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Cerence Inc.CRNCCompetitor analysis, valuation and peers

United States · USD·Information Technology›Packaged Software
Momentum weak 36
Mkt cap
$369M
US dollars, full cap
Free float
92%
of shares outstanding
$/day
$5.75M
20-day average traded
Fwd P/E
10.8×
forward earnings
ROIC−WACC
-2.1 pp
WACC 15.0%
Hurdle
+12 pp
Req g minus delivered
Next earnings
17 days
23 Nov 2026
Close · USD$8.15
1D+1.5%
1W+0.7%
1M-2.3%
3M-8.5%
6M-17.4%
YTD-23.8%
1Y-16.3%
ATR %5.3%
Beta2.50
52w lowhigh38.6% off high

What Cerence does

Employees: 1,300

Cerence at a glance

Size Cerence (CRNC) is a United States Information Technology company (Packaged Software) with a market value of $369M, the 2923rd largest of 3,117 United States companies the cockpit tracks. Shares closed at $8.15 on 6 Nov 2026.

Performance Over six months the shares fell 17.4%, against -14.6% for the median peer and -1.1% for the United States market (cap-weighted) — 11th highest of 21 in its peer set.

Growth Revenue grew 25.8% over the last twelve months (peer median +7.6%); the operating margin is 11.9% (peer median 1.6%).

Valuation It trades at 10.8× forward earnings against a peer median of 26.0× (2nd cheapest of 12).

Price implies For today's price to make sense, revenue must grow about 6% a year for seven years (Req g). Recent delivered growth is -5%, so the hurdle is +12 pp: the price needs faster growth than the company has been delivering — of companies that just grew 25–50% a year, 93.8% slowed down over the next four years.

Capital Return on invested capital runs 2.1 points below its cost of capital (15.0% WACC).

Backlog Backlog (remaining performance obligations) was $234M at 30 Jun 2026, up 4% on a year earlier — 0.8 years of trailing revenue. Backlog detail →

Credit Cerence has 1 bond outstanding ($170M).

Short interest Short interest is 12.8% of the free float (15 Oct 2026).

Next results Next results expected around 23 Nov 2026 (exchange calendar; dates can move).

Relative performance

8010012011 May 202611 Aug 20266 Nov 2026Peer median 85CRNC 82
Six months, rebased to 100: Cerence against the median of its 20 peers (local-currency closes).

Cerence financials

Reported figures in USD; fiscal year ends 2025-09-30. TTM = trailing twelve months.
TTMFY2025FY2024FY2023FY2022
Revenue$309M$252M$332M$294M$328M
Revenue growth—-24%+13%-10%—
Gross profit$244M$181M$242M$193M$219M
EBITDA$46.7M$23.7M$56.9M$756,000$62.3M
Net income-$15.4M-$18.7M-$588M-$56.3M-$311M
Free cash flow$78.6M$46.8M$11.8M$2.37M-$19.6M
Capital expenditure$6.07M$14.4M$5.00M$5.12M$17.4M
Total debt$187M$217M$296M$290M$288M

Quarterly statements and history in the cockpit →

Cerence competitor charts

The default views of Competitor Analysis ▸ Charts, drawn from the same data. Open them in the cockpit to change the axes, pin companies and read every value.

Performance: 6-month against 1-month return

-50%-25%0%+25%-20%-10%0%+10%LAW3763301195AIOTLIME3003593004193002351675EOL30080720133003654481992813846882296031894259VHICRNC6-month return →1-month return →
Up and to the right = strong over both horizons. Cerence is the large dot.

Fundamentals: revenue growth against valuation

0%+25%+50%+75%0×50×100×3763301195AIOTLIME1675448113844259VHICRNCRevenue growth (TTM) →Forward P/E →
Further right = faster growth; higher = more expensive. The dashed lines are the peer medians. Cerence is the large dot.

Capital: growth delivered against growth the price implies

-20%0%+20%+40%0%25%50%3763301195AIOTLIME3004191675EOL300807448199284259VHICRNCGrowth delivered (Del g) →Growth the price implies (Req g, 7 yrs) →
Above the diagonal = the price needs more growth than the company has been delivering; below = the price already allows for a slowdown. Cerence is the large dot.

Cerence competitors and peer comparison

How Cerence compares with its peers

Peer set: Industry: the same industry and sector in any market, nearest in size. This is the same default set the interactive Competitor Analysis opens with.

