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GXO Logistics IncGXOCompetitor analysis, valuation and peers

United States · USD·Industrials›Air Freight/Couriers

Runs outsourced warehouses and e-commerce fulfillment centers for retailers and manufacturers under long-term contracts.

Momentum leader 85
Mkt cap
$6.33B
US dollars, full cap
Free float
98%
of shares outstanding
$/day
$72.4M
20-day average traded
Fwd P/E
16.0×
forward earnings
ROIC−WACC
-5.0 pp
WACC 9.1%
Hurdle
+4 pp
Req g minus delivered
Official | Implied
BBB- / BBB-
agencies · bond market
Next earnings
102 days
16 Feb 2027
Close · USD$55.18
1D0.0%
1W+9.8%
1M+19.0%
3M+17.5%
6M+6.9%
YTD+4.8%
1Y+5.0%
ATR %3.1%
Beta1.43
52w lowhigh17.5% off high

What GXO Logistics does

Runs outsourced warehouses and e-commerce fulfillment centers for retailers and manufacturers under long-term contracts.

Customers sign multi-year contracts for GXO to run their warehouses and fulfilment, so revenue rests on keeping existing sites busy and winning new ones. Spun off from XPO in 2021, it widened its reach beyond the US by buying UK-based Wincanton in 2024, giving it a large UK operation alongside the US.

Products and services

  • Warehousing and fulfillment
  • Reverse logistics/e-commerce returns
  • Value-added/co-packing services

Customers

  • Retailers
  • Consumer goods and e-commerce companies
  • Industrial manufacturers

Where it sits in the supply chain

  • Logistics
  • Contract logistics/warehousing
  • Outsourced warehouse management and…

What could go right

  • E-commerce fulfillment outsourcing growth
  • New contract wins and geographic expansion

What could go wrong

  • Customer concentration/contract non-renewal
  • Labor cost inflation

Moat: narrow (switching costs, scale, installed base). Long-term contracts and embedded operations inside customer supply chains raise switching costs.

Headquarters: Greenwich, Connecticut, US · Founded: 2021 · Employees: 154,000

Named competitors

GXO Logistics at a glance

Size GXO Logistics (GXO) is a United States Industrials company (Air Freight/Couriers) with a market value of $6.33B, the 1024th largest of 3,117 United States companies the cockpit tracks. Shares closed at $55.18 on 6 Nov 2026.

Performance Over six months the shares gained 6.9%, against -7.3% for the median peer and -1.1% for the United States market (cap-weighted) — 8th highest of 21 in its peer set.

Growth Revenue grew 7.1% over the last twelve months (peer median +8.3%); the operating margin is 3.2% (peer median 3.0%).

Valuation It trades at 16.0× forward earnings against a peer median of 12.3× (5th most expensive of 17).

Price implies For today's price to make sense, revenue must grow about 20% a year for seven years (Req g). Recent delivered growth is +16%, so the hurdle is +4 pp: the price needs faster growth than the company has been delivering — of companies that just grew 25–50% a year, 93.8% slowed down over the next four years.

Capital Return on invested capital runs 5.0 points below its cost of capital (9.1% WACC).

Backlog Backlog (remaining performance obligations) was $3.90B at 30 Sep 2024, up 15% on a year earlier — 0.4 years of trailing revenue. Backlog detail →

Credit GXO Logistics has 4 bonds outstanding ($2.06B), rated BBB- by the agencies and trading like BBB- at a weighted spread of 111 bp.

Short interest Short interest is 6.7% of the free float (15 Oct 2026).

Next results Next results expected around 16 Feb 2027 (exchange calendar; dates can move).

Relative performance

9010011011 May 202611 Aug 20266 Nov 2026GXO 109Peer median 92
Six months, rebased to 100: GXO Logistics against the median of its 20 peers (local-currency closes).

