Loading…

Modec, Inc.6269.TCompetitor analysis, valuation and peers

Japan · JPY·Industrials›Trucks/Construction/Farm Machinery

Japanese engineering firm that designs, builds, owns and operates FPSO vessels for offshore oil and gas production worldwide.

≈ A specialist FPSO operator, similar to SBM OffshoreMomentum laggard 4
Mkt cap
$3.03B
US dollars, full cap
Free float
66%
of shares outstanding
$/day
$30.3M
20-day average traded
Fwd P/E
7.7×
forward earnings
ROIC−WACC
n/a
WACC 5.3%
Hurdle
-40 pp
Req g minus delivered
Next earnings
4 days
10 Nov 2026
Close · JPY¥6,990
1D-8.2%
1W-13.8%
1M-20.9%
3M-30.3%
6M-45.9%
YTD-41.3%
1Y-20.5%
ATR %4.5%
52w lowhigh58.2% off high

What Modec does

Japanese engineering firm that designs, builds, owns and operates FPSO vessels for offshore oil and gas production worldwide.

Wins contracts to build a floating production vessel, with profit recognised as the build proceeds, then operates it for the oil company under a charter lasting many years, earning day-rate and operating fees. A few very large projects shape each year. The trading house Mitsui is a major shareholder.

In one line: A specialist FPSO operator, similar to SBM Offshore.

Products and services

  • FPSO vessel design/construction
  • FPSO leasing/operation
  • Offshore engineering services

Customers

  • International oil majors and national oil companie

Where it sits in the supply chain

  • Energy services
  • Offshore oil & gas equipment
  • FPSO design, construction & operation

What could go right

  • Offshore oil & gas capex cycle
  • Long-term charter contract backlog

What could go wrong

  • Oil price cyclicality affecting new orders
  • Large project execution/cost-overrun risk

Moat: narrow (process know-how, installed base). Engineering expertise and a track record operating complex FPSOs support long-term charter contracts.

Headquarters: Tokyo, Japan · Founded: 1968 · Employees: 6,460

Named competitors

Modec at a glance

Size Modec (6269.T) is a Japan Industrials company (Trucks/Construction/Farm Machinery) with a market value of $3.03B, the 366th largest of 1,379 Japan companies the cockpit tracks. Shares closed at ¥6,990 on 6 Nov 2026.

Performance Over six months the shares fell 45.9%, against -12.8% for the median peer and +1.8% for the Japan market (cap-weighted) — 3rd lowest of 21 in its peer set.

Growth Revenue grew 16.8% over the last twelve months (peer median +10.8%); the operating margin is 8.6% (peer median 7.7%).

Valuation It trades at 7.7× forward earnings against a peer median of 13.5× (cheapest of 20).

Price implies For today's price to make sense, revenue must grow about -21% a year for seven years (Req g). Recent delivered growth is +19%, so the hurdle is -40 pp: the price already allows for a slowdown.

Next results Next results expected around 10 Nov 2026 (exchange calendar; dates can move).

Relative performance

608010011 May 202611 Aug 20266 Nov 2026Peer median 866269.T 54
Six months, rebased to 100: Modec against the median of its 20 peers (local-currency closes).

Modec financials

Reported figures in JPY; fiscal year ends 2025-12-31. TTM = trailing twelve months.
TTMFY2025FY2024FY2023FY2022
Revenue¥765B¥685B¥634B¥503B¥360B
Revenue growth—+8%+26%+39%—
Gross profit¥108B¥77.9B¥53.9B¥29.8B¥4.21B
EBITDA¥71.6B¥51.4B¥31.5B¥14.4B-¥5.95B
Net income¥68.0B¥54.0B¥33.4B¥13.6B¥4.92B
Free cash flow¥87.0B¥35.4B¥83.1B¥67.3B-¥28.4B
Capital expenditure¥1.51B¥1.10B¥1.86B¥1.05B¥905M
Total debt¥68.4B¥78.3B¥89.8B¥86.6B¥59.7B

Quarterly statements and history in the cockpit →

Modec competitor charts

The default views of Competitor Analysis ▸ Charts, drawn from the same data. Open them in the cockpit to change the axes, pin companies and read every value.

Performance: 6-month against 1-month return

-40%-20%0%+20%-20%-10%0%+10%CAF601608CRAFTSMAN0631267270688425600582COCHINSHIPHIABGRSE000528241560CADLRSRAIL600528BUCNTRN031700277964326269.T6-month return →1-month return →
Up and to the right = strong over both horizons. Modec is the large dot.

Fundamentals: revenue growth against valuation

0%+50%+100%0×50×100×150×CAF601608CRAFTSMAN0631267270688425600582COCHINSHIPHIABGRSECADLRSRAILBUCN0027796269.TRevenue growth (TTM) →Forward P/E →
Further right = faster growth; higher = more expensive. The dashed lines are the peer medians. Modec is the large dot.

Capital: growth delivered against growth the price implies

-20%0%+20%-20%0%20%CAF6016080631267270688425HIAB000528241560SRAIL600528031764326269.TGrowth delivered (Del g) →Growth the price implies (Req g, 7 yrs) →
Above the diagonal = the price needs more growth than the company has been delivering; below = the price already allows for a slowdown. Modec is the large dot.

