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CoreCivic, Inc.CXWCompetitor analysis, valuation and peers

United States · USD·Industrials›Miscellaneous Commercial Services

Operator of private correctional facilities and community reentry programs contracted by federal, state and local governments.

Momentum strong 65
Mkt cap
$2.84B
US dollars, full cap
Free float
97%
of shares outstanding
$/day
$57.3M
20-day average traded
Fwd P/E
12.1×
forward earnings
ROIC−WACC
+5.8 pp
WACC 7.2%
Hurdle
-5 pp
Req g minus delivered
Official | Implied
BB / BB
agencies · bond market
Next earnings
96 days
10 Feb 2027
Close · USD$28.67
1D+1.6%
1W-7.2%
1M-12.3%
3M-13.1%
6M+41.0%
YTD+50.0%
1Y+53.8%
ATR %5.7%
Beta0.51
52w lowhigh21.6% off high

What CoreCivic does

Operator of private correctional facilities and community reentry programs contracted by federal, state and local governments.

Is paid a daily rate for each person held in a facility it operates, so occupancy and the number of contracts matter, and facilities that sit empty still carry costs. Federal agencies such as ICE and the Marshals Service are its largest payers, so US detention policy sets demand. It gave up REIT status in 2021.

Products and services

  • Private prison management
  • ICE immigration detention facilities
  • Community reentry/residential programs

Customers

  • US federal government (ICE, BOP, USMS)
  • State governments

Where it sits in the supply chain

  • Government services
  • Private corrections/detention…
  • Correctional facilities, ICE detention…

What could go right

  • Immigration enforcement policy driving detention demand
  • Federal contract renewals/expansions

What could go wrong

  • Political/regulatory risk (contract cancellation risk)
  • Human-rights/legal scrutiny of detention conditions

Moat: narrow (regulatory licence, scale, switching costs). Long-term government contracts and specialized facility infrastructure create high switching costs for the government.

Headquarters: Nashville, Tennessee · Founded: 1983 · Employees: 13,651

Named competitors

CoreCivic at a glance

Size CoreCivic (CXW) is a United States Industrials company (Miscellaneous Commercial Services) with a market value of $2.84B, the 1585th largest of 3,117 United States companies the cockpit tracks. Shares closed at $28.67 on 6 Nov 2026.

Performance Over six months the shares gained 41.0%, against -1.1% for the median peer and -1.1% for the United States market (cap-weighted) — 3rd highest of 21 in its peer set.

Growth Revenue grew 24.4% over the last twelve months (peer median +9.1%); the operating margin is 9.9% (peer median 13.3%).

Valuation It trades at 12.1× forward earnings against a peer median of 16.5× (4th cheapest of 18).

Price implies For today's price to make sense, revenue must grow about -2% a year for seven years (Req g). Recent delivered growth is +3%, so the hurdle is -5 pp: the price already allows for a slowdown.

Capital Return on invested capital runs 5.8 points above its cost of capital (7.2% WACC).

Credit CoreCivic has 1 bond outstanding ($500M), rated BB by the agencies and trading like BB at a weighted spread of 168 bp.

Short interest Short interest is 13.2% of the free float (15 Oct 2026).

Next results Next results expected around 10 Feb 2027 (exchange calendar; dates can move).

Relative performance

10012515017511 May 202611 Aug 20266 Nov 2026CXW 144Peer median 99
Six months, rebased to 100: CoreCivic against the median of its 20 peers (local-currency closes).

CoreCivic financials

Reported figures in USD; fiscal year ends 2025-12-31. TTM = trailing twelve months.
TTMFY2025FY2024FY2023FY2022
Revenue$2.48B$2.21B$1.96B$1.90B$1.85B
Revenue growth—+13%+3%+3%—
Gross profit$424M$390M$340M$307M$304M
EBITDA$383M$349M$316M$298M$304M
Net income$128M$117M$68.9M$67.6M$122M
Free cash flow$57.3M$54.0M$198M$162M$72.2M
Capital expenditure$143M$141M$71.2M$70.3M$84.6M
Total debt$1.35B$1.35B$1.01B$1.21B$1.39B

Quarterly statements and history in the cockpit →

CoreCivic competitor charts

The default views of Competitor Analysis ▸ Charts, drawn from the same data. Open them in the cockpit to change the axes, pin companies and read every value.

Performance: 6-month against 1-month return

-50%-25%0%+25%+50%-20%0%+20%IKS605376PLXTNETHURNIWG603061001267ABM0022653001404194KWS012750688596688318VVX3264MMS6257CXW6-month return →1-month return →
Up and to the right = strong over both horizons. CoreCivic is the large dot.

Fundamentals: revenue growth against valuation

0%+25%+50%+75%20×40×60×80×IKS605376PLXTNETHURNIWG001267ABM4194688596688318VVX3264MMSCXWRevenue growth (TTM) →Forward P/E →
Further right = faster growth; higher = more expensive. The dashed lines are the peer medians. CoreCivic is the large dot.

Capital: growth delivered against growth the price implies

0%+20%+40%0%20%40%IKSTNETHURNIWG603061ABM0022653001404194KWS3264CXWGrowth delivered (Del g) →Growth the price implies (Req g, 7 yrs) →
Above the diagonal = the price needs more growth than the company has been delivering; below = the price already allows for a slowdown. CoreCivic is the large dot.

