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← CockpitCompetitor Analysis › 6371.T Tsubakimoto Chain Co.Open in the cockpit ↗

Tsubakimoto Chain Co.6371.TCompetitor analysis, valuation and peers

Japan · JPY·Industrials›Industrial Machinery

World's largest maker of industrial roller chains, used in power transmission and conveyor systems.

≈ The Timken of chainsMomentum neutral 58
Mkt cap
$1.68B
US dollars, full cap
Free float
68%
of shares outstanding
$/day
$4.17M
20-day average traded
Fwd P/E
10.3×
forward earnings
ROIC−WACC
-1.7 pp
WACC 7.8%
Hurdle
-7 pp
Req g minus delivered
Next earnings
91 days
5 Feb 2027
Close · JPY¥2,518
1D-4.5%
1W-6.5%
1M-6.0%
3M-1.3%
6M+7.2%
YTD+8.9%
1Y+13.6%
ATR %2.7%
52w lowhigh10.5% off high

What Tsubakimoto Chain does

World's largest maker of industrial roller chains, used in power transmission and conveyor systems.

Sells chain to equipment makers, who build it into machines, and as replacement parts through industrial distributors; conveyors and parking systems are made to order as projects. A large part of sales and production is overseas, with plants in North America, Europe and Asia.

In one line: The Timken of chains.

Products and services

  • Industrial chains
  • Conveyor systems
  • Automotive engine timing chains
  • Parking systems

Customers

  • Automakers
  • Manufacturing plants
  • Logistics/warehouse operators

Where it sits in the supply chain

  • Capital goods
  • Power transmission
  • Roller chains, conveyor systems

What could go right

  • Warehouse automation/e-commerce logistics buildout
  • Auto production volumes

What could go wrong

  • Steel input costs
  • Auto production cyclicality

Moat: narrow (scale, brand, installed base). World's largest chain maker by volume; brand trust in a safety-critical, low-differentiation product.

Headquarters: Osaka, Japan · Founded: 1917 · Employees: 12,228

Named competitors

  • Renold private or unlisted
  • Timken TKR
  • Rexnord private or unlisted
  • Diamond Chain private or unlisted

Tsubakimoto Chain at a glance

Size Tsubakimoto Chain (6371.T) is a Japan Industrials company (Industrial Machinery) with a market value of $1.68B, the 533rd largest of 1,379 Japan companies the cockpit tracks. Shares closed at ¥2,518 on 6 Nov 2026.

Performance Over six months the shares gained 7.2%, against -17.7% for the median peer and +1.8% for the Japan market (cap-weighted) — 2nd highest of 21 in its peer set.

Growth Revenue grew 20.1% over the last twelve months (peer median +8.1%); the operating margin is 7.6% (peer median 8.4%).

Valuation It trades at 10.3× forward earnings against a peer median of 22.7× (4th cheapest of 19).

Price implies For today's price to make sense, revenue must grow about 2% a year for seven years (Req g). Recent delivered growth is +9%, so the hurdle is -7 pp: the price already allows for a slowdown.

Capital Return on invested capital runs 1.7 points below its cost of capital (7.8% WACC).

Next results Next results expected around 5 Feb 2027 (exchange calendar; dates can move).

Relative performance

8010012011 May 202611 Aug 20266 Nov 20266371.T 108Peer median 79
Six months, rebased to 100: Tsubakimoto Chain against the median of its 20 peers (local-currency closes).

Tsubakimoto Chain financials

Reported figures in JPY; fiscal year ends 2026-03-31. TTM = trailing twelve months.
TTMFY2025FY2024FY2023FY2022
Revenue¥334B¥296B¥279B¥267B¥252B
Revenue growth—+6%+5%+6%—
Gross profit¥97.8B¥84.4B¥79.4B¥75.4B¥69.2B
EBITDA¥41.4B¥36.7B¥37.3B¥35.3B¥32.7B
Net income¥30.0B¥29.7B¥22.1B¥18.6B¥13.7B
Free cash flow¥10.2B¥16.1B¥8.14B¥27.7B¥12.4B
Capital expenditure¥20.6B¥15.8B¥13.2B¥10.8B¥8.92B
Total debt¥48.6B¥52.6B¥27.2B¥30.9B¥35.6B

Quarterly statements and history in the cockpit →

Tsubakimoto Chain competitor charts

The default views of Competitor Analysis ▸ Charts, drawn from the same data. Open them in the cockpit to change the axes, pin companies and read every value.

Performance: 6-month against 1-month return

-40%-20%0%-20%0%002158ATSFAN319660300990TRITURBINE0026390026986880286003436548TVKKSB16510025346035830029433001856371.T6-month return →1-month return →
Up and to the right = strong over both horizons. Tsubakimoto Chain is the large dot.

Fundamentals: revenue growth against valuation

-40%-20%0%+20%+40%0×100×200×002158ATSFAN319660300990TRITURBINE0026986880286548TVKKSB1651688306002534603583KMT0029436371.TRevenue growth (TTM) →Forward P/E →
Further right = faster growth; higher = more expensive. The dashed lines are the peer medians. Tsubakimoto Chain is the large dot.

Capital: growth delivered against growth the price implies

0%+20%+40%0%20%40%002158ATSFAN319660300990TRITURBINE0026986548TVKKSB16516883060025343001856371.TGrowth delivered (Del g) →Growth the price implies (Req g, 7 yrs) →
Above the diagonal = the price needs more growth than the company has been delivering; below = the price already allows for a slowdown. Tsubakimoto Chain is the large dot.