Modec competitors and peer comparison

Head to head with its named competitors (6269.T vs SBMO.AS vs BWO.OL vs SPM.MI)
CompanyMarket cap6M returnRevenue growthOp. marginForward P/EReq g
Modec 6269.T$3.03B-46%+17%9%7.7×-21.3%
SBM Offshore SBMO.AS$6.08B-8%+1%31%6.2×-14.4%
BW Offshore BWO.OL$747M-25%-17%23%8.5×5.5%
Saipem SPM.MI$9.38B-9%+2%4%27.1×6.9%
Seatrium 5E2.SI$4.77B-19%+11%4%13.0×4.0%

How Modec compares with its peers

Peer set: Industry: the same industry and sector in any market, nearest in size. This is the same default set the interactive Competitor Analysis opens with.

Modec against its 20 peers (data as of 6 Nov 2026)
Measure6269.TPeer medianRank in peer set
1-month return-20.9%+1.4%3rd lowest of 21
6-month return-45.9%-12.8%3rd lowest of 21
Distance from 52-week high-58.2%-26.7%3rd lowest of 21
Revenue growth (TTM)+16.8%+10.8%8th highest of 21
Operating margin8.6%7.7%9th highest of 21
Forward P/E7.7×13.5×cheapest of 20
Growth the price implies (Req g, 7 yrs)-21.3%1.0%least demanding of 14
Growth delivered (Del g)+18.6%+5.7%2nd highest of 14
Hurdle (Req g minus delivered)-39.8 pp-8.5 ppleast demanding of 14
EV / EBITDA3.3×10.8×cheapest of 12
Net debt / EBITDA-3.4×0.7×2nd least indebted of 12

Peer table

Peer set: Industry: the same industry and sector in any market, nearest in size
CompanyMarketMarket cap6M returnRevenue growthOp. marginForward P/EReq gDelivered g
Modec 6269.TJapan$3.03B-46%+17%9%7.7×-21.3%+18.6%
Construcciones y Auxiliar de Ferrocarriles CAF.MCSpain$2.92B+21%+12%6%13.5×1.0%+10.2%
CITIC Heavy Industries 601608.SSChina$3.15B-24%+5%4%45.9×14.5%+5.1%
Craftsman Automation CRAFTSMAN.NSIndia$2.90B+21%+36%10%44.5×n/an/a
Sany Heavy Equipment International 0631.HKHong Kong$2.82B-46%+19%6%8.9×1.4%+26.1%
Hd Ce 267270.KSSouth Korea$2.80B-56%+115%8%8.6×-9.6%+9.6%
China Railway Construction Heavy Industry 688425.SSChina$3.29B-13%-1%12%12.4×1.9%+5.7%
Tiandi Science & Technology 600582.SSChina$3.30B-6%-6%4%10.4×n/an/a
Cochin Shipyard COCHINSHIP.NSIndia$3.40B-33%-1%13%34.3×n/an/a
Hiab HIAB.HEFinland$3.52B-5%+6%12%16.9×15.5%-13.7%
Garden Reach Shipbuilders & Engineers GRSE.NSIndia$2.60B-31%+40%10%26.5×n/an/a
Guangxi Liugong Machinery 000528.SZChina$2.58B-13%+10%6%10.5×-3.5%+5.0%
Doosan Bobcat 241560.KSSouth Korea$3.64B-28%+11%9%9.0×-13.3%+15.5%
Cadeler A/S CADLR.OLNorway$2.41B-14%+53%36%9.4×n/an/a
Stadler Rail SRAIL.SWSwitzerland$3.84B+38%+26%5%19.8×0.2%+3.6%
China Railway Hi-tech Industry 600528.SSChina$2.37B-9%-8%5%n/a-4.0%+2.6%
Bucher Industries BUCN.SWSwitzerland$3.93B+4%-4%7%19.1×-2.9%+1.2%
Trinity Industries TRNUnited States$2.30B-20%-2%13%15.8×n/an/a
CSSC Offshore & Marine Engineering (Group) 0317.HKHong Kong$4.04B-22%+10%1%9.6×1.5%+11.3%
ZHEJIANG ZHONGJIAN TECHNOLOGY 002779.SZChina$2.26B+2%+28%-17%150.7×n/an/a
Takeuchi Mfg.Co 6432.TJapan$2.21B+4%+12%16%10.6×4.0%+14.9%

Questions

Who are Modec's main competitors?
Named competitors: SBM Offshore (SBMO.AS), Yinson Holdings (private or unlisted), BW Offshore (BWO.OL), Saipem (SPM.MI), Seatrium (5E2.SI), Bumi Armada (private or unlisted). The cockpit's measured peer set (industry) also includes Construcciones y Auxiliar de Ferrocarriles (CAF.MC), CITIC Heavy Industries (601608.SS), Craftsman Automation (CRAFTSMAN.NS), Sany Heavy Equipment International (0631.HK), Hd Ce (267270.KS), China Railway Construction Heavy Industry (688425.SS).
Is Modec expensive compared with its peers?
On forward p/e it trades at 7.7× against a peer median of 13.5×, cheapest of 20 in its peer set. For today's price to make sense, revenue must grow about -21% a year for seven years (Req g). Recent delivered growth is +19%, so the hurdle is -40 pp: the price already allows for a slowdown.
How has Modec stock performed?
Over six months to 6 Nov 2026 the shares returned -45.9% against -12.8% for the median peer; over one year -20.5%.

How these numbers are made. Returns are close-to-close in local currency. Revenue growth and margins are trailing twelve months. Req g is the revenue growth that today's enterprise value requires for seven years at the company's own cost of capital; Delivered g is what it actually grew; the gap is the hurdle (honest precision about ±8 points, so read the ranking more than the decimal). No fair values, price targets or analyst ratings are shown, by design. Method and validation.