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Adecoagro S.A.AGROCompetitor analysis, valuation and peers

United States · USD·Consumer Staples›Agricultural Commodities/Milling

South American agribusiness growing sugarcane, crops and dairy, and producing ethanol and energy across Argentina, Brazil and Uruguay.

Momentum weak 25
Mkt cap
$1.30B
US dollars, full cap
Free float
22%
of shares outstanding
$/day
$5.86M
20-day average traded
Fwd P/E
5.3×
forward earnings
ROIC−WACC
-5.2 pp
WACC 5.8%
Hurdle
+25 pp
Req g minus delivered
Official | Implied
BB- / B-
agencies · bond market
Next earnings
6 days
12 Nov 2026
Close · USD$9.00
1D-1.0%
1W-7.1%
1M-14.0%
3M-6.8%
6M-31.4%
YTD+13.5%
1Y+13.1%
ATR %4.1%
Beta-0.44
52w lowhigh43.4% off high

What Adecoagro does

South American agribusiness growing sugarcane, crops and dairy, and producing ethanol and energy across Argentina, Brazil and Uruguay.

Sells commodities at market prices, with sugar and ethanol made at its own Brazilian mills and crops grown on farms in Argentina, Brazil and Uruguay, so income follows global commodity prices and harvest yields. It also buys and sells farmland, adding land-sale gains from time to time.

Products and services

  • Sugarcane/sugar production
  • Ethanol/energy production
  • Crop farming (soy, corn, wheat)
  • Dairy operations

Customers

  • Commodity buyers/traders
  • Food and energy companies

Where it sits in the supply chain

  • Consumer staples
  • Agribusiness
  • Sugar, ethanol, farming & dairy

What could go right

  • Ethanol/sugar price cycles
  • Farmland value appreciation

What could go wrong

  • Commodity price volatility
  • Argentina/Brazil currency and policy risk

Moat: narrow (scale, distribution). Large-scale, vertically integrated land and processing base across three countries.

Headquarters: Luxembourg / Buenos Aires, Argentina · Founded: 2002 · Employees: 10,283

Named competitors

  • Raizen private or unlisted
  • Sao Martinho private or unlisted
  • Bunge Global BG

Adecoagro at a glance

Size Adecoagro (AGRO) is a United States Consumer Staples company (Agricultural Commodities/Milling) with a market value of $1.30B, the 2081st largest of 3,117 United States companies the cockpit tracks. Shares closed at $9.00 on 6 Nov 2026.

Performance Over six months the shares fell 31.4%, against -11.8% for the median peer and -1.1% for the United States market (cap-weighted) — 2nd lowest of 20 in its peer set.

Growth Revenue grew 7.2% over the last twelve months (peer median +1.4%); the operating margin is 1.9% (peer median 4.1%).

Valuation It trades at 5.3× forward earnings against a peer median of 16.4× (cheapest of 16).

Price implies For today's price to make sense, revenue must grow about 38% a year for seven years (Req g). Recent delivered growth is +12%, so the hurdle is +25 pp: the price needs faster growth than the company has been delivering — of companies that just grew 25–50% a year, 93.8% slowed down over the next four years.

Capital Return on invested capital runs 5.2 points below its cost of capital (5.8% WACC).

Credit Adecoagro has 1 bond outstanding ($500M), rated BB- by the agencies and trading like B- at a weighted spread of 399 bp.

Short interest Short interest is 0.9% of the free float (15 Oct 2026).

Next results Next results expected around 12 Nov 2026 (exchange calendar; dates can move).

Relative performance

8010011 May 202611 Aug 20266 Nov 2026Peer median 89AGRO 67
Six months, rebased to 100: Adecoagro against the median of its 20 peers (local-currency closes).

Adecoagro financials

Reported figures in USD; fiscal year ends 2025-12-31. TTM = trailing twelve months.
TTMFY2025FY2024FY2023FY2022
Revenue$1.60B$1.37B$1.45B$1.23B$1.26B
Revenue growth—-5%+18%-3%—
Gross profit$303M$156M$196M$371M$140M
EBITDA$286M$113M$205M$366M$107M
Net income$49.5M-$8.35M$92.3M$226M$108M
Free cash flow$18.1M$24.4M$49.4M$199M$104M
Capital expenditure$238M$266M$263M$243M$230M
Total debt$2.33B$1.95B$1.12B$1.28B$1.35B

Quarterly statements and history in the cockpit →

Adecoagro competitor charts

The default views of Competitor Analysis ▸ Charts, drawn from the same data. Open them in the cockpit to change the axes, pin companies and read every value.

Performance: 6-month against 1-month return

-40%-20%0%+20%-10%0%+10%+20%DMC12100008601117GODREJAGROMPE6034770020412419KERBALRAMCHIN002458603363600251AVANTIFEEDAVO603517AGRO6-month return →1-month return →
Up and to the right = strong over both horizons. Adecoagro is the large dot.

Fundamentals: revenue growth against valuation

-20%0%+20%20×40×60×DMC1210GODREJAGROMPE002041KERBALRAMCHIN002458LTFOODS600251000061AVO603517AGRORevenue growth (TTM) →Forward P/E →
Further right = faster growth; higher = more expensive. The dashed lines are the peer medians. Adecoagro is the large dot.

Capital: growth delivered against growth the price implies

0%+20%+40%0%20%40%GODREJAGROMPE0020412419KER002458LTFOODS000061AVANTIFEEDAGROGrowth delivered (Del g) →Growth the price implies (Req g, 7 yrs) →
Above the diagonal = the price needs more growth than the company has been delivering; below = the price already allows for a slowdown. Adecoagro is the large dot.

