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Dollar TreeDLTRCompetitor analysis, valuation and peers

United States · USD·Consumer Staples›Discount Stores

Discount retailer operating Dollar Tree stores selling fixed low-price general merchandise and variety goods.

Momentum leader 86
Mkt cap
$24.6B
US dollars, full cap
Free float
100%
of shares outstanding
$/day
$277M
20-day average traded
Fwd P/E
19.1×
forward earnings
ROIC−WACC
+9.2 pp
WACC 7.5%
Hurdle
+5 pp
Req g minus delivered
Official | Implied
BBB / BBB+
agencies · bond market
Next earnings
18 days
24 Nov 2026
Close · USD$131.14
1D-4.9%
1W-2.0%
1M+10.6%
3M+1.4%
6M+39.2%
YTD+6.6%
1Y+25.0%
ATR %4.3%
Beta0.78
52w lowhigh11.7% off high

What Dollar Tree does

Discount retailer operating Dollar Tree stores selling fixed low-price general merchandise and variety goods.

Buys cheaply in bulk, much of it imported, and sells at set low price points, so profit depends on sourcing cost rather than item-by-item markups. It sold Family Dollar in 2025, a decade after buying it, leaving the Dollar Tree banner alone, and since 2021 has broken from a single price to several price tiers.

Products and services

  • Dollar Tree (fixed low-price items)
  • Seasonal/party goods

Customers

  • Value-seeking US consumers

Where it sits in the supply chain

  • Retail
  • Discount stores
  • Fixed-price variety retail

What could go right

  • Value-seeking consumer trade-down
  • Multi-price-point sales growth

What could go wrong

  • Tariffs on imported merchandise
  • Consumer spending softness

Moat: narrow (scale, distribution, brand). Large-scale sourcing lets it hold a fixed low price profitably; brand tied to that price promise.

Headquarters: Chesapeake, Virginia, US · Founded: 1986 · Employees: 153,032

Named competitors

Dollar Tree at a glance

Size Dollar Tree (DLTR) is a United States Consumer Staples company (Discount Stores) with a market value of $24.6B, the 430th largest of 3,117 United States companies the cockpit tracks. Shares closed at $131.14 on 6 Nov 2026.

Performance Over six months the shares gained 39.2%, against +7.9% for the median peer and -1.1% for the United States market (cap-weighted) — highest of 5 in its peer set.

Growth Revenue fell 7.8% over the last twelve months (peer median +4.2%); the operating margin is 10.5% (peer median 8.3%).

Valuation It trades at 19.1× forward earnings against a peer median of 17.2× (2nd most expensive of 5).

Price implies For today's price to make sense, revenue must grow about 0% a year for seven years (Req g). Recent delivered growth is -5%, so the hurdle is +5 pp: the price needs faster growth than the company has been delivering — of companies that just grew 25–50% a year, 93.8% slowed down over the next four years.

Capital Return on invested capital runs 9.2 points above its cost of capital (7.5% WACC).

Credit Dollar Tree has 3 bonds outstanding ($2.45B), rated BBB by the agencies and trading like BBB+ at a weighted spread of 77 bp.

Short interest Short interest is 5.2% of the free float (15 Oct 2026).

Next results Next results expected around 24 Nov 2026 (exchange calendar; dates can move).

Relative performance

10012014016011 May 202611 Aug 20266 Nov 2026DLTR 146Peer median 112
Six months, rebased to 100: Dollar Tree against the median of its 4 peers (local-currency closes).

Dollar Tree financials

Reported figures in USD; fiscal year ends 2026-01-31. TTM = trailing twelve months.
TTMFY2025FY2024FY2023FY2022
Revenue$20.1B$19.4B$17.6B$16.8B$28.3B
Revenue growth—+10%+5%-41%—
Gross profit$7.77B$7.06B$6.29B$6.02B$8.91B
EBITDA$2.81B$2.26B$1.99B$2.17B$3.04B
Net income$1.61B$1.28B-$3.03B-$998M$1.62B
Free cash flow$1.98B$1.40B$1.56B$1.49B$361M
Capital expenditure$1.14B$1.13B$1.30B$1.19B$1.25B
Total debt$7.67B$7.06B$7.83B$7.37B$10.1B

Quarterly statements and history in the cockpit →

Dollar Tree competitor charts

The default views of Competitor Analysis ▸ Charts, drawn from the same data. Open them in the cockpit to change the axes, pin companies and read every value.

Performance: 6-month against 1-month return

-20%0%+20%+40%+5%+10%+15%DG1880FIVEAVOLDLTR6-month return →1-month return →
Up and to the right = strong over both horizons. Dollar Tree is the large dot.

