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← CockpitCompetitor Analysis › 9633.HK Nongfu SpringOpen in the cockpit ↗

Nongfu Spring9633.HKCompetitor analysis, valuation and peers

Hong Kong · HKD·Consumer Staples›Beverages: Non-Alcoholic

China's largest bottled-water and beverage maker, selling natural water, juices, teas and functional drinks nationwide.

≈ China's Coca-Cola/BlueTriton (bottled water)Momentum leader 85
Mkt cap
$64.9B
US dollars, full cap
Free float
36%
of shares outstanding
$/day
$40.1M
20-day average traded
Fwd P/E
24.0×
forward earnings
ROIC−WACC
+161.9 pp
WACC 6.3%
Hurdle
-17 pp
Req g minus delivered
Next earnings
144 days
30 Mar 2027
Close · HKDHK$45.22
1D-0.4%
1W+6.8%
1M+13.7%
3M+6.9%
6M-1.3%
YTD-0.9%
1Y-11.6%
ATR %2.8%
52w lowhigh17.5% off high

What Nongfu Spring does

China's largest bottled-water and beverage maker, selling natural water, juices, teas and functional drinks nationwide.

Earns on high-volume sales of low-priced bottled drinks, where bottling at its own water sources keeps costs down and the tea range has taken a growing share beside water. Founder Zhong Shanshan chairs the company and holds a controlling stake, so the brand and the founder are closely tied.

In one line: China's Coca-Cola/BlueTriton (bottled water).

Products and services

  • Bottled natural water
  • Tea drinks (Oriental Leaf)
  • Juice drinks
  • Functional/vitamin drinks

Customers

  • Retail consumers via supermarkets, convenience sto

Where it sits in the supply chain

  • Consumer staples
  • Beverage manufacturing & bottling
  • Bottled water, tea, juice, functional…

What could go right

  • Premiumization of water/tea categories
  • Rural/lower-tier city expansion

What could go wrong

  • Founder-related reputational controversies
  • Input cost (PET resin) volatility

Moat: wide (brand, distribution, scale). Leading nationwide bottled-water brand with an extensive self-owned distribution network.

Headquarters: Hangzhou, China · Founded: 1996 · Employees: 28,000

Named competitors

Nongfu Spring at a glance

Size Nongfu Spring (9633.HK) is a Hong Kong Consumer Staples company (Beverages: Non-Alcoholic) with a market value of $64.9B, the 30th largest of 891 Hong Kong companies the cockpit tracks. Shares closed at HK$45.22 on 6 Nov 2026.

Performance Over six months the shares fell 1.3%, against +16.8% for the median peer and -13.4% for the Hong Kong market (cap-weighted) — 2nd lowest of 7 in its peer set.

Growth Revenue grew 26.7% over the last twelve months (peer median +15.5%); the operating margin is 37.6% (peer median 12.8%).

Valuation It trades at 24.0× forward earnings against a peer median of 19.5× (3rd most expensive of 7).

Price implies For today's price to make sense, revenue must grow about 0% a year for seven years (Req g). Recent delivered growth is +17%, so the hurdle is -17 pp: the price already allows for a slowdown.

Capital Return on invested capital runs 161.9 points above its cost of capital (6.3% WACC).

Next results Next results expected around 30 Mar 2027 (exchange calendar; dates can move).

Relative performance

9010011012011 May 202611 Aug 20266 Nov 2026Peer median 1189633.HK 101
Six months, rebased to 100: Nongfu Spring against the median of its 6 peers (local-currency closes).

Nongfu Spring financials

Reported figures in HKD; fiscal year ends 2025-12-31. TTM = trailing twelve months.
TTMFY2025FY2024FY2023FY2022
RevenueHK$63.4BHK$57.0BHK$46.5BHK$47.1BHK$38.7B
Revenue growth—+23%-1%+22%—
Gross profitHK$38.5BHK$34.5BHK$27.0BHK$28.1BHK$22.2B
EBITDAHK$27.9BHK$24.9BHK$18.1BHK$18.3BHK$13.9B
Net incomeHK$19.2BHK$17.2BHK$13.1BHK$13.3BHK$9.88B
Free cash flowHK$16.3BHK$15.7BHK$5.00BHK$13.8BHK$9.00B
Capital expenditureHK$7.84BHK$7.29BHK$6.96BHK$5.34BHK$5.00B
Total debtn/aHK$5.00BHK$3.99BHK$3.53BHK$2.83B

Quarterly statements and history in the cockpit →

Nongfu Spring competitor charts

The default views of Competitor Analysis ▸ Charts, drawn from the same data. Open them in the cockpit to change the axes, pin companies and read every value.

Performance: 6-month against 1-month return

0%+10%+20%+30%0%+10%CCEPKDPMNSTFMXCCH00199633.HK6-month return →1-month return →
Up and to the right = strong over both horizons. Nongfu Spring is the large dot.

