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Axfood ABAXFO.STCompetitor analysis, valuation and peers

Sweden · SEK·Consumer Staples›Food Retail

Swedish grocery retailer operating Willys discount and Hemkop supermarket chains, plus wholesale distribution.

≈ A Swedish Kroger/discount grocer hybridMomentum strong 71
Mkt cap
$6.26B
US dollars, full cap
Free float
48%
of shares outstanding
$/day
$12.9M
20-day average traded
Fwd P/E
24.3×
forward earnings
ROIC−WACC
+4.5 pp
WACC 5.0%
Hurdle
-7 pp
Req g minus delivered
Next earnings
83 days
28 Jan 2027
Close · SEKSEK 283.80
1D-0.6%
1W+2.8%
1M+10.3%
3M+20.2%
6M+3.5%
YTD-2.2%
1Y+9.1%
ATR %1.9%
52w lowhigh16.3% off high

What Axfood does

Swedish grocery retailer operating Willys discount and Hemkop supermarket chains, plus wholesale distribution.

Runs its own central buying and warehousing arm, Dagab, which supplies its Willys and Hemkop chains and wholesale customers, so it earns a retail margin plus a wholesale margin on the same volume. The Axel Johnson group is the controlling shareholder.

In one line: A Swedish Kroger/discount grocer hybrid.

Products and services

  • Willys (discount supermarkets)
  • Hemkop (full-service supermarkets)
  • Food wholesale distribution

Customers

  • Household grocery shoppers
  • Retail/foodservice wholesale customers

Where it sits in the supply chain

  • Consumer staples
  • Food retail
  • Discount & full-service supermarkets…

What could go right

  • Discount grocery share gains (Willys)
  • Private-label margin expansion

What could go wrong

  • Grocery price competition
  • Input cost inflation

Moat: narrow (scale, distribution, cost advantage). Dense Swedish store network and centralized logistics give a cost edge versus smaller independents.

Headquarters: Stockholm, Sweden · Founded: 2000 · Employees: 15,620

Named competitors

  • ICA Gruppen private or unlisted
  • Coop Sverige (private) private or unlisted
  • Lidl Sverige (private) private or unlisted

Axfood at a glance

Size Axfood (AXFO.ST) is a Sweden Consumer Staples company (Food Retail) with a market value of $6.26B, the 41st largest of 221 Sweden companies the cockpit tracks. Shares closed at SEK 283.80 on 6 Nov 2026.

Performance Over six months the shares gained 3.5%, against +11.1% for the median peer and +8.2% for the Sweden market (cap-weighted) — 9th lowest of 21 in its peer set.

Growth Revenue grew 2.4% over the last twelve months (peer median +5.3%); the operating margin is 3.2% (peer median 5.0%).

Valuation It trades at 24.3× forward earnings against a peer median of 18.5× (4th most expensive of 19).

Price implies For today's price to make sense, revenue must grow about 3% a year for seven years (Req g). Recent delivered growth is +11%, so the hurdle is -7 pp: the price already allows for a slowdown.

Capital Return on invested capital runs 4.5 points above its cost of capital (5.0% WACC).

Next results Next results expected around 28 Jan 2027 (exchange calendar; dates can move).

Relative performance

9010011011 May 202611 Aug 20266 Nov 2026Peer median 110AXFO.ST 105
Six months, rebased to 100: Axfood against the median of its 20 peers (local-currency closes).

Axfood financials

Reported figures in SEK; fiscal year ends 2025-12-31. TTM = trailing twelve months.
TTMFY2025FY2024FY2023FY2022
RevenueSEK 90.3BSEK 89.2BSEK 84.1BSEK 81.1BSEK 73.5B
Revenue growth—+6%+4%+10%—
Gross profitSEK 13.3BSEK 11.4BSEK 10.8BSEK 10.1BSEK 8.97B
EBITDASEK 7.04BSEK 6.87BSEK 6.12BSEK 5.68BSEK 4.80B
Net incomeSEK 2.47BSEK 2.34BSEK 2.19BSEK 2.36BSEK 2.36B
Free cash flowSEK 5.01BSEK 5.37BSEK 4.35BSEK 4.28BSEK 3.71B
Capital expenditureSEK 1.95BSEK 1.73BSEK 1.54BSEK 1.95BSEK 2.59B
Total debtSEK 16.3BSEK 15.4BSEK 15.3BSEK 9.76BSEK 9.25B

Quarterly statements and history in the cockpit →

Axfood competitor charts

The default views of Competitor Analysis ▸ Charts, drawn from the same data. Open them in the cockpit to change the axes, pin companies and read every value.

Performance: 6-month against 1-month return

0%+50%-20%0%+20%ACI29121364D01EMP-AZABSFM20973038DNPSBRY601933OCDOTBBBKESKOADIA3549OV8MRUAXFO.ST6-month return →1-month return →
Up and to the right = strong over both horizons. Axfood is the large dot.

Fundamentals: revenue growth against valuation

-20%0%+20%+40%0×100×200×ACI29121364D01ZAB20973038DNP601933DIAAXFO.STRevenue growth (TTM) →Forward P/E →
Further right = faster growth; higher = more expensive. The dashed lines are the peer medians. Axfood is the large dot.