Fundamentals: revenue growth against valuation

-10%0%+10%+20%15×20×DG1880FIVEAVOLDLTRRevenue growth (TTM) →Forward P/E →
Further right = faster growth; higher = more expensive. The dashed lines are the peer medians. Dollar Tree is the large dot.

Capital: growth delivered against growth the price implies

0%+20%+40%0%20%40%DG1880FIVEAVOLDLTRGrowth delivered (Del g) →Growth the price implies (Req g, 7 yrs) →
Above the diagonal = the price needs more growth than the company has been delivering; below = the price already allows for a slowdown. Dollar Tree is the large dot.

Dollar Tree competitors and peer comparison

Head to head with its named competitors (DLTR vs DG vs FIVE vs WMT)
CompanyMarket cap6M returnRevenue growthOp. marginForward P/EReq g
Dollar Tree DLTR$24.6B+39%-8%11%19.1×0.1%
Dollar General DG$29.5B+18%+5%6%16.6×0.9%
Five Below FIVE$13.2B+8%+26%15%23.7×8.1%
Walmart WMT$996B-4%+6%4%41.8×14.7%

How Dollar Tree compares with its peers

Peer set: Industry: the same industry and sector in any market, nearest in size. This is the same default set the interactive Competitor Analysis opens with.

Dollar Tree against its 4 peers (data as of 6 Nov 2026)
MeasureDLTRPeer medianRank in peer set
1-month return+10.6%+11.1%3rd highest of 5
6-month return+39.2%+7.9%highest of 5
Distance from 52-week high-11.7%-14.7%2nd highest of 5
Revenue growth (TTM)-7.8%+4.2%lowest of 5
Operating margin10.5%8.3%2nd highest of 5
Forward P/E19.1×17.2×2nd most expensive of 5
Growth the price implies (Req g, 7 yrs)0.1%4.5%2nd least demanding of 5
Growth delivered (Del g)-5.3%+12.1%lowest of 5
Hurdle (Req g minus delivered)+5.4 pp-7.6 pp2nd most demanding of 5
ROIC minus cost of capital+9.2 pp+1.4 pp2nd highest of 5
EV / EBITDA11.1×12.4×2nd cheapest of 4
Net debt / EBITDA2.4×4.0×2nd least indebted of 4
Bond spread77 bpn/a—

Peer table

Peer set: Industry: the same industry and sector in any market, nearest in size
CompanyMarketMarket cap6M returnRevenue growthOp. marginForward P/EReq gDelivered g
Dollar Tree DLTRUnited States$24.6B+39%-8%11%19.1×0.1%-5.3%
Dollar General DGUnited States$29.5B+18%+5%6%16.6×0.9%+4.8%
China Tourism Group Duty Free 1880.HKHong Kong$16.1B-22%+4%10%17.8×12.0%-0.3%
Five Below FIVEUnited States$13.2B+8%+26%15%23.7×8.1%+19.4%
Avolta AVOL.SWSwitzerland$8.03B+8%-1%7%13.8×-1.6%+40.3%

Dollar Tree bonds and credit

Dollar Tree has 3 bonds outstanding with $2.45B face value. The agencies rate it BBB; its bonds trade like BBB+. Weighted yield 5.44%, a spread of 77 bp over government bonds.

Every bond, yield and spread in the cockpit →

Questions

Who are Dollar Tree's main competitors?
Named competitors: Dollar General (DG), Five Below (FIVE), Walmart (WMT). The cockpit's measured peer set (industry) also includes Dollar General (DG), China Tourism Group Duty Free (1880.HK), Five Below (FIVE), Avolta (AVOL.SW).
Is Dollar Tree expensive compared with its peers?
On forward p/e it trades at 19.1× against a peer median of 17.2×, 2nd most expensive of 5 in its peer set. For today's price to make sense, revenue must grow about 0% a year for seven years (Req g). Recent delivered growth is -5%, so the hurdle is +5 pp: the price needs faster growth than the company has been delivering — of companies that just grew 25–50% a year, 93.8% slowed down over the next four years.
How has Dollar Tree stock performed?
Over six months to 6 Nov 2026 the shares returned +39.2% against +7.9% for the median peer; over one year +25.0%.

How these numbers are made. Returns are close-to-close in local currency. Revenue growth and margins are trailing twelve months. Req g is the revenue growth that today's enterprise value requires for seven years at the company's own cost of capital; Delivered g is what it actually grew; the gap is the hurdle (honest precision about ±8 points, so read the ranking more than the decimal). No fair values, price targets or analyst ratings are shown, by design. Method and validation.