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Elastic NVESTCCompetitor analysis, valuation and peers

United States · USD·Information Technology›Packaged Software

Dutch-founded software company making the Elasticsearch search/analytics engine used for search, observability and security use cases.

Momentum leader 90
Mkt cap
$9.12B
US dollars, full cap
Free float
91%
of shares outstanding
$/day
$190M
20-day average traded
Fwd P/E
24.4×
forward earnings
ROIC−WACC
-14.1 pp
WACC 9.5%
Hurdle
-10 pp
Req g minus delivered
Official | Implied
BB / BB
agencies · bond market
Next earnings
26 days
2 Dec 2026
Close · USD$86.08
1D+2.2%
1W-11.5%
1M-9.6%
3M+12.8%
6M+64.8%
YTD+14.1%
1Y-1.1%
ATR %5.5%
Beta1.25
52w lowhigh20.3% off high

What Elastic does

Dutch-founded software company making the Elasticsearch search/analytics engine used for search, observability and security use cases.

Sells subscriptions to its software, increasingly as Elastic Cloud, a hosted service billed by usage, rather than software customers run themselves. Much of its adoption starts with free open-source use that grows into paid features. In 2021 it restricted its license after Amazon offered a rival hosted service, then added an open-source license option again in 2024.

Products and services

  • Elasticsearch (search engine)
  • Observability (Elastic APM/logs)
  • Security (SIEM)

Customers

  • Enterprises/developers building search, monitoring

Where it sits in the supply chain

  • Software (search/data)
  • Search, observability & security…
  • Enterprises building…

What could go right

  • AI application (RAG/vector search) adoption
  • Observability/security cross-sell

What could go wrong

  • Open-source fork competition (OpenSearch)
  • Cloud usage-based revenue volatility

Moat: narrow (switching costs, installed base, brand). Elasticsearch is deeply embedded in customer search/data infrastructure, and open-source roots built a large developer base.

Headquarters: Amsterdam, Netherlands · Founded: 2012 · Employees: 4,019

Named competitors

Elastic at a glance

Size Elastic (ESTC) is a United States Information Technology company (Packaged Software) with a market value of $9.12B, the 820th largest of 3,117 United States companies the cockpit tracks. Shares closed at $86.08 on 6 Nov 2026.

Performance Over six months the shares gained 64.8%, against +8.9% for the median peer and -1.1% for the United States market (cap-weighted) — 6th highest of 21 in its peer set.

Growth Revenue grew 16.2% over the last twelve months (peer median +22.0%); the operating margin is -1.4% (peer median 11.2%).

Valuation It trades at 24.4× forward earnings against a peer median of 35.2× (6th cheapest of 19).

Price implies For today's price to make sense, revenue must grow about 13% a year for seven years (Req g). Recent delivered growth is +23%, so the hurdle is -10 pp: the price already allows for a slowdown.

Capital Return on invested capital runs 14.1 points below its cost of capital (9.5% WACC).

Backlog Backlog (remaining performance obligations) was $1.85B at 31 Jul 2026, up 27% on a year earlier — 1.0 years of trailing revenue. Backlog detail →

Credit Elastic has 1 bond outstanding ($575M), rated BB by the agencies and trading like BB at a weighted spread of 142 bp.

Short interest Short interest is 3.9% of the free float (15 Oct 2026).

Next results Next results expected around 2 Dec 2026 (exchange calendar; dates can move).

Relative performance

10015020011 May 202611 Aug 20266 Nov 2026ESTC 171Peer median 109
Six months, rebased to 100: Elastic against the median of its 20 peers (local-currency closes).

Elastic financials

Reported figures in USD; fiscal year ends 2026-04-30. TTM = trailing twelve months.
TTMFY2025FY2024FY2023FY2022
Revenue$1.80B$1.74B$1.48B$1.27B$1.07B
Revenue growth—+17%+17%+19%—
Gross profit$1.36B$1.32B$1.10B$935M$767M
EBITDA-$12.4M-$19.9M-$41.7M-$105M-$162M
Net income$376M$368M-$108M$61.7M-$236M
Free cash flow$349M$322M$262M$145M$33.0M
Capital expenditure$5.03M$5.09M$4.34M$3.45M$2.68M
Total debt$596M$592M$595M$594M$594M

Quarterly statements and history in the cockpit →

Elastic competitor charts

The default views of Competitor Analysis ▸ Charts, drawn from the same data. Open them in the cockpit to change the axes, pin companies and read every value.

Performance: 6-month against 1-month return

0%+50%-20%0%+20%PCTYHNGEYMMOFSSNTSK601360DOCN301638NEMSNAPXROHUBSFIGDSGWTCGTLBPAYCTTAN300454ZETAESTC6-month return →1-month return →
Up and to the right = strong over both horizons. Elastic is the large dot.

Fundamentals: revenue growth against valuation

+20%+40%+60%0×50×100×150×PCTYHNGEYMMOFSS601360DOCNNEMXROHUBSFIGDSGWTCGTLBZETAESTCRevenue growth (TTM) →Forward P/E →
Further right = faster growth; higher = more expensive. The dashed lines are the peer medians. Elastic is the large dot.

Capital: growth delivered against growth the price implies

0%+20%+40%+60%0%20%40%60%PCTYHNGEYMMOFSS601360DOCN301638NEMSNAPXROHUBSFIGWTCGTLBTTAN300454ZETAESTCGrowth delivered (Del g) →Growth the price implies (Req g, 7 yrs) →
Above the diagonal = the price needs more growth than the company has been delivering; below = the price already allows for a slowdown. Elastic is the large dot.