Capital: growth delivered against growth the price implies

-20%0%+20%+40%-20%0%20%40%ACI29121364D01ZABSFM2097DNPSBRYOCDOTBBBDIA1216AXFO.STGrowth delivered (Del g) →Growth the price implies (Req g, 7 yrs) →
Above the diagonal = the price needs more growth than the company has been delivering; below = the price already allows for a slowdown. Axfood is the large dot.

Axfood competitors and peer comparison

How Axfood compares with its peers

Peer set: Industry: the same industry and sector in any market, nearest in size. This is the same default set the interactive Competitor Analysis opens with.

Axfood against its 20 peers (data as of 6 Nov 2026)
MeasureAXFO.STPeer medianRank in peer set
1-month return+10.3%+5.3%5th highest of 21
6-month return+3.5%+11.1%9th lowest of 21
Distance from 52-week high-16.3%-11.6%10th lowest of 21
Revenue growth (TTM)+2.4%+5.3%8th lowest of 21
Operating margin3.2%5.0%7th lowest of 21
Forward P/E24.3×18.5×4th most expensive of 19
Growth the price implies (Req g, 7 yrs)3.2%0.6%10th most demanding of 20
Growth delivered (Del g)+10.7%+6.3%7th highest of 20
Hurdle (Req g minus delivered)-7.5 pp-5.2 pp9th least demanding of 20
ROIC minus cost of capital+4.5 pp+3.5 pp9th highest of 20
EV / EBITDA11.0×8.1×7th most expensive of 19
Net debt / EBITDA2.3×1.9×8th most indebted of 20

Peer table

Peer set: Industry: the same industry and sector in any market, nearest in size
CompanyMarketMarket cap6M returnRevenue growthOp. marginForward P/EReq gDelivered g
Axfood AXFO.STSweden$6.26B+4%+2%3%24.3×3.2%+10.7%
Albertsons Companies ACIUnited States$6.02B-20%+2%2%7.0×-3.0%+3.6%
President Chain Store 2912.TWTaiwan$6.62B-6%+5%4%17.0×3.3%+6.3%
Guming 1364.HKHong Kong$7.08B-4%+47%25%14.8×-4.1%+29.4%
DFI Retail D01.SISingapore$5.06B-11%-3%4%13.2×-0.4%-2.9%
Empire EMP-A.TOCanada$7.85B+7%+2%4%13.6×-2.7%+2.5%
Zabka ZAB.WAPoland$8.11B+41%+14%8%25.3×6.3%+19.3%
Sprouts Farmers Market SFMUnited States$4.53B-41%+5%7%11.3×-4.0%+6.4%
MIXUE 2097.HKHong Kong$8.80B-37%+35%20%11.5×-18.5%+32.1%
Kobe Bussan 3038.TJapan$4.33B+15%+6%7%21.9×-4.8%+10.1%
Dino Polska DNP.WAPoland$9.36B+31%+14%6%22.2×17.9%+27.1%
J Sainsbury SBRY.LUnited Kingdom$10.4B+16%-3%3%14.9×7.8%+3.0%
Yonghui Superstores 601933.SSChina$3.76B-23%-16%-3%273.4×n/an/a
Ocado OCDO.LUnited Kingdom$3.73B+77%-42%3%n/a39.1%-9.9%
BBB Foods TBBBUnited States$10.8B+72%+52%1%n/a49.9%+37.1%
Kesko KESKOA.HEFinland$11.3B+23%+6%5%20.6×4.8%+3.2%
Distribuidora Internacional de Alimentacion DIA.MCSpain$3.15B+25%+2%3%32.6×4.9%-3.6%
Uni-president Enterprises 1216.TWTaiwan$13.2B+11%+1%5%17.6×0.6%+8.5%
Kusuri No Aoki 3549.TJapan$2.88B+26%+13%5%21.2×4.1%+13.1%
Sheng Siong OV8.SISingapore$2.77B-22%+10%10%21.6×-1.6%+2.4%
Metro MRU.TOCanada$14.6B+11%+3%6%19.4×-0.7%+4.1%

Questions

Who are Axfood's main competitors?
Named competitors: ICA Gruppen (private or unlisted), Coop Sverige (private) (private or unlisted), Lidl Sverige (private) (private or unlisted). The cockpit's measured peer set (industry) also includes Albertsons Companies (ACI), President Chain Store (2912.TW), Guming (1364.HK), DFI Retail (D01.SI), Empire (EMP-A.TO), Zabka (ZAB.WA).
Is Axfood expensive compared with its peers?
On forward p/e it trades at 24.3× against a peer median of 18.5×, 4th most expensive of 19 in its peer set. For today's price to make sense, revenue must grow about 3% a year for seven years (Req g). Recent delivered growth is +11%, so the hurdle is -7 pp: the price already allows for a slowdown.
How has Axfood stock performed?
Over six months to 6 Nov 2026 the shares returned +3.5% against +11.1% for the median peer; over one year +9.1%.

How these numbers are made. Returns are close-to-close in local currency. Revenue growth and margins are trailing twelve months. Req g is the revenue growth that today's enterprise value requires for seven years at the company's own cost of capital; Delivered g is what it actually grew; the gap is the hurdle (honest precision about ±8 points, so read the ranking more than the decimal). No fair values, price targets or analyst ratings are shown, by design. Method and validation.