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Harmonic Inc.HLITCompetitor analysis, valuation and peers

United States · USD·Information Technology›Telecommunications Equipment

Maker of virtualized cable-broadband software (cOS/CableOS) and fiber access equipment for cable operators.

≈ A niche peer of Cisco/CommScope in cable-broadband gearMomentum weak 21
Mkt cap
$1.04B
US dollars, full cap
Free float
98%
of shares outstanding
$/day
$17.6M
20-day average traded
Fwd P/E
11.6×
forward earnings
ROIC−WACC
+9.2 pp
WACC 11.4%
Hurdle
+11 pp
Req g minus delivered
Next earnings
87 days
1 Feb 2027
Close · USD$9.51
1D+2.1%
1W-7.0%
1M-14.1%
3M-18.0%
6M-25.8%
YTD-3.8%
1Y-8.9%
ATR %5.9%
Beta1.99
52w lowhigh46.2% off high

What Harmonic does

Maker of virtualized cable-broadband software (cOS/CableOS) and fiber access equipment for cable operators.

Sells its cOS broadband software, which runs cable-modem network functions on standard servers, plus the access hardware that goes with it, to cable operators building multigigabit networks. Comcast is the largest customer, so orders follow its upgrade plans. In June 2026 it sold its video business to MediaKind and now focuses on broadband only.

In one line: A niche peer of Cisco/CommScope in cable-broadband gear.

Products and services

  • cOS / CableOS virtualized cable broadband platform
  • Fiber access products (Pearl, Oyster)
  • DOCSIS and network-edge devices
  • Network intelligence software

Customers

  • Comcast
  • Charter
  • Other cable and broadband operators

Where it sits in the supply chain

  • Telecom equipment
  • Broadband access network equipment
  • Virtualized cable and fiber access

What could go right

  • Cable operators moving to fiber and DOCSIS 4.0
  • Customers beyond the two largest operators

What could go wrong

  • Reliance on the two largest cable operators
  • Operator network spending cycles

Moat: narrow (installed base, switching costs). Deployed on many cable operators' networks; replacing a virtualized cable platform is costly.

Headquarters: San Jose, California, US · Founded: 1988 · Employees: 534

Named competitors

Harmonic at a glance

Size Harmonic (HLIT) is a United States Information Technology company (Telecommunications Equipment) with a market value of $1.04B, the 2225th largest of 3,117 United States companies the cockpit tracks. Shares closed at $9.51 on 6 Nov 2026.

Performance Over six months the shares fell 25.8%, against -25.4% for the median peer and -1.1% for the United States market (cap-weighted) — 10th lowest of 20 in its peer set.

Growth Revenue fell 21.0% over the last twelve months (peer median +9.9%); the operating margin is 14.8% (peer median -2.4%).

Valuation It trades at 11.6× forward earnings against a peer median of 39.8× (3rd cheapest of 12).

Price implies For today's price to make sense, revenue must grow about 10% a year for seven years (Req g). Recent delivered growth is -1%, so the hurdle is +11 pp: the price needs faster growth than the company has been delivering — of companies that just grew 25–50% a year, 93.8% slowed down over the next four years.

Capital Return on invested capital runs 9.2 points above its cost of capital (11.4% WACC).

Short interest Short interest is 6.4% of the free float (15 Oct 2026).

Next results Next results expected around 1 Feb 2027 (exchange calendar; dates can move).

Relative performance

8010012011 May 202611 Aug 20266 Nov 2026HLIT 74Peer median 73
Six months, rebased to 100: Harmonic against the median of its 20 peers (local-currency closes).

Harmonic financials

Reported figures in USD; fiscal year ends 2025-12-31. TTM = trailing twelve months.
TTMFY2025FY2024FY2023FY2022
Revenue$502M$361M$488M$608M$625M
Revenue growth—-26%-20%-3%—
Gross profit$257M$164M$228M$301M$304M
EBITDA$85.7M$28.1M$101M$35.9M$61.7M
Net income-$35.2M-$43.3M$39.2M$84.0M$28.2M
Free cash flow$27.7M$96.9M$52.7M-$1.42M-$3.77M
Capital expenditure$8.51M$11.1M$9.19M$8.47M$9.25M
Total debt$54.1M$133M$135M$156M$161M

Quarterly statements and history in the cockpit →

Harmonic competitor charts

The default views of Competitor Analysis ▸ Charts, drawn from the same data. Open them in the cockpit to change the axes, pin companies and read every value.

Performance: 6-month against 1-month return

-40%-20%0%+20%-40%-20%0%301600300079002528IVSO30010105533003226777290A0021943005160029353596ADV2498186A301191300134VISNHLIT6-month return →1-month return →
Up and to the right = strong over both horizons. Harmonic is the large dot.

Fundamentals: revenue growth against valuation

-40%-20%0%+20%+40%50×100×301600IVSO3001013003226777290A0029353596ADV301191VISNHLITRevenue growth (TTM) →Forward P/E →
Further right = faster growth; higher = more expensive. The dashed lines are the peer medians. Harmonic is the large dot.

Capital: growth delivered against growth the price implies

-20%0%+20%+40%-25%0%25%50%301600IVSO6777300516002935ADVVISNHLITGrowth delivered (Del g) →Growth the price implies (Req g, 7 yrs) →
Above the diagonal = the price needs more growth than the company has been delivering; below = the price already allows for a slowdown. Harmonic is the large dot.

