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Santos LimitedSTO.AXCompetitor analysis, valuation and peers

Australia · AUD·Energy›Oil & Gas Production

Australian oil and gas producer supplying domestic gas plus LNG exports from Papua New Guinea, Darwin and Gladstone.

≈ Australia's Devon EnergyMomentum strong 71
Mkt cap
$19.2B
US dollars, full cap
Free float
100%
of shares outstanding
$/day
$73.8M
20-day average traded
Fwd P/E
8.1×
forward earnings
ROIC−WACC
-2.5 pp
WACC 6.1%
Hurdle
+2 pp
Req g minus delivered
Official | Implied
BBB- / BBB-
agencies · bond market
Next earnings
109 days
23 Feb 2027
Close · AUDA$8.56
1D0.0%
1W-7.5%
1M-1.3%
3M+6.2%
6M+11.5%
YTD+38.7%
1Y+33.3%
ATR %2.8%
52w lowhigh9.1% off high

What Santos does

Australian oil and gas producer supplying domestic gas plus LNG exports from Papua New Guinea, Darwin and Gladstone.

Sells LNG mostly under long-term contracts with Asian buyers, with prices commonly tied to oil, and supplies gas to Australian domestic users on the east coast and in Western Australia. The 2021 merger with Oil Search brought its Papua New Guinea interests, and the Barossa field is being developed to keep the Darwin plant supplied as its original field runs down.

In one line: Australia's Devon Energy.

Products and services

  • LNG (PNG LNG, Darwin, GLNG)
  • Domestic gas supply (Cooper Basin, WA)
  • Oil production
  • Carbon capture and storage (Moomba CCS)

Customers

  • Asian LNG buyers
  • Domestic east/west coast gas users

Where it sits in the supply chain

  • Energy
  • Oil & gas E&P
  • LNG + domestic gas supply

What could go right

  • LNG price cycles
  • Domestic east-coast gas shortage supporting prices

What could go wrong

  • Oil/gas price volatility
  • Approval/regulatory delays on new projects

Moat: narrow (scale, installed base). Long-life gas fields and LNG export infrastructure that took decades and billions to build.

Headquarters: Adelaide, Australia · Founded: 1954 · Employees: 4,028

Named competitors

Santos at a glance

Size Santos (STO.AX) is an Australia Energy company (Oil & Gas Production) with a market value of $19.2B, the 21st largest of 316 Australia companies the cockpit tracks. Shares closed at A$8.56 on 6 Nov 2026.

Performance Over six months the shares gained 11.5%, against -2.5% for the median peer and +4.1% for the Australia market (cap-weighted) — 3rd highest of 13 in its peer set.

Growth Revenue fell 8.5% over the last twelve months (peer median +14.2%); the operating margin is 21.4% (peer median 29.8%).

Valuation It trades at 8.1× forward earnings against a peer median of 9.0× (6th cheapest of 13).

Price implies For today's price to make sense, revenue must grow about 12% a year for seven years (Req g). Recent delivered growth is +9%, so the hurdle is +2 pp: the price needs faster growth than the company has been delivering — of companies that just grew 25–50% a year, 93.8% slowed down over the next four years.

Capital Return on invested capital runs 2.5 points below its cost of capital (6.1% WACC).

Credit Santos has 3 bonds outstanding ($2.65B), rated BBB- by the agencies and trading like BBB- at a weighted spread of 130 bp.

Next results Next results expected around 23 Feb 2027 (exchange calendar; dates can move).

Relative performance

9010011012011 May 202611 Aug 20266 Nov 2026STO.AX 112Peer median 97
Six months, rebased to 100: Santos against the median of its 12 peers (local-currency closes).

Santos financials

Reported figures in AUD; fiscal year ends 2025-12-31. TTM = trailing twelve months.
TTMFY2025FY2024FY2023FY2022
RevenueA$7.54BA$7.88BA$8.30BA$9.02BA$11.4B
Revenue growth—-5%-8%-21%—
Gross profitA$1.89BA$2.43BA$2.91BA$3.10BA$5.08B
EBITDAA$4.60BA$5.19BA$5.36BA$5.93BA$7.84B
Net incomeA$1.08BA$1.27BA$1.86BA$2.13BA$3.05B
Free cash flowA$381MA$963MA$396MA$1.24BA$4.23B
Capital expenditureA$2.57BA$3.19BA$3.64BA$3.57BA$2.46B
Total debtn/aA$11.3BA$10.8BA$9.03BA$8.14B

Quarterly statements and history in the cockpit →

Santos competitor charts

The default views of Competitor Analysis ▸ Charts, drawn from the same data. Open them in the cockpit to change the axes, pin companies and read every value.

Performance: 6-month against 1-month return

-20%0%+20%+40%+60%-10%0%+10%+20%TOUORGRRCARWDSFANGSEPLVISTMGYHBRCNXSTO.AX6-month return →1-month return →
Up and to the right = strong over both horizons. Santos is the large dot.

Fundamentals: revenue growth against valuation

0%+25%+50%+75%5×10×15×20×TOUORGRRCARWDSFANGSEPLVISTMGYHBRMURCNXSTO.AXRevenue growth (TTM) →Forward P/E →
Further right = faster growth; higher = more expensive. The dashed lines are the peer medians. Santos is the large dot.