Elastic competitors and peer comparison

Head to head with its named competitors (ESTC vs CSCO vs DDOG vs AMZN)
CompanyMarket cap6M returnRevenue growthOp. marginForward P/EReq g
Elastic ESTC$9.12B+65%+16%-1%24.4×13.0%
Cisco CSCO$369B-3%+12%25%18.4×15.0%
Datadog DDOG$64.3B-11%+33%2%61.0×n/a
Amazon AMZN$2.80T-5%+15%13%26.3×n/a

How Elastic compares with its peers

Peer set: Industry: the same industry and sector in any market, nearest in size. This is the same default set the interactive Competitor Analysis opens with.

Elastic against its 20 peers (data as of 6 Nov 2026)
MeasureESTCPeer medianRank in peer set
1-month return-9.6%-1.3%7th lowest of 21
6-month return+64.8%+8.9%6th highest of 21
Distance from 52-week high-20.3%-31.6%9th highest of 21
Revenue growth (TTM)+16.2%+22.0%8th lowest of 21
Operating margin-1.4%11.2%7th lowest of 21
Forward P/E24.4×35.2×6th cheapest of 19
Growth the price implies (Req g, 7 yrs)13.0%22.0%7th least demanding of 20
Growth delivered (Del g)+23.4%+23.1%10th highest of 20
Hurdle (Req g minus delivered)-10.4 pp-3.7 pp9th least demanding of 20
ROIC minus cost of capital-14.1 pp+0.3 pp3rd lowest of 17
Bond spread142 bpn/a—

Peer table

Peer set: Industry: the same industry and sector in any market, nearest in size
CompanyMarketMarket cap6M returnRevenue growthOp. marginForward P/EReq gDelivered g
Elastic ESTCUnited States$9.12B+65%+16%-1%24.4×13.0%+23.4%
Paylocity PCTYUnited States$9.03B+56%+11%22%19.0×2.3%+22.8%
Hinge Health HNGEUnited States$9.34B+107%+50%19%39.6×34.1%+49.9%
Full Truck Alliance Co. Ltd. Sponsored ADR YMMUnited States$9.35B+4%+9%34%12.8×-10.9%+36.0%
Oracle Financial Services Software OFSS.NSIndia$9.43B+8%+28%52%22.7×22.0%+9.0%
Netskope NTSKUnited States$8.70B+83%+30%-94%n/an/an/a
360 Security Technology 601360.SSChina$8.63B-26%+7%-4%172.6×55.2%-5.7%
DigitalOcean DOCNUnited States$8.55B-56%+28%12%44.7×41.6%+23.1%
CSG Digital Power Grid Research Institute 301638.SZChina$8.52B-37%+18%10%n/a18.0%+8.2%
Nemetschek NEM.DEGermany$8.39B+10%+13%26%29.9×11.1%+14.8%
Snap SNAPUnited States$8.39B-18%+13%-5%32.3×2.7%+18.8%
Xero XRO.AXAustralia$8.36B-13%+27%13%66.7×25.9%+25.3%
HubSpot HUBSUnited States$10.0B+2%+21%4%12.5×25.1%+28.8%
Figma FIGUnited States$10.0B-9%+43%-124%54.8×22.2%+43.4%
Descartes Systems DSG.TOCanada$8.10B+32%+12%33%37.9×4.4%+16.8%
Wisetech Global WTC.AXAustralia$10.3B+15%+71%31%32.6×30.1%+32.3%
Gitlab GTLBUnited States$8.01B+85%+23%-8%55.0×18.8%+44.4%
Paycom Software PAYCUnited States$10.5B+73%+9%30%15.9×3.3%+19.5%
ServiceTitan TTANUnited States$7.89B+36%+23%-13%55.6×20.7%+27.1%
Sangfor Technologies 300454.SZChina$7.84B+5%+21%2%71.4×46.1%+6.9%
Zeta Global ZETAUnited States$7.79B+81%+36%3%28.2×49.7%+28.8%

Elastic bonds and credit

Elastic has 1 bond outstanding with $575M face value. The agencies rate it BB; its bonds trade like BB. Weighted yield 5.94%, a spread of 142 bp over government bonds.

Every bond, yield and spread in the cockpit →

Elastic backlog

Elastic reported $1.85B of remaining performance obligations at 31 Jul 2026, up 27% from a year earlier and down 6% from the previous quarter. That is 1.0 years of trailing revenue already under contract. Book-to-bill last quarter: 0.73.

Questions

Who are Elastic's main competitors?
Named competitors: Splunk (Cisco) (CSCO), Datadog (DDOG), OpenSearch (AWS fork) (AMZN), Algolia (private or unlisted). The cockpit's measured peer set (industry) also includes Paylocity (PCTY), Hinge Health (HNGE), Full Truck Alliance Co. Ltd. Sponsored ADR (YMM), Oracle Financial Services Software (OFSS.NS), Netskope (NTSK), 360 Security Technology (601360.SS).
Is Elastic expensive compared with its peers?
On forward p/e it trades at 24.4× against a peer median of 35.2×, 6th cheapest of 19 in its peer set. For today's price to make sense, revenue must grow about 13% a year for seven years (Req g). Recent delivered growth is +23%, so the hurdle is -10 pp: the price already allows for a slowdown.
How has Elastic stock performed?
Over six months to 6 Nov 2026 the shares returned +64.8% against +8.9% for the median peer; over one year -1.1%.
What is Elastic's backlog?
Elastic's remaining performance obligations (contracted revenue not yet recognised) were $1.85B at 31 Jul 2026, +27% on a year earlier.

How these numbers are made. Returns are close-to-close in local currency. Revenue growth and margins are trailing twelve months. Req g is the revenue growth that today's enterprise value requires for seven years at the company's own cost of capital; Delivered g is what it actually grew; the gap is the hurdle (honest precision about ±8 points, so read the ranking more than the decimal). No fair values, price targets or analyst ratings are shown, by design. Method and validation.