Adecoagro competitors and peer comparison

Head to head with its named competitors (AGRO vs BG)
CompanyMarket cap6M returnRevenue growthOp. marginForward P/EReq g
Adecoagro AGRO$1.30B-31%+7%2%5.3×37.5%
Bunge Global BG$19.0B-20%+55%4%9.2×n/a

How Adecoagro compares with its peers

Peer set: Industry: the same industry and sector in any market, nearest in size. This is the same default set the interactive Competitor Analysis opens with.

Adecoagro against its 20 peers (data as of 6 Nov 2026)
MeasureAGROPeer medianRank in peer set
1-month return-14.0%-3.7%3rd lowest of 21
6-month return-31.4%-11.8%2nd lowest of 20
Distance from 52-week high-43.4%-24.6%4th lowest of 21
Revenue growth (TTM)+7.2%+1.4%7th highest of 21
Operating margin1.9%4.1%7th lowest of 21
Forward P/E5.3×16.4×cheapest of 16
Growth the price implies (Req g, 7 yrs)37.5%8.0%most demanding of 10
Growth delivered (Del g)+12.1%+11.1%5th highest of 10
Hurdle (Req g minus delivered)+25.4 pp+4.8 ppmost demanding of 10
ROIC minus cost of capital-5.2 pp-3.3 pp7th lowest of 21
EV / EBITDA12.0×12.8×6th cheapest of 11
Net debt / EBITDA7.0×1.4×most indebted of 11
Bond spread399 bpn/a—

Peer table

Peer set: Industry: the same industry and sector in any market, nearest in size
CompanyMarketMarket cap6M returnRevenue growthOp. marginForward P/EReq gDelivered g
Adecoagro AGROUnited States$1.30B-31%+7%2%5.3×37.5%+12.1%
Del Monte DMCUnited States$1.29B-27%+1%4%12.1×n/an/a
Great Wall Enterprise 1210.TWTaiwan$1.28B-4%+2%4%12.0×n/an/a
Beijing Shunxin Agriculture 000860.SZChina$1.36B-4%-20%-5%n/an/an/a
China Modern Dairy 1117.HKHong Kong$1.37B+3%+5%-15%12.5×n/an/a
Godrej Agrovet GODREJAGRO.NSIndia$1.23B+3%+9%6%21.7×15.1%+10.3%
M.P. Evans MPE.LUnited Kingdom$1.20B-5%+1%39%9.7×-9.7%+15.6%
Leshan Giantstar Farming & Husbandry 603477.SSChina$1.19B-19%-2%-15%n/an/an/a
Shandong Denghai Seeds 002041.SZChina$1.19B-12%-1%3%58.9×23.5%+4.2%
Dekon Food And Agriculture 2419.HKHong Kong$1.16B-16%-10%-6%n/a-5.0%+22.4%
Kernel KER.WAPoland$1.47B0%-1%5%5.4×8.0%-5.4%
Balrampur Chini Mills BALRAMCHIN.NSIndia$1.50B+28%+11%9%19.5×n/an/a
Shandong Yisheng Livestock & Poultry Breeding 002458.SZChina$1.54B-16%+15%17%18.2×6.3%+11.1%
Fujian Aonong Biological Technology Group Incorporation 603363.SSChina$1.09B-21%+12%-8%n/an/an/a
LT Foods LTFOODS.NSIndia$1.55B-3%+24%8%12.8×25.7%+18.2%
Xinjiang Guannong 600251.SSChina$1.09B-27%-32%-4%9.4×n/an/a
Liuliumei 6658.HKHong Kong$1.58Bn/a+6%12%n/an/an/a
Shenzhen Agricultural Products 000061.SZChina$1.63B-22%-22%12%26.1×4.2%+15.6%
Avanti Feeds AVANTIFEED.NSIndia$1.02B-51%+11%9%22.3×17.1%+8.0%
Mission Produce AVOUnited States$1.02B-11%-6%4%16.4×n/an/a
Juewei Food 603517.SSChina$1.01B-13%-8%3%31.3×n/an/a

Adecoagro bonds and credit

Adecoagro has 1 bond outstanding with $500M face value. The agencies rate it BB-; its bonds trade like B-. Weighted yield 8.67%, a spread of 399 bp over government bonds.

Every bond, yield and spread in the cockpit →

Questions

Who are Adecoagro's main competitors?
Named competitors: Raizen (private or unlisted), Sao Martinho (private or unlisted), Bunge Global (BG). The cockpit's measured peer set (industry) also includes Del Monte (DMC), Great Wall Enterprise (1210.TW), Beijing Shunxin Agriculture (000860.SZ), China Modern Dairy (1117.HK), Godrej Agrovet (GODREJAGRO.NS), M.P. Evans (MPE.L).
Is Adecoagro expensive compared with its peers?
On forward p/e it trades at 5.3× against a peer median of 16.4×, cheapest of 16 in its peer set. For today's price to make sense, revenue must grow about 38% a year for seven years (Req g). Recent delivered growth is +12%, so the hurdle is +25 pp: the price needs faster growth than the company has been delivering — of companies that just grew 25–50% a year, 93.8% slowed down over the next four years.
How has Adecoagro stock performed?
Over six months to 6 Nov 2026 the shares returned -31.4% against -11.8% for the median peer; over one year +13.1%.

How these numbers are made. Returns are close-to-close in local currency. Revenue growth and margins are trailing twelve months. Req g is the revenue growth that today's enterprise value requires for seven years at the company's own cost of capital; Delivered g is what it actually grew; the gap is the hurdle (honest precision about ±8 points, so read the ranking more than the decimal). No fair values, price targets or analyst ratings are shown, by design. Method and validation.