CoreCivic competitors and peer comparison

Head to head with its named competitors (CXW vs GEO)
CompanyMarket cap6M returnRevenue growthOp. marginForward P/EReq g
CoreCivic CXW$2.84B+41%+24%10%12.1×-1.6%
GEO GEO$3.66B+28%+15%12%13.5×6.8%

How CoreCivic compares with its peers

Peer set: Industry: the same industry and sector in any market, nearest in size. This is the same default set the interactive Competitor Analysis opens with.

CoreCivic against its 20 peers (data as of 6 Nov 2026)
MeasureCXWPeer medianRank in peer set
1-month return-12.3%-0.7%7th lowest of 21
6-month return+41.0%-1.1%3rd highest of 21
Distance from 52-week high-21.6%-30.8%10th highest of 21
Revenue growth (TTM)+24.4%+9.1%6th highest of 21
Operating margin9.9%13.3%9th lowest of 21
Forward P/E12.1×16.5×4th cheapest of 18
Growth the price implies (Req g, 7 yrs)-1.6%-1.3%7th least demanding of 15
Growth delivered (Del g)+3.0%+11.9%lowest of 15
Hurdle (Req g minus delivered)-4.6 pp-15.3 pp4th most demanding of 15
ROIC minus cost of capital+5.8 pp+3.2 pp6th highest of 18
EV / EBITDA7.6×9.4×5th cheapest of 12
Net debt / EBITDA3.2×0.2×3rd most indebted of 12
Bond spread168 bpn/a—

Peer table

Peer set: Industry: the same industry and sector in any market, nearest in size
CompanyMarketMarket cap6M returnRevenue growthOp. marginForward P/EReq gDelivered g
CoreCivic CXWUnited States$2.84B+41%+24%10%12.1×-1.6%+3.0%
Inventurus Knowledge Solutions IKS.NSIndia$2.94B-2%+20%31%31.8×21.2%+45.8%
Jiangsu Boqian New Materials Stock 605376.SSChina$2.94B-43%+76%20%38.8×n/an/a
Pluxee PLX.PAFrance$2.72B0%+1%28%8.9×n/an/a
TriNet TNETUnited States$3.05B+56%-4%6%15.1×-3.3%+4.4%
Huron Consulting HURNUnited States$2.63B+39%+12%12%16.5×-4.0%+14.3%
International Workplace IWG.LUnited Kingdom$2.63B+12%0%4%22.5×33.6%+3.3%
JHT Design 603061.SSChina$3.07B-8%+93%34%n/a43.9%+30.4%
Hui Lyu Ecological Technology Groups 001267.SZChina$2.61B-59%+90%10%71.6×n/an/a
ABM Industries ABMUnited States$3.10B+32%+6%5%12.5×-2.0%+7.9%
Jianshe Industry Group (Yunnan) 002265.SZChina$3.12B-11%+42%5%n/a26.3%+47.9%
CECEP Environmental Protection 300140.SZChina$2.51B-18%-2%23%n/a-1.2%+26.0%
Visional 4194.TJapan$2.51B+32%+24%25%20.2×-2.4%+28.2%
KWS SAAT SE & Co KGaA KWS.DEGermany$2.48B-12%-3%15%13.2×-8.2%+4.4%
S-1 012750.KSSouth Korea$2.45B+14%+1%7%21.8×-1.2%+5.4%
Shanghai GenTech 688596.SSChina$2.42B+56%+4%2%76.5×n/an/a
Shenzhen Fortune Trend Technology 688318.SSChina$3.36B-21%-3%56%69.5×n/an/a
V2X VVXUnited States$2.39B+9%+13%4%11.3×-1.4%+26.3%
Ardentec 3264.TWOTaiwan$2.36B-30%+32%30%12.3×5.2%+7.7%
MAXIMUS MMSUnited States$3.43B+2%-3%11%7.9×-8.5%+9.4%
Sigurd Microelectronics 6257.TWTaiwan$2.33B-19%+12%22%14.0×n/an/a

CoreCivic bonds and credit

CoreCivic has 1 bond outstanding with $500M face value. The agencies rate it BB; its bonds trade like BB. Weighted yield 5.88%, a spread of 168 bp over government bonds.

Every bond, yield and spread in the cockpit →

Questions

Who are CoreCivic's main competitors?
Named competitors: GEO Group (GEO). The cockpit's measured peer set (industry) also includes Inventurus Knowledge Solutions (IKS.NS), Jiangsu Boqian New Materials Stock (605376.SS), Pluxee (PLX.PA), TriNet (TNET), Huron Consulting (HURN), International Workplace (IWG.L).
Is CoreCivic expensive compared with its peers?
On forward p/e it trades at 12.1× against a peer median of 16.5×, 4th cheapest of 18 in its peer set. For today's price to make sense, revenue must grow about -2% a year for seven years (Req g). Recent delivered growth is +3%, so the hurdle is -5 pp: the price already allows for a slowdown.
How has CoreCivic stock performed?
Over six months to 6 Nov 2026 the shares returned +41.0% against -1.1% for the median peer; over one year +53.8%.

How these numbers are made. Returns are close-to-close in local currency. Revenue growth and margins are trailing twelve months. Req g is the revenue growth that today's enterprise value requires for seven years at the company's own cost of capital; Delivered g is what it actually grew; the gap is the hurdle (honest precision about ±8 points, so read the ranking more than the decimal). No fair values, price targets or analyst ratings are shown, by design. Method and validation.