Tsubakimoto Chain competitors and peer comparison

Head to head with its named competitors (6371.T vs TKR)
CompanyMarket cap6M returnRevenue growthOp. marginForward P/EReq g
Tsubakimoto Chain 6371.T$1.68B+7%+20%8%10.3×2.0%
Timken TKR$7.07B-14%+6%15%14.5×3.7%

How Tsubakimoto Chain compares with its peers

Peer set: Industry: the same industry and sector in any market, nearest in size. This is the same default set the interactive Competitor Analysis opens with.

Tsubakimoto Chain against its 20 peers (data as of 6 Nov 2026)
Measure6371.TPeer medianRank in peer set
1-month return-6.0%-7.3%10th highest of 21
6-month return+7.2%-17.7%2nd highest of 21
Distance from 52-week high-10.5%-46.0%highest of 21
Revenue growth (TTM)+20.1%+8.1%8th highest of 21
Operating margin7.6%8.4%9th lowest of 21
Forward P/E10.3×22.7×4th cheapest of 19
Growth the price implies (Req g, 7 yrs)2.0%9.9%3rd least demanding of 15
Growth delivered (Del g)+8.9%+9.5%7th lowest of 15
Hurdle (Req g minus delivered)-6.9 pp-1.1 pp5th least demanding of 15
ROIC minus cost of capital-1.7 pp-0.5 pp7th lowest of 21
EV / EBITDA5.9×11.0×3rd cheapest of 9
Net debt / EBITDA-0.7×0.2×4th least indebted of 9

Peer table

Peer set: Industry: the same industry and sector in any market, nearest in size
CompanyMarketMarket cap6M returnRevenue growthOp. marginForward P/EReq gDelivered g
Tsubakimoto Chain 6371.TJapan$1.68B+7%+20%8%10.3×2.0%+8.9%
Shanghai Hanbell Precise Machinery 002158.SZChina$1.67B-24%-5%15%19.3×16.3%+5.2%
ATS ATS.TOCanada$1.68B-49%+7%6%15.9×8.7%+15.8%
Volution FAN.LUnited Kingdom$1.68B+7%+16%20%15.7×13.7%+12.2%
Psk 319660.KSSouth Korea$1.66B-12%+32%25%14.4×6.1%+11.5%
Sanhe Tongfei Refrigeration 300990.SZChina$1.69B-18%+23%8%29.9×31.4%+36.2%
Triveni Turbine TRITURBINE.NSIndia$1.66B-14%+18%17%42.5×45.8%+25.4%
Fujian Snowman 002639.SZChina$1.70B-18%+9%1%n/an/an/a
Harbin Boshi Automation 002698.SZChina$1.66B-15%-2%18%19.3×5.3%+9.1%
Beijing Worldia Diamond Tools 688028.SSChina$1.66B-37%+22%16%71.0×n/an/a
Shaanxi Aerospace Power Hi-Tech 600343.SSChina$1.65B-50%-15%-24%n/an/an/a
Chang Wah Technology 6548.TWOTaiwan$1.65B+9%+25%15%17.5×9.2%+6.8%
TerraVest Industries TVK.TOCanada$1.64B-17%+46%8%26.4×10.6%+35.1%
KSB SE & Co. KGaA KSB.DEGermany$1.63B-3%+2%7%10.3×-3.2%+6.6%
Precision Tsugami (China) 1651.HKHong Kong$1.62B-35%+24%28%7.7×-13.9%+9.8%
Ningbo PIA Automation 688306.SSChina$1.74B+3%+7%4%190.6×35.2%+8.7%
Xizi Clean Energy Equipment Manufacturing 002534.SZChina$1.74B-19%-2%3%44.5×25.7%+3.1%
Zhejiang Jiecang Linear Motion Technology 603583.SSChina$1.60B-4%+5%8%26.0×n/an/a
Kennametal KMTUnited States$1.76B-36%+32%31%8.9×n/an/a
Hunan Yujing Machinery 002943.SZChina$1.60B-42%-36%-23%37.5×n/an/a
Tongyu Heavy Industry 300185.SZChina$1.59B-17%+6%4%43.7×6.3%+3.1%

Questions

Who are Tsubakimoto Chain's main competitors?
Named competitors: Renold (private or unlisted), Timken (TKR), Rexnord (private or unlisted), Diamond Chain (private or unlisted). The cockpit's measured peer set (industry) also includes Shanghai Hanbell Precise Machinery (002158.SZ), ATS (ATS.TO), Volution (FAN.L), Psk (319660.KS), Sanhe Tongfei Refrigeration (300990.SZ), Triveni Turbine (TRITURBINE.NS).
Is Tsubakimoto Chain expensive compared with its peers?
On forward p/e it trades at 10.3× against a peer median of 22.7×, 4th cheapest of 19 in its peer set. For today's price to make sense, revenue must grow about 2% a year for seven years (Req g). Recent delivered growth is +9%, so the hurdle is -7 pp: the price already allows for a slowdown.
How has Tsubakimoto Chain stock performed?
Over six months to 6 Nov 2026 the shares returned +7.2% against -17.7% for the median peer; over one year +13.6%.

How these numbers are made. Returns are close-to-close in local currency. Revenue growth and margins are trailing twelve months. Req g is the revenue growth that today's enterprise value requires for seven years at the company's own cost of capital; Delivered g is what it actually grew; the gap is the hurdle (honest precision about ±8 points, so read the ranking more than the decimal). No fair values, price targets or analyst ratings are shown, by design. Method and validation.