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AES CorporationAESCompetitor analysis, valuation and peers

United States · USD·Utilities›Electric Utilities

Global power generation and utility company, increasingly focused on renewable energy and long-term corporate power contracts.

Momentum neutral 59
Mkt cap
$10.6B
US dollars, full cap
Free float
99%
of shares outstanding
$/day
$152M
20-day average traded
Fwd P/E
6.8×
forward earnings
ROIC−WACC
-1.9 pp
WACC 6.4%
Hurdle
n/a
no reverse DCF
Official | Implied
BBB- / BBB-
agencies · bond market
Next earnings
115 days
1 Mar 2027
Close · USD$14.87
1D-0.1%
1W+0.3%
1M-0.4%
3M+0.9%
6M+3.8%
YTD+6.2%
1Y+7.1%
ATR %0.4%
Beta0.26
52w lowhigh14.7% off high

What AES does

Global power generation and utility company, increasingly focused on renewable energy and long-term corporate power contracts.

Most generation is sold under long-term power purchase contracts, so cash flows are set by contract rather than spot prices, and regulated US utilities in Indiana and Ohio sell to ratepayers at approved rates. It has been selling coal plants and some foreign assets to fund wind, solar and battery build-outs, and signs many of its new contracts with large technology companies.

Products and services

  • Renewable generation (wind, solar, storage)
  • Regulated utilities (US, Latin America)
  • Thermal generation (legacy)

Customers

  • Corporate/hyperscale renewable-energy buyers
  • Regulated utility ratepayers

Where it sits in the supply chain

  • Utilities
  • Electric utilities
  • Generation (renewables-focused) +…

What could go right

  • Data-center clean-power demand
  • Renewable buildout pipeline

What could go wrong

  • High leverage/interest-rate sensitivity
  • Latin America regulatory/currency risk

Moat: none (scale, installed base). Global generation scale, but merchant power and renewables are competitively priced businesses.

Headquarters: Arlington, Virginia, US · Founded: 1981 · Employees: 8,336

Named competitors

AES at a glance

Size AES (AES) is a United States Utilities company (Electric Utilities) with a market value of $10.6B, the 746th largest of 3,117 United States companies the cockpit tracks. Shares closed at $14.87 on 6 Nov 2026.

Performance Over six months the shares gained 3.8%, against -5.1% for the median peer and -1.1% for the United States market (cap-weighted) — 7th highest of 21 in its peer set.

Growth Revenue grew 12.0% over the last twelve months (peer median +6.7%); the operating margin is 19.9% (peer median 13.6%).

Valuation It trades at 6.8× forward earnings against a peer median of 17.3× (3rd cheapest of 19).

Capital Return on invested capital runs 1.9 points below its cost of capital (6.4% WACC).

Backlog Backlog (remaining performance obligations) was $195M at 30 Sep 2026, down 55% on a year earlier — 0.0 years of trailing revenue. Backlog detail →

Credit AES has 11 bonds outstanding ($7.85B), rated BBB- by the agencies and trading like BBB- at a weighted spread of 116 bp.

Short interest Short interest is 2.9% of the free float (15 Oct 2026).

Next results Next results expected around 1 Mar 2027 (exchange calendar; dates can move).

Relative performance

9510010511 May 202611 Aug 20266 Nov 2026AES 104Peer median 95
Six months, rebased to 100: AES against the median of its 20 peers (local-currency closes).

AES financials

Reported figures in USD; fiscal year ends 2025-12-31. TTM = trailing twelve months.
TTMFY2025FY2024FY2023FY2022
Revenue$13.5B$12.2B$12.3B$12.7B$12.6B
Revenue growth—0%-3%0%—
Gross profit$2.90B$2.26B$2.32B$2.52B$2.55B
EBITDA$4.37B$3.49B$3.29B$3.39B$3.39B
Net income$1.79B$939M$1.69B$242M-$546M
Free cash flow-$1.52B-$1.62B-$4.64B-$4.69B-$1.84B
Capital expenditure$6.42B$5.93B$7.39B$7.72B$4.55B
Total debt$33.3B$30.9B$29.4B$27.1B$23.9B

Quarterly statements and history in the cockpit →

AES competitor charts

The default views of Competitor Analysis ▸ Charts, drawn from the same data. Open them in the cockpit to change the axes, pin companies and read every value.

Performance: 6-month against 1-month return

-20%-10%0%+10%-10%0%+10%6002360991OGE600023000301JSWENERGY95029435EDNRREDTATAPOWERBEP-UNPGEPNW1071NHPCBN4600674IDAA2AAES6-month return →1-month return →
Up and to the right = strong over both horizons. AES is the large dot.

Fundamentals: revenue growth against valuation

0%+10%+20%10×20×30×40×6002360991OGE600023000301JSWENERGY95029435REDTATAPOWERPGEPNW1071NHPCBN4600674IDAA2AAESRevenue growth (TTM) →Forward P/E →
Further right = faster growth; higher = more expensive. The dashed lines are the peer medians. AES is the large dot.

AES competitors and peer comparison

Head to head with its named competitors (AES vs NEE vs BEP-UN.TO vs VST)
CompanyMarket cap6M returnRevenue growthOp. marginForward P/EReq g
AES AES$10.6B+4%+12%20%6.8×n/a
NextEra Energy NEE$182B-6%+13%30%21.0×18.8%
Brookfield Renewable Partners LP BEP-UN.TO$9.41B-7%+7%11%n/an/a
Vistra VST$41.9B-15%+9%19%12.8×12.5%
Constellation Energy CEG$88.6B-18%+21%15%20.5×20.3%
NRG Energy NRG$18.6B-36%+13%5%9.0×15.4%
Clearway Energy CWEN$7.00B-11%+8%13%56.4×33.1%
Enel ENEL.MI$108B0%0%16%13.4×6.2%

How AES compares with its peers

Peer set: Industry: the same industry and sector in any market, nearest in size. This is the same default set the interactive Competitor Analysis opens with.