Fundamentals: revenue growth against valuation

+10%+20%+30%+40%10×20×30×CCEPKDPMNSTFMXCCH00199633.HKRevenue growth (TTM) →Forward P/E →
Further right = faster growth; higher = more expensive. The dashed lines are the peer medians. Nongfu Spring is the large dot.

Capital: growth delivered against growth the price implies

0%+10%0%10%CCEPKDPMNSTFMXCCH00199633.HKGrowth delivered (Del g) →Growth the price implies (Req g, 7 yrs) →
Above the diagonal = the price needs more growth than the company has been delivering; below = the price already allows for a slowdown. Nongfu Spring is the large dot.

Nongfu Spring competitors and peer comparison

Head to head with its named competitors (9633.HK vs 0220.HK vs 0151.HK vs KO)
CompanyMarket cap6M returnRevenue growthOp. marginForward P/EReq g
Nongfu Spring 9633.HK$64.9B-1%+27%38%24.0×-0.2%
Uni-President China 0220.HK$4.56B+12%+4%8%14.0×-8.3%
Want Want China 0151.HK$4.43B-32%+6%18%9.7×n/a
Coca-Cola Company (The) KO$412B+23%+8%32%27.6×2.8%
Tingyi 0322.HK$9.59B+17%+4%9%14.1×-12.9%

How Nongfu Spring compares with its peers

Peer set: Industry: the same industry and sector in any market, nearest in size. This is the same default set the interactive Competitor Analysis opens with.

Nongfu Spring against its 6 peers (data as of 6 Nov 2026)
Measure9633.HKPeer medianRank in peer set
1-month return+13.7%+10.0%2nd highest of 7
6-month return-1.3%+16.8%2nd lowest of 7
Distance from 52-week high-17.5%-5.8%2nd lowest of 7
Revenue growth (TTM)+26.7%+15.5%2nd highest of 7
Operating margin37.6%12.8%highest of 7
Forward P/E24.0×19.5×3rd most expensive of 7
Growth the price implies (Req g, 7 yrs)-0.2%5.6%2nd least demanding of 7
Growth delivered (Del g)+17.3%+12.6%highest of 7
Hurdle (Req g minus delivered)-17.4 pp-5.1 pp2nd least demanding of 7
ROIC minus cost of capital+161.9 pp+4.1 pphighest of 7
EV / EBITDA17.1×14.7×2nd most expensive of 7
Net debt / EBITDA-1.1×2.2×2nd least indebted of 7

Peer table

Peer set: Industry: the same industry and sector in any market, nearest in size
CompanyMarketMarket cap6M returnRevenue growthOp. marginForward P/EReq gDelivered g
Nongfu Spring 9633.HKHong Kong$64.9B-1%+27%38%24.0×-0.2%+17.3%
Coca-Cola Europacific Partners CCEPUnited States$51.0B+23%+10%14%21.8×3.9%+14.3%
Keurig Dr Pepper KDPUnited States$49.8B+28%+43%17%14.8×6.3%+7.4%
Monster Beverage MNSTUnited States$89.6B+11%+20%29%36.2×10.2%+12.5%
Fomento Economico Mexicano SAB de CV Sponsored ADR FMXUnited States$26.1B+7%+18%9%24.2×-6.9%+13.8%
Coca-Cola HBC CCH.LUnited Kingdom$20.5B-2%+13%11%17.2×4.9%+12.8%
Swire Pacific 0019.HKHong Kong$17.0B+23%+7%12%11.4×6.9%+2.9%

Questions

Who are Nongfu Spring's main competitors?
Named competitors: Uni-President China (0220.HK), Want Want China Holdings (0151.HK), Coca-Cola Company (KO), Tingyi (Cayman Islands) Holding (0322.HK). The cockpit's measured peer set (industry) also includes Coca-Cola Europacific Partners (CCEP), Keurig Dr Pepper (KDP), Monster Beverage (MNST), Fomento Economico Mexicano SAB de CV Sponsored ADR (FMX), Coca-Cola HBC (CCH.L), Swire Pacific (0019.HK).
Is Nongfu Spring expensive compared with its peers?
On forward p/e it trades at 24.0× against a peer median of 19.5×, 3rd most expensive of 7 in its peer set. For today's price to make sense, revenue must grow about 0% a year for seven years (Req g). Recent delivered growth is +17%, so the hurdle is -17 pp: the price already allows for a slowdown.
How has Nongfu Spring stock performed?
Over six months to 6 Nov 2026 the shares returned -1.3% against +16.8% for the median peer; over one year -11.6%.

How these numbers are made. Returns are close-to-close in local currency. Revenue growth and margins are trailing twelve months. Req g is the revenue growth that today's enterprise value requires for seven years at the company's own cost of capital; Delivered g is what it actually grew; the gap is the hurdle (honest precision about ±8 points, so read the ranking more than the decimal). No fair values, price targets or analyst ratings are shown, by design. Method and validation.