Growth Revenue fell 3.3% over the last twelve months (peer median +17.6%); the operating margin is 57.0% (peer median 16.0%).

Valuation It trades at 14.4× forward earnings against a peer median of 22.8× (5th cheapest of 19).

Price implies For today's price to make sense, revenue must grow about 0% a year for seven years (Req g). Recent delivered growth is +31%, so the hurdle is -32 pp: the price already allows for a slowdown.

Capital Return on invested capital runs 21.2 points above its cost of capital (8.3% WACC).

Next results Next results expected around 4 Feb 2027 (exchange calendar; dates can move).

Relative performance

10012014011 May 202611 Aug 20266 Nov 2026Peer median 134EVO.ST 132
Six months, rebased to 100: Evolution against the median of its 20 peers (local-currency closes).

Evolution financials

Reported figures in SEK; fiscal year ends 2025-12-31. TTM = trailing twelve months.
TTMFY2025FY2024FY2023FY2022
RevenueSEK 22.6BSEK 22.9BSEK 23.6BSEK 20.6BSEK 15.5B
Revenue growth—-3%+14%+33%—
Gross profitSEK 12.9BSEK 13.3BSEK 14.5BSEK 13.1BSEK 9.66B
EBITDASEK 14.7BSEK 15.1BSEK 16.1BSEK 14.5BSEK 10.7B
Net incomeSEK 11.5BSEK 11.8BSEK 14.2BSEK 12.3BSEK 8.97B
Free cash flowSEK 13.4BSEK 13.2BSEK 14.1BSEK 12.9BSEK 8.69B
Capital expenditureSEK 1.53BSEK 1.49BSEK 1.56BSEK 1.08BSEK 1.03B
Total debtSEK 1.24BSEK 986MSEK 1.07BSEK 885MSEK 885M

Quarterly statements and history in the cockpit →

Evolution competitor charts

The default views of Competitor Analysis ▸ Charts, drawn from the same data. Open them in the cockpit to change the axes, pin companies and read every value.

Performance: 6-month against 1-month return

-50%0%+50%-25%0%+25%688111MANHDOCUCRCLFFIVGENSGE002602TEMSSNCTRMBDTTOSTFROGCHYMPTCPCORU9697EVO.ST6-month return →1-month return →
Up and to the right = strong over both horizons. Evolution is the large dot.

Fundamentals: revenue growth against valuation

0%+10%+20%+30%25×50×75×688111MANHDOCUCRCLFFIVGENSGE002602SSNCTRMBDTTOSTFROGCHYMPTCPCORU9697EVO.STRevenue growth (TTM) →Forward P/E →
Further right = faster growth; higher = more expensive. The dashed lines are the peer medians. Evolution is the large dot.

Capital: growth delivered against growth the price implies

0%+20%+40%0%20%40%688111MANHDOCUCRCLFFIVGENSGE002602SSNCTRMBDTTOSTFROGCHYMU9697EVO.STGrowth delivered (Del g) →Growth the price implies (Req g, 7 yrs) →
Above the diagonal = the price needs more growth than the company has been delivering; below = the price already allows for a slowdown. Evolution is the large dot.

Evolution competitors and peer comparison

Head to head with its named competitors (EVO.ST vs PTEC.L vs LNW.AX)
CompanyMarket cap6M returnRevenue growthOp. marginForward P/EReq g
Evolution EVO.ST$15.8B+33%-3%57%14.4×-0.3%
Playtech PTEC.L$1.39B+7%-54%0%11.4×-6.0%
Light & Wonder, Inc. Shs Chess Depository Interests Repr 1 Sh LNW.AX$6.22B+1%0%27%9.4×-8.5%

How Evolution compares with its peers

Peer set: Industry: the same industry and sector in any market, nearest in size. This is the same default set the interactive Competitor Analysis opens with.

