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Old DominionODFLCompetitor analysis, valuation and peers

United States · USD·Industrials›Trucking

Less-than-truckload (LTL) trucking carrier moving palletized freight across North America through its own terminal network.

Momentum weak 24
Mkt cap
$34.2B
US dollars, full cap
Free float
88%
of shares outstanding
$/day
$373M
20-day average traded
Fwd P/E
24.9×
forward earnings
ROIC−WACC
+18.2 pp
WACC 10.6%
Hurdle
+9 pp
Req g minus delivered
Next earnings
89 days
3 Feb 2027
Close · USD$164.92
1D-3.3%
1W-4.4%
1M-9.2%
3M-22.4%
6M-16.9%
YTD+5.3%
1Y+17.5%
ATR %4.0%
Beta0.99
52w lowhigh34.6% off high

What Old Dominion does

Less-than-truckload (LTL) trucking carrier moving palletized freight across North America through its own terminal network.

Charges per shipment, set by weight, distance and type of freight, and moves most freight through terminals it owns rather than rented ones. It has grown by building its own terminals and winning customers on on-time delivery and few damaged goods, instead of buying competitors.

Products and services

  • LTL freight transportation
  • Logistics/brokerage services

Customers

  • Manufacturers
  • Retailers/distributors
  • Industrial shippers

Where it sits in the supply chain

  • Industrials
  • Ground transportation
  • LTL trucking

What could go right

  • Market share gains via service reliability
  • Terminal capacity additions

What could go wrong

  • Freight recession/volume cyclicality
  • Fuel and labor cost inflation

Moat: narrow (scale, installed base, brand). Dense owned terminal network and an on-time service record are costly for rivals to replicate quickly.

Headquarters: Thomasville, North Carolina, USA · Founded: 1934 · Employees: 20,591

Named competitors

Old Dominion at a glance

Size Old Dominion (ODFL) is a United States Industrials company (Trucking) with a market value of $34.2B, the 330th largest of 3,117 United States companies the cockpit tracks. Shares closed at $164.92 on 6 Nov 2026.

Performance Over six months the shares fell 16.9%, against -12.4% for the median peer and -1.1% for the United States market (cap-weighted) — 2nd lowest of 5 in its peer set.

Growth Revenue grew 3.8% over the last twelve months (peer median +9.3%); the operating margin is 26.6% (peer median 7.3%).

Valuation It trades at 24.9× forward earnings against a peer median of 24.3× (2nd most expensive of 6).

Price implies For today's price to make sense, revenue must grow about 16% a year for seven years (Req g). Recent delivered growth is +6%, so the hurdle is +9 pp: the price needs faster growth than the company has been delivering — of companies that just grew 25–50% a year, 93.8% slowed down over the next four years.

Capital Return on invested capital runs 18.2 points above its cost of capital (10.6% WACC).

Short interest Short interest is 4.3% of the free float (15 Oct 2026).

Next results Next results expected around 3 Feb 2027 (exchange calendar; dates can move).

Relative performance

10012011 May 202611 Aug 20266 Nov 2026Peer median 89ODFL 85
Six months, rebased to 100: Old Dominion against the median of its 5 peers (local-currency closes).

Old Dominion financials

Reported figures in USD; fiscal year ends 2025-12-31. TTM = trailing twelve months.
TTMFY2025FY2024FY2023FY2022
Revenue$5.79B$5.50B$5.81B$5.87B$6.26B
Revenue growth—-5%-1%-6%—
Gross profit$1.90B$1.74B$1.93B$2.00B$2.20B
EBITDA$1.91B$1.76B$1.91B$1.97B$2.15B
Net income$1.16B$1.02B$1.19B$1.24B$1.38B
Free cash flown/a$955M$888M$812M$916M
Capital expendituren/a$415M$771M$757M$775M
Total debt$20.0M$141M$168M$200M$198M

Quarterly statements and history in the cockpit →

Old Dominion competitor charts

The default views of Competitor Analysis ▸ Charts, drawn from the same data. Open them in the cockpit to change the axes, pin companies and read every value.

Performance: 6-month against 1-month return

-25%-20%-15%-10%-10%-7.5%-5%-2.5%XPOJBHTKNXSAIAODFL6-month return →1-month return →
Up and to the right = strong over both horizons. Old Dominion is the large dot.