Cerence against its 20 peers (data as of 6 Nov 2026)
MeasureCRNCPeer medianRank in peer set
1-month return-2.3%-6.4%8th highest of 21
6-month return-17.4%-14.6%11th highest of 21
Distance from 52-week high-38.6%-39.5%11th highest of 21
Revenue growth (TTM)+25.8%+7.6%6th highest of 21
Operating margin11.9%1.6%8th highest of 21
Forward P/E10.8×26.0×2nd cheapest of 12
Growth the price implies (Req g, 7 yrs)6.4%12.1%6th least demanding of 13
Growth delivered (Del g)-5.3%+14.4%3rd lowest of 13
Hurdle (Req g minus delivered)+11.8 pp-13.9 pp3rd most demanding of 13
ROIC minus cost of capital-2.1 pp-9.9 pp8th highest of 21
EV / EBITDA9.2×13.0×4th cheapest of 9
Net debt / EBITDA1.3×-2.3×2nd most indebted of 10

Peer table

Peer set: Industry: the same industry and sector in any market, nearest in size
CompanyMarketMarket cap6M returnRevenue growthOp. marginForward P/EReq gDelivered g
Cerence CRNCUnited States$369M-17%+26%12%10.8×6.4%-5.3%
CS Disco LAWUnited States$367M+37%+12%-20%n/an/an/a
Pro-Ship 3763.TJapan$370M+33%+15%36%19.3×-4.4%+9.4%
Nanjing Bestway Intelligent Control Technology 301195.SZChina$370M-18%-4%6%29.8×10.7%+17.0%
PowerFleet AIOTUnited States$361M-4%+15%7%87.7×15.3%+31.3%
Lime Technologies LIME.STSweden$361M+24%+9%21%26.0×-1.6%+16.9%
Qtone Education Group (Guangdong) 300359.SZChina$361M-24%-29%-34%n/an/an/a
Beijing Interact Technology 300419.SZChina$360M-8%-52%-54%n/a36.2%-17.8%
Shenzhen Fangzhi Science and Technology 300235.SZChina$359M-33%+27%7%n/an/an/a
AsiaInfo Technologies 1675.HKHong Kong$379M-49%-3%-3%6.2×-13.9%+0.2%
Energy One EOL.AXAustralia$379M+3%+14%17%29.5×18.7%+20.3%
Zhengzhou Tiamaes Technology 300807.SZChina$379M-45%-28%-19%n/a44.1%-5.8%
Weimob 2013.HKHong Kong$358M-55%+40%-14%n/an/an/a
Beijing Forever Technology 300365.SZChina$357M-32%-47%-52%n/an/an/a
Base 4481.TJapan$356M-7%+1%26%13.1×-13.4%+11.9%
Miroku Jyoho Service 9928.TJapan$382M+27%+6%15%13.4×-11.7%+7.5%
Deepexi Technology 1384.HKHong Kong$356M-88%+86%-9%101.4×n/an/a
Bonree Data Technology 688229.SSChina$382M-33%-21%-93%n/an/an/a
Shanghai WonderTek Software 603189.SSChina$355M-28%+7%-8%n/an/an/a
ExaWizards 4259.TJapan$384M-11%+28%13%30.9×40.9%+35.6%
Vitalhub VHI.TOCanada$354M-2%+54%12%22.2×13.6%+51.2%

Cerence bonds and credit

Cerence has 1 bond outstanding with $170M face value.

Every bond, yield and spread in the cockpit →

Cerence backlog

Cerence reported $234M of remaining performance obligations at 30 Jun 2026, up 4% from a year earlier and down 1% from the previous quarter. That is 0.8 years of trailing revenue already under contract. Book-to-bill last quarter: 0.98.

Questions

Which companies are Cerence's closest peers?
The cockpit's peer set: CS Disco (LAW), Pro-Ship (3763.T), Nanjing Bestway Intelligent Control Technology (301195.SZ), PowerFleet (AIOT), Lime Technologies (LIME.ST), Qtone Education Group (Guangdong) (300359.SZ), Beijing Interact Technology (300419.SZ), Shenzhen Fangzhi Science and Technology (300235.SZ).
Is Cerence expensive compared with its peers?
On forward p/e it trades at 10.8× against a peer median of 26.0×, 2nd cheapest of 12 in its peer set. For today's price to make sense, revenue must grow about 6% a year for seven years (Req g). Recent delivered growth is -5%, so the hurdle is +12 pp: the price needs faster growth than the company has been delivering — of companies that just grew 25–50% a year, 93.8% slowed down over the next four years.
How has Cerence stock performed?
Over six months to 6 Nov 2026 the shares returned -17.4% against -14.6% for the median peer; over one year -16.3%.
What is Cerence's backlog?
Cerence's remaining performance obligations (contracted revenue not yet recognised) were $234M at 30 Jun 2026, +4% on a year earlier.

How these numbers are made. Returns are close-to-close in local currency. Revenue growth and margins are trailing twelve months. Req g is the revenue growth that today's enterprise value requires for seven years at the company's own cost of capital; Delivered g is what it actually grew; the gap is the hurdle (honest precision about ±8 points, so read the ranking more than the decimal). No fair values, price targets or analyst ratings are shown, by design. Method and validation.