Evolution against its 20 peers (data as of 6 Nov 2026)
MeasureEVO.STPeer medianRank in peer set
1-month return+4.8%+4.9%11th highest of 21
6-month return+33.4%+32.6%9th highest of 20
Distance from 52-week high-7.0%-12.5%7th highest of 21
Revenue growth (TTM)-3.3%+17.6%lowest of 21
Operating margin57.0%16.0%highest of 21
Forward P/E14.4×22.8×5th cheapest of 19
Growth the price implies (Req g, 7 yrs)-0.3%16.7%2nd least demanding of 19
Growth delivered (Del g)+31.2%+18.2%3rd highest of 19
Hurdle (Req g minus delivered)-31.5 pp-3.5 ppleast demanding of 19
ROIC minus cost of capital+21.2 pp+3.1 pp3rd highest of 19
EV / EBITDA10.1×17.4×2nd cheapest of 13
Net debt / EBITDA-0.4×-1.2×7th most indebted of 16

Peer table

Peer set: Industry: the same industry and sector in any market, nearest in size
CompanyMarketMarket cap6M returnRevenue growthOp. marginForward P/EReq gDelivered g
Evolution EVO.STSweden$15.8B+33%-3%57%14.4×-0.3%+31.2%
Beijing Kingsoft Office Software 688111.SSChina$16.1B-8%+20%22%35.6×32.7%+21.3%
Manhattan Associates MANHUnited States$14.7B+77%+8%25%42.0×29.4%+13.0%
DocuSign DOCUUnited States$14.5B+62%+9%12%15.9×12.9%+17.2%
Circle Internet CRCLUnited States$17.3B-40%+26%13%68.1×23.2%+52.7%
F5, Inc. FFIVUnited States$17.7B-12%+11%24%17.1×9.7%+5.6%
Gen Digital GENUnited States$17.7B+32%+17%43%9.6×1.8%+14.4%
Sage SGE.LUnited Kingdom$14.1B+33%+9%23%23.1×3.1%+5.7%
Zhejiang Century Huatong 002602.SZChina$14.0B-20%+28%21%11.1×-0.2%+20.4%
Tempus AI TEMUnited States$13.9B+53%+37%-18%n/an/an/a
SS&C Technologies SSNCUnited States$18.2B+13%+9%24%10.2×6.9%+6.1%
Trimble TRMBUnited States$12.6B-11%+7%18%13.6×15.3%+2.6%
Cerebras Systems CBRSUnited States$20.1Bn/a+91%-81%n/an/an/a
Dynatrace DTUnited States$12.5B+7%+18%14%22.6×18.8%+23.5%
Toast TOSTUnited States$20.1B+38%+22%7%20.9×28.6%+49.5%
JFrog FROGUnited States$12.5B+43%+26%-13%89.6×37.7%+28.7%
Chime Financial CHYMUnited States$11.9B+70%+18%-1%35.2×18.2%+24.8%
PTC PTCUnited States$21.2B+33%+20%40%21.8×10.3%+8.6%
Procore Technologies PCORUnited States$11.4B+41%+16%-1%33.8×19.9%+27.0%
Unity Software UUnited States$22.7B+83%+14%-14%49.4×33.5%+19.1%
Capcom 9697.TJapan$11.0B+25%+21%41%27.0×-2.2%+15.4%

Questions

Who are Evolution's main competitors?
Named competitors: Playtech (PTEC.L), Light & Wonder (LNW.AX), International Game Technology (private or unlisted). The cockpit's measured peer set (industry) also includes Beijing Kingsoft Office Software (688111.SS), Manhattan Associates (MANH), DocuSign (DOCU), Circle Internet (CRCL), F5, Inc. (FFIV), Gen Digital (GEN).
Is Evolution expensive compared with its peers?
On forward p/e it trades at 14.4× against a peer median of 22.8×, 5th cheapest of 19 in its peer set. For today's price to make sense, revenue must grow about 0% a year for seven years (Req g). Recent delivered growth is +31%, so the hurdle is -32 pp: the price already allows for a slowdown.
How has Evolution stock performed?
Over six months to 6 Nov 2026 the shares returned +33.4% against +32.6% for the median peer; over one year +34.5%.

How these numbers are made. Returns are close-to-close in local currency. Revenue growth and margins are trailing twelve months. Req g is the revenue growth that today's enterprise value requires for seven years at the company's own cost of capital; Delivered g is what it actually grew; the gap is the hurdle (honest precision about ±8 points, so read the ranking more than the decimal). No fair values, price targets or analyst ratings are shown, by design. Method and validation.