Fundamentals: revenue growth against valuation

0%+5%+10%15×20×25×XPOJBHTFDXFKNXSAIAODFLRevenue growth (TTM) →Forward P/E →
Further right = faster growth; higher = more expensive. The dashed lines are the peer medians. Old Dominion is the large dot.

Capital: growth delivered against growth the price implies

0%+10%+20%0%10%20%XPOJBHTKNXSAIAODFLGrowth delivered (Del g) →Growth the price implies (Req g, 7 yrs) →
Above the diagonal = the price needs more growth than the company has been delivering; below = the price already allows for a slowdown. Old Dominion is the large dot.

Old Dominion competitors and peer comparison

Head to head with its named competitors (ODFL vs XPO vs SAIA vs TFII.TO)
CompanyMarket cap6M returnRevenue growthOp. marginForward P/EReq g
Old Dominion ODFL$34.2B-17%+4%27%24.9×15.7%
XPO XPO$20.6B-13%+9%11%26.6×26.2%
Saia SAIA$8.86B-26%+9%11%24.0×27.4%
TFI International TFII.TO$7.86B-29%+3%7%14.2×11.6%
FedEx Freight FDXF$18.5Bn/a-1%6%24.7×n/a

How Old Dominion compares with its peers

Peer set: Industry: the same industry and sector in any market, nearest in size. This is the same default set the interactive Competitor Analysis opens with.

Old Dominion against its 5 peers (data as of 6 Nov 2026)
MeasureODFLPeer medianRank in peer set
1-month return-9.2%-2.8%2nd lowest of 6
6-month return-16.9%-12.4%2nd lowest of 5
Distance from 52-week high-34.6%-29.5%2nd lowest of 6
Revenue growth (TTM)+3.8%+9.3%2nd lowest of 6
Operating margin26.6%7.3%highest of 6
Forward P/E24.9×24.3×2nd most expensive of 6
Growth the price implies (Req g, 7 yrs)15.7%23.8%least demanding of 5
Growth delivered (Del g)+6.5%+7.2%3rd highest of 5
Hurdle (Req g minus delivered)+9.2 pp+13.7 ppleast demanding of 5
ROIC minus cost of capital+18.2 pp+0.1 pphighest of 6
EV / EBITDA17.7×14.0×2nd most expensive of 6
Net debt / EBITDA-0.2×2.1×least indebted of 6

Peer table

Peer set: Industry: the same industry and sector in any market, nearest in size
CompanyMarketMarket cap6M returnRevenue growthOp. marginForward P/EReq gDelivered g
Old Dominion ODFLUnited States$34.2B-17%+4%27%24.9×15.7%+6.5%
XPO XPOUnited States$20.6B-13%+9%11%26.6×26.2%-4.4%
J.B. Hunt JBHTUnited States$20.3B-11%+11%7%24.3×16.8%+4.5%
FedEx Freight FDXFUnited States$18.5Bn/a-1%6%24.7×n/an/a
Knight-Swift Transportation KNXUnited States$9.51B-9%+7%4%15.6×21.3%+9.8%
Saia SAIAUnited States$8.86B-26%+9%11%24.0×27.4%+12.2%

Questions

Who are Old Dominion's main competitors?
Named competitors: XPO (XPO), Saia (SAIA), TFI International (TFII.TO), FedEx Freight (FDXF). The cockpit's measured peer set (industry) also includes XPO (XPO), J.B. Hunt (JBHT), FedEx Freight (FDXF), Knight-Swift Transportation (KNX), Saia (SAIA).
Is Old Dominion expensive compared with its peers?
On forward p/e it trades at 24.9× against a peer median of 24.3×, 2nd most expensive of 6 in its peer set. For today's price to make sense, revenue must grow about 16% a year for seven years (Req g). Recent delivered growth is +6%, so the hurdle is +9 pp: the price needs faster growth than the company has been delivering — of companies that just grew 25–50% a year, 93.8% slowed down over the next four years.
How has Old Dominion stock performed?
Over six months to 6 Nov 2026 the shares returned -16.9% against -12.4% for the median peer; over one year +17.5%.

How these numbers are made. Returns are close-to-close in local currency. Revenue growth and margins are trailing twelve months. Req g is the revenue growth that today's enterprise value requires for seven years at the company's own cost of capital; Delivered g is what it actually grew; the gap is the hurdle (honest precision about ±8 points, so read the ranking more than the decimal). No fair values, price targets or analyst ratings are shown, by design. Method and validation.