GXO Logistics financials

Reported figures in USD; fiscal year ends 2025-12-31. TTM = trailing twelve months.
TTMFY2025FY2024FY2023FY2022
Revenue$13.8B$13.2B$11.7B$9.78B$8.99B
Revenue growth—+13%+20%+9%—
Gross profit$1.60B$1.53B$1.44B$1.38B$1.22B
EBITDA$905M$882M$795M$745M$664M
Net income$136M$32.0M$134M$229M$197M
Free cash flow$174M$110M$190M$284M$200M
Capital expenditure$259M$324M$359M$274M$342M
Total debt$5.82B$5.85B$5.18B$4.09B$4.22B

Quarterly statements and history in the cockpit →

GXO Logistics competitor charts

The default views of Competitor Analysis ▸ Charts, drawn from the same data. Open them in the cockpit to change the axes, pin companies and read every value.

Performance: 6-month against 1-month return

-20%0%+20%-10%0%+10%0598SWIGGY6000969143LOG91479064ODET6011562618600233603565R6001796001530862806005751519DHERGXO6-month return →1-month return →
Up and to the right = strong over both horizons. GXO Logistics is the large dot.

Fundamentals: revenue growth against valuation

-20%0%+20%+40%25×50×75×05986000969143LOG90646011562618600233600153086280DELHIVERY6005751519GXORevenue growth (TTM) →Forward P/E →
Further right = faster growth; higher = more expensive. The dashed lines are the peer medians. GXO Logistics is the large dot.

Capital: growth delivered against growth the price implies

-20%0%+20%+40%-25%0%25%50%05986000969143LOG9064ODET60115626186002336035656001531519GXOGrowth delivered (Del g) →Growth the price implies (Req g, 7 yrs) →
Above the diagonal = the price needs more growth than the company has been delivering; below = the price already allows for a slowdown. GXO Logistics is the large dot.

GXO Logistics competitors and peer comparison

Head to head with its named competitors (GXO vs DHL.DE vs XPO vs R)
CompanyMarket cap6M returnRevenue growthOp. marginForward P/EReq g
GXO Logistics GXO$6.33B+7%+7%3%16.0×20.2%
Deutsche Post DHL.DE$72.8B+21%+1%8%16.0×3.3%
XPO XPO$20.6B-13%+9%11%26.6×26.2%
Ryder System R$10.2B+11%+3%8%15.2×7.9%
Kuehne & Nagel International KNIN.SW$34.3B+35%+1%5%25.4×3.2%
Dsv A/s DSV.CO$51.5B-3%+37%8%23.5×3.9%

How GXO Logistics compares with its peers

Peer set: Industry: the same industry and sector in any market, nearest in size. This is the same default set the interactive Competitor Analysis opens with.

GXO Logistics against its 20 peers (data as of 6 Nov 2026)
MeasureGXOPeer medianRank in peer set
1-month return+19.0%+4.9%highest of 21
6-month return+6.9%-7.3%8th highest of 21
Distance from 52-week high-17.5%-18.1%10th highest of 21
Revenue growth (TTM)+7.1%+8.3%10th lowest of 21
Operating margin3.2%3.0%10th highest of 20
Forward P/E16.0×12.3×5th most expensive of 17
Growth the price implies (Req g, 7 yrs)20.2%-2.2%3rd most demanding of 17
Growth delivered (Del g)+16.3%+7.0%4th highest of 17
Hurdle (Req g minus delivered)+3.9 pp-9.3 pp5th most demanding of 17
ROIC minus cost of capital-5.0 pp-0.3 pp5th lowest of 20
EV / EBITDA13.1×7.6×2nd most expensive of 8
Net debt / EBITDA6.1×0.9×2nd most indebted of 10
Bond spread111 bpn/a—