AES against its 20 peers (data as of 6 Nov 2026)
MeasureAESPeer medianRank in peer set
1-month return-0.4%+3.1%6th lowest of 21
6-month return+3.8%-5.1%7th highest of 21
Distance from 52-week high-14.7%-15.9%10th highest of 21
Revenue growth (TTM)+12.0%+6.7%7th highest of 21
Operating margin19.9%13.6%9th highest of 21
Forward P/E6.8×17.3×3rd cheapest of 19
ROIC minus cost of capital-1.9 pp-1.2 pp10th lowest of 20
EV / EBITDA11.3×12.0×6th cheapest of 15
Net debt / EBITDA7.0×5.4×5th most indebted of 16
Bond spread116 bp84 bp2nd widest of 6

Peer table

Peer set: Industry: the same industry and sector in any market, nearest in size
CompanyMarketMarket cap6M returnRevenue growthOp. marginForward P/EReq gDelivered g
AES AESUnited States$10.6B+4%+12%20%6.8×n/an/a
Guangxi Guiguan Electric Power 600236.SSChina$10.7B-10%+26%48%20.7×-2.8%+3.0%
Datang International Power Generation 0991.HKHong Kong$10.7B-20%+3%15%5.5×4.0%+4.1%
OGE Energy OGEUnited States$10.5B+7%+2%26%21.6×8.1%+9.0%
Zhejiang Zheneng Electric Power 600023.SSChina$10.8B-5%-7%-1%17.4×7.0%+9.0%
Jiangsu Eastern Shenghong 000301.SZChina$10.3B-22%+4%7%12.4×-2.1%+28.4%
JSW Energy JSWENERGY.NSIndia$10.1B-9%+26%36%39.7×n/an/a
Chubu Electric Power 9502.TJapan$11.2B-13%+3%0%10.3×n/an/a
Hikari Tsushin 9435.TJapan$10.0B-5%+7%15%12.5×6.7%+5.6%
Edison EDNR.MIItaly$9.87B-12%+6%3%n/an/an/a
Redeia Corporacion RED.MCSpain$9.47B+8%+15%43%16.7×n/an/a
Tata Power TATAPOWER.NSIndia$11.9B-20%-4%13%25.0×n/an/a
Brookfield Renewable Partners LP BEP-UN.TOCanada$9.41B-7%+7%11%n/an/an/a
PGE Polska Grupa Energetyczna PGE.WAPoland$9.02B+47%-2%12%5.5×n/an/a
Pinnacle West Capital PNWUnited States$12.6B+5%+8%23%19.1×n/an/a
Huadian Power International 1071.HKHong Kong$8.73B0%+13%8%9.6×n/an/a
NHPC NHPC.NSIndia$8.72B+1%+12%30%19.4×n/an/a
Keppel BN4.SISingapore$13.0B-13%+11%11%18.9×14.8%-1.9%
Sichuan Chuantou Energy 600674.SSChina$13.0B+16%-1%29%17.2×32.3%+10.0%
IDACORP IDAUnited States$8.63B+2%+4%23%21.7×n/an/a
A2A A2A.MIItaly$8.55B+4%+14%8%11.9×2.8%+15.6%

AES bonds and credit

AES has 11 bonds outstanding with $7.85B face value. The agencies rate it BBB-; its bonds trade like BBB-. Weighted yield 5.72%, a spread of 116 bp over government bonds.

Every bond, yield and spread in the cockpit →

AES backlog

AES reported $195M of remaining performance obligations at 30 Sep 2026, down 55% from a year earlier and down 24% from the previous quarter. That is 0.0 years of trailing revenue already under contract. Book-to-bill last quarter: 0.98.

Questions

Who are AES's main competitors?
Named competitors: NextEra Energy (NEE), Brookfield Renewable (BEP-UN.TO), Vistra Corp (VST), Constellation Energy (CEG), NRG Energy (NRG), Clearway Energy (CWEN). The cockpit's measured peer set (industry) also includes Guangxi Guiguan Electric Power (600236.SS), Datang International Power Generation (0991.HK), OGE Energy (OGE), Zhejiang Zheneng Electric Power (600023.SS), Jiangsu Eastern Shenghong (000301.SZ), JSW Energy (JSWENERGY.NS).
Is AES expensive compared with its peers?
On forward p/e it trades at 6.8× against a peer median of 17.3×, 3rd cheapest of 19 in its peer set.
How has AES stock performed?
Over six months to 6 Nov 2026 the shares returned +3.8% against -5.1% for the median peer; over one year +7.1%.
What is AES's backlog?
AES's remaining performance obligations (contracted revenue not yet recognised) were $195M at 30 Sep 2026, -55% on a year earlier.

How these numbers are made. Returns are close-to-close in local currency. Revenue growth and margins are trailing twelve months. Req g is the revenue growth that today's enterprise value requires for seven years at the company's own cost of capital; Delivered g is what it actually grew; the gap is the hurdle (honest precision about ±8 points, so read the ranking more than the decimal). No fair values, price targets or analyst ratings are shown, by design. Method and validation.