Harmonic competitors and peer comparison

Head to head with its named competitors (HLIT vs CSCO vs CALX vs NOK)
CompanyMarket cap6M returnRevenue growthOp. marginForward P/EReq g
Harmonic HLIT$1.04B-26%-21%15%11.6×10.0%
Cisco CSCO$369B-3%+12%25%18.4×15.0%
Calix CALX$1.89B-29%+23%5%13.9×23.1%
NOK NOK$47.0B-40%+10%14%16.6×13.5%

How Harmonic compares with its peers

Peer set: Industry: the same industry and sector in any market, nearest in size. This is the same default set the interactive Competitor Analysis opens with.

Harmonic against its 20 peers (data as of 6 Nov 2026)
MeasureHLITPeer medianRank in peer set
1-month return-14.1%-7.8%7th lowest of 20
6-month return-25.8%-25.4%10th lowest of 20
Distance from 52-week high-46.2%-48.0%10th highest of 20
Revenue growth (TTM)-21.0%+9.9%4th lowest of 21
Operating margin14.8%-2.4%3rd highest of 21
Forward P/E11.6×39.8×3rd cheapest of 12
Growth the price implies (Req g, 7 yrs)10.0%20.4%3rd least demanding of 8
Growth delivered (Del g)-1.0%+1.3%4th lowest of 8
Hurdle (Req g minus delivered)+10.9 pp+0.4 pp4th most demanding of 8
ROIC minus cost of capital+9.2 pp-7.7 pp5th highest of 21
EV / EBITDA11.1×14.9×3rd cheapest of 7
Net debt / EBITDA-1.0×-0.4×2nd least indebted of 7

Peer table

Peer set: Industry: the same industry and sector in any market, nearest in size
CompanyMarketMarket cap6M returnRevenue growthOp. marginForward P/EReq gDelivered g
Harmonic HLITUnited States$1.04B-26%-21%15%11.6×10.0%-1.0%
Flaircomm Microelectronics 301600.SZChina$1.04B-35%+19%9%32.0×27.2%+29.1%
Tozed Kangwei Tech 301718.SZChina$1.05Bn/a+43%5%n/an/an/a
Sumavision Technologies 300079.SZChina$1.01B-14%-6%-8%n/an/an/a
Shenzhen Infinova 002528.SZChina$1.06B+23%-29%-77%n/an/an/a
Invisio IVSO.STSweden$1.00B-15%+24%18%39.8×13.2%+26.7%
Chengdu CORPRO Technology 300101.SZChina$1.07B-35%-25%-18%14.7×n/an/a
Nanjing Panda Electronics 0553.HKHong Kong$999M-42%+36%-7%n/an/an/a
Huizhou Speed Wireless Technology 300322.SZChina$991M-52%+25%3%62.4×n/an/a
santec 6777.TJapan$984M-53%+45%33%15.5×23.5%+33.2%
Synspective 290A.TJapan$950M-16%+5%-196%52.9×n/an/a
Wuhan Fingu Electronic Technology 002194.SZChina$914M-19%-9%-2%n/an/an/a
Hubei Jiuzhiyang Infrared System 300516.SZChina$1.18B-15%-7%-8%n/a20.4%-1.0%
Chengdu Spaceon Electronics 002935.SZChina$909M-37%+1%5%43.5×49.9%+1.3%
Arcadyan Technology 3596.TWTaiwan$900M-17%+6%6%9.8×n/an/a
Adtran Networks ADV.DEGermany$1.21B-10%+15%-3%113.3×-2.7%-3.1%
HTC 2498.TWTaiwan$885M-15%-8%-78%n/an/an/a
Astroscale 186A.TJapan$865M-25%+70%-275%n/an/an/a
Shenzhen Phoenix Telecom Technology 301191.SZChina$854M-42%+30%0%47.2×n/an/a
Anhui Tatfook Technology 300134.SZChina$852M-32%+14%-14%n/an/an/a
Vistance Networks VISNUnited States$1.27B-35%-38%12%8.7×-4.6%-25.5%

Questions

Who are Harmonic's main competitors?
Named competitors: Vecima Networks (private or unlisted), Cisco Systems (CSCO), Calix (CALX), Nokia (NOK). The cockpit's measured peer set (industry) also includes Flaircomm Microelectronics (301600.SZ), Tozed Kangwei Tech (301718.SZ), Sumavision Technologies (300079.SZ), Shenzhen Infinova (002528.SZ), Invisio (IVSO.ST), Chengdu CORPRO Technology (300101.SZ).
Is Harmonic expensive compared with its peers?
On forward p/e it trades at 11.6× against a peer median of 39.8×, 3rd cheapest of 12 in its peer set. For today's price to make sense, revenue must grow about 10% a year for seven years (Req g). Recent delivered growth is -1%, so the hurdle is +11 pp: the price needs faster growth than the company has been delivering — of companies that just grew 25–50% a year, 93.8% slowed down over the next four years.
How has Harmonic stock performed?
Over six months to 6 Nov 2026 the shares returned -25.8% against -25.4% for the median peer; over one year -8.9%.

How these numbers are made. Returns are close-to-close in local currency. Revenue growth and margins are trailing twelve months. Req g is the revenue growth that today's enterprise value requires for seven years at the company's own cost of capital; Delivered g is what it actually grew; the gap is the hurdle (honest precision about ±8 points, so read the ranking more than the decimal). No fair values, price targets or analyst ratings are shown, by design. Method and validation.