Peer table

Peer set: Industry: the same industry and sector in any market, nearest in size
CompanyMarketMarket cap6M returnRevenue growthOp. marginForward P/EReq gDelivered g
GXO Logistics GXOUnited States$6.33B+7%+7%3%16.0×20.2%+16.3%
Sinotrans 0598.HKHong Kong$6.57B-8%+4%0%8.6×9.4%+2.0%
Swiggy SWIGGY.NSIndia$5.61B-32%+42%-15%n/an/an/a
Yunnan Yuntianhua 600096.SSChina$7.17B-28%-19%11%9.3×-1.7%-1.5%
SG Holdings Co., Ltd. 9143.TJapan$5.56B+1%+14%5%14.0×-2.6%+4.6%
Logista Integral LOG.MCSpain$5.42B+15%+4%2%15.8×-5.9%+5.4%
Nippon Express Hldgs 9147.TJapan$8.22B+35%+2%3%17.6×7.9%+4.4%
Yamato 9064.TJapan$4.83B+26%+2%2%34.5×8.9%+1.9%
Compagnie de l'Odet ODET.PAFrance$4.74B-30%-83%-8%n/a24.3%-29.4%
Eastern Air Logistics 601156.SSChina$4.70B+23%+20%14%10.9×-16.0%+9.9%
Jd Logistics 2618.HKHong Kong$9.10B-29%+29%3%6.9×-0.4%+23.4%
YTO Express 600233.SSChina$9.63B-13%+8%9%10.3×-12.2%+16.6%
Shanghai Zhonggu Logistics 603565.SSChina$3.97B+16%+4%27%10.4×-14.4%+0.4%
Ryder System RUnited States$10.2B+11%+3%8%15.2×7.9%+8.5%
Antong 600179.SSChina$3.81B-7%+9%16%n/a-4.0%+13.5%
Xiamen C&D 600153.SSChina$3.77B-8%-6%1%12.4×21.2%+9.3%
Hyundaiglovis 086280.KSSouth Korea$10.9B-13%+12%6%8.7×-10.8%+12.3%
Delhivery DELHIVERY.NSIndia$3.40B-11%+24%0%81.8×n/an/a
Huaihe Energy 600575.SSChina$3.38B-12%+38%n/a12.2×n/an/a
J&T Global Express 1519.HKHong Kong$11.9B-2%+32%6%18.6×-3.8%+51.4%
Delivery Hero DHER.DEGermany$12.9B+31%+11%0%n/an/an/a

GXO Logistics bonds and credit

GXO Logistics has 4 bonds outstanding with $2.06B face value. The agencies rate it BBB-; its bonds trade like BBB-. Weighted yield 5.32%, a spread of 111 bp over government bonds.

Every bond, yield and spread in the cockpit →

GXO Logistics backlog

GXO Logistics reported $3.90B of remaining performance obligations at 30 Sep 2024, up 15% from a year earlier and down 5% from the previous quarter. That is 0.4 years of trailing revenue already under contract. Book-to-bill last quarter: 0.94.

Questions

Who are GXO Logistics's main competitors?
Named competitors: Deutsche Post DHL (Supply Chain) (DHL.DE), XPO (XPO), Ryder System (R), Kuehne+Nagel (KNIN.SW), DSV A/S (DSV.CO). The cockpit's measured peer set (industry) also includes Sinotrans (0598.HK), Swiggy (SWIGGY.NS), Yunnan Yuntianhua (600096.SS), SG Holdings Co., Ltd. (9143.T), Logista Integral (LOG.MC), Nippon Express Hldgs (9147.T).
Is GXO Logistics expensive compared with its peers?
On forward p/e it trades at 16.0× against a peer median of 12.3×, 5th most expensive of 17 in its peer set. For today's price to make sense, revenue must grow about 20% a year for seven years (Req g). Recent delivered growth is +16%, so the hurdle is +4 pp: the price needs faster growth than the company has been delivering — of companies that just grew 25–50% a year, 93.8% slowed down over the next four years.
How has GXO Logistics stock performed?
Over six months to 6 Nov 2026 the shares returned +6.9% against -7.3% for the median peer; over one year +5.0%.
What is GXO Logistics's backlog?
GXO Logistics's remaining performance obligations (contracted revenue not yet recognised) were $3.90B at 30 Sep 2024, +15% on a year earlier.

How these numbers are made. Returns are close-to-close in local currency. Revenue growth and margins are trailing twelve months. Req g is the revenue growth that today's enterprise value requires for seven years at the company's own cost of capital; Delivered g is what it actually grew; the gap is the hurdle (honest precision about ±8 points, so read the ranking more than the decimal). No fair values, price targets or analyst ratings are shown, by design. Method and validation.