Capital: growth delivered against growth the price implies

0%+20%+40%0%20%40%ORGRRCARFANGSEPLVISTMGYMURSTO.AXGrowth delivered (Del g) →Growth the price implies (Req g, 7 yrs) →
Above the diagonal = the price needs more growth than the company has been delivering; below = the price already allows for a slowdown. Santos is the large dot.

Santos competitors and peer comparison

Head to head with its named competitors (STO.AX vs WDS.AX vs BPT.AX vs XOM)
CompanyMarket cap6M returnRevenue growthOp. marginForward P/EReq g
Santos STO.AX$19.2B+11%-8%21%8.1×11.7%
Woodside Energy WDS.AX$40.4B0%-10%26%9.4×n/a
Beach Energy BPT.AX$1.42B-16%-9%21%5.5×-12.2%
ExxonMobil XOM$677B+16%+21%14%11.8×-5.9%

How Santos compares with its peers

Peer set: Industry: the same industry and sector in any market, nearest in size. This is the same default set the interactive Competitor Analysis opens with.

Santos against its 12 peers (data as of 6 Nov 2026)
MeasureSTO.AXPeer medianRank in peer set
1-month return-1.3%-1.6%7th highest of 13
6-month return+11.5%-2.5%3rd highest of 13
Distance from 52-week high-9.1%-18.7%3rd highest of 13
Revenue growth (TTM)-8.5%+14.2%3rd lowest of 13
Operating margin21.4%29.8%3rd lowest of 13
Forward P/E8.1×9.0×6th cheapest of 13
Growth the price implies (Req g, 7 yrs)11.7%-4.1%most demanding of 10
Growth delivered (Del g)+9.3%+15.1%3rd lowest of 10
Hurdle (Req g minus delivered)+2.4 pp-19.1 pp2nd most demanding of 10
ROIC minus cost of capital-2.5 pp+2.7 pp2nd lowest of 13
EV / EBITDA8.0×5.8×5th most expensive of 13
Net debt / EBITDA1.9×1.0×3rd most indebted of 13
Bond spread130 bp141 bp4th tightest of 9

Peer table

Peer set: Industry: the same industry and sector in any market, nearest in size
CompanyMarketMarket cap6M returnRevenue growthOp. marginForward P/EReq gDelivered g
Santos STO.AXAustralia$19.2B+11%-8%21%8.1×11.7%+9.3%
Tourmaline Oil TOU.TOCanada$17.5B-3%+4%1%11.9×n/an/a
Origin Energy ORG.AXAustralia$14.4B+5%-10%8%16.2×10.9%+5.0%
Range Resources RRCUnited States$11.4B+20%+18%33%12.1×-1.7%+10.9%
Antero Resources ARUnited States$11.1B0%+22%23%7.8×-4.1%+15.1%
Woodside Energy WDS.AXAustralia$40.4B0%-10%26%9.4×n/an/a
Diamondback Energy FANGUnited States$50.0B-5%+21%39%7.9×-5.6%+39.8%
Seplat Energy SEPL.LUnited Kingdom$7.14B+56%+25%27%19.7×-7.1%+38.0%
Vista Energy SAB de CV Sponsored ADR VISTUnited States$6.91B-12%+84%40%4.6×-13.4%+55.3%
Magnolia Oil & Gas MGYUnited States$6.34B-15%+11%38%7.4×3.4%+19.4%
Harbour Energy HBR.LUnited Kingdom$6.17B-8%+17%40%5.1×n/an/a
Murphy Oil MURUnited States$5.16B-3%+8%22%8.6×-0.7%+9.0%
CNX Resources CNXUnited States$4.99B-2%+8%40%9.3×-5.8%+14.6%

Santos bonds and credit

Santos has 3 bonds outstanding with $2.65B face value. The agencies rate it BBB-; its bonds trade like BBB-. Weighted yield 6.08%, a spread of 130 bp over government bonds.

Every bond, yield and spread in the cockpit →

Questions

Who are Santos's main competitors?
Named competitors: Woodside Energy (WDS.AX), Beach Energy (BPT.AX), ExxonMobil (XOM). The cockpit's measured peer set (industry) also includes Tourmaline Oil (TOU.TO), Origin Energy (ORG.AX), Range Resources (RRC), Antero Resources (AR), Woodside Energy (WDS.AX), Diamondback Energy (FANG).
Is Santos expensive compared with its peers?
On forward p/e it trades at 8.1× against a peer median of 9.0×, 6th cheapest of 13 in its peer set. For today's price to make sense, revenue must grow about 12% a year for seven years (Req g). Recent delivered growth is +9%, so the hurdle is +2 pp: the price needs faster growth than the company has been delivering — of companies that just grew 25–50% a year, 93.8% slowed down over the next four years.
How has Santos stock performed?
Over six months to 6 Nov 2026 the shares returned +11.5% against -2.5% for the median peer; over one year +33.3%.

How these numbers are made. Returns are close-to-close in local currency. Revenue growth and margins are trailing twelve months. Req g is the revenue growth that today's enterprise value requires for seven years at the company's own cost of capital; Delivered g is what it actually grew; the gap is the hurdle (honest precision about ±8 points, so read the ranking more than the decimal). No fair values, price targets or analyst ratings are shown, by design. Method and validation.