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← CockpitCompetitor Analysis › 4578.T Otsuka Hldgs Co LtdOpen in the cockpit ↗

Otsuka Hldgs Co Ltd4578.TCompetitor analysis, valuation and peers

Japan · JPY·Health Care›Pharmaceuticals: Major

Japanese holding company spanning psychiatric/CNS drugs, nutraceuticals (Pocari Sweat) and diagnostics.

≈ Part Bristol Myers Squibb, part Gatorade (PepsiCo)Momentum strong 63
Mkt cap
$38.6B
US dollars, full cap
Free float
77%
of shares outstanding
$/day
$102M
20-day average traded
Fwd P/E
16.3×
forward earnings
ROIC−WACC
+4.4 pp
WACC 6.4%
Hurdle
-11 pp
Req g minus delivered
Next earnings
98 days
12 Feb 2027
Close · JPY¥11,585
1D-6.8%
1W-5.7%
1M+1.1%
3M+0.7%
6M+2.3%
YTD+31.4%
1Y+42.9%
ATR %3.6%
52w lowhigh9.5% off high

What Otsuka Hldgs does

Japanese holding company spanning psychiatric/CNS drugs, nutraceuticals (Pocari Sweat) and diagnostics.

Splits into drugs and consumer products. The drugs side earns from selling its own psychiatric and kidney medicines and from marketing partnerships, with Rexulti co-developed with Lundbeck; the consumer side sells Pocari Sweat in Asia and Nature Made vitamins in the US through Pharmavite, which it bought in 2011.

In one line: Part Bristol Myers Squibb, part Gatorade (PepsiCo).

Products and services

  • Abilify/Rexulti (psychiatric drugs)
  • Pocari Sweat & Calorie Mate (nutraceuticals)
  • Diagnostics
  • Consumer products

Customers

  • Psychiatrists/hospitals
  • Retail consumers (beverages/nutrition)

Where it sits in the supply chain

  • Healthcare & consumer
  • Pharma + nutraceuticals
  • Drug development + branded…

What could go right

  • CNS drug pipeline (post-Abilify)
  • Pocari Sweat expansion in emerging Asia

What could go wrong

  • Patent cliffs in pharma
  • Currency exposure across many countries

Moat: narrow (brand, IP / patents). Strong CNS drug franchise plus a dominant, decades-old sports-drink brand across Asia.

Headquarters: Tokyo, Japan · Founded: 1921 · Employees: 37,758

Named competitors

Otsuka Hldgs at a glance

Size Otsuka Hldgs (4578.T) is a Japan Health Care company (Pharmaceuticals: Major) with a market value of $38.6B, the 40th largest of 1,379 Japan companies the cockpit tracks. Shares closed at ¥11,585 on 6 Nov 2026.

Performance Over six months the shares gained 2.3%, against +17.1% for the median peer and +1.8% for the Japan market (cap-weighted) — 8th lowest of 21 in its peer set.

Growth Revenue grew 11.3% over the last twelve months (peer median +14.0%); the operating margin is 17.8% (peer median 17.9%).

Valuation It trades at 16.3× forward earnings against a peer median of 19.5× (8th cheapest of 19).

Price implies For today's price to make sense, revenue must grow about 0% a year for seven years (Req g). Recent delivered growth is +12%, so the hurdle is -11 pp: the price already allows for a slowdown.

Capital Return on invested capital runs 4.4 points above its cost of capital (6.4% WACC).

Next results Next results expected around 12 Feb 2027 (exchange calendar; dates can move).

Relative performance

9010011011 May 202611 Aug 20266 Nov 2026Peer median 1164578.T 104
Six months, rebased to 100: Otsuka Hldgs against the median of its 20 peers (local-currency closes).

Otsuka Hldgs financials

Reported figures in JPY; fiscal year ends 2025-12-31. TTM = trailing twelve months.
TTMFY2025FY2024FY2023FY2022
Revenue¥2.69T¥2.47T¥2.33T¥2.02T¥1.74T
Revenue growth—+6%+15%+16%—
Gross profit¥1.94T¥1.77T¥1.67T¥1.41T¥1.17T
EBITDA¥602B¥529B¥505B¥390B¥263B
Net income¥388B¥363B¥343B¥122B¥134B
Free cash flow¥319B¥316B¥259B¥192B¥151B
Capital expenditure¥263B¥142B¥129B¥115B¥108B
Total debt¥191B¥228B¥189B¥214B¥194B

Quarterly statements and history in the cockpit →

Otsuka Hldgs competitor charts

The default views of Competitor Analysis ▸ Charts, drawn from the same data. Open them in the cockpit to change the axes, pin companies and read every value.

Performance: 6-month against 1-month return

-20%0%+20%+40%0%+10%+20%RPRXHLNBIIBSDZZTS6882354568SUNPHARMA1276DIVISLAB4503ROIVGALD3692INSMINCYBAYNVTRS2359SIG4578.T6-month return →1-month return →
Up and to the right = strong over both horizons. Otsuka Hldgs is the large dot.

Fundamentals: revenue growth against valuation

0%+50%+100%+150%+200%25×50×75×RPRXHLNSDZZTS688235SUNPHARMA1276DIVISLABGALD3692INCYVTRS2359SIG4578.TRevenue growth (TTM) →Forward P/E →
Further right = faster growth; higher = more expensive. The dashed lines are the peer medians. Otsuka Hldgs is the large dot.

Capital: growth delivered against growth the price implies

0%+25%+50%+75%0%50%RPRXHLNSDZZTS6882354568SUNPHARMADIVISLAB4503GALDINCY2359SIG4578.TGrowth delivered (Del g) →Growth the price implies (Req g, 7 yrs) →
Above the diagonal = the price needs more growth than the company has been delivering; below = the price already allows for a slowdown. Otsuka Hldgs is the large dot.

Otsuka Hldgs competitors and peer comparison

Head to head with its named competitors (4578.T vs 4502.T vs 4523.T vs BMY)
CompanyMarket cap6M returnRevenue growthOp. marginForward P/EReq g
Otsuka Hldgs 4578.T$38.6B+2%+11%18%16.3×0.4%
Takeda Pharmaceutical 4502.T$66.4B+24%+6%18%42.1×3.0%
Eisai 4523.T$8.68B+4%+7%5%24.2×11.8%
Bristol Myers Squibb BMY$127B+12%+4%33%9.7×-12.9%

How Otsuka Hldgs compares with its peers

Peer set: Industry: the same industry and sector in any market, nearest in size. This is the same default set the interactive Competitor Analysis opens with.

Otsuka Hldgs against its 20 peers (data as of 6 Nov 2026)
Measure4578.TPeer medianRank in peer set
1-month return+1.1%+9.4%4th lowest of 21
6-month return+2.3%+17.1%8th lowest of 21
Distance from 52-week high-9.5%-10.0%10th highest of 21
Revenue growth (TTM)+11.3%+14.0%8th lowest of 21
Operating margin17.8%17.9%11th highest of 21
Forward P/E16.3×19.5×8th cheapest of 19
Growth the price implies (Req g, 7 yrs)0.4%9.6%3rd least demanding of 19
Growth delivered (Del g)+11.7%+8.1%7th highest of 19
Hurdle (Req g minus delivered)-11.2 pp+2.3 pp5th least demanding of 19
ROIC minus cost of capital+4.4 pp+4.2 pp11th highest of 21
EV / EBITDA9.8×22.8×4th cheapest of 17
Net debt / EBITDA-0.5×1.5×6th least indebted of 17

Peer table

Peer set: Industry: the same industry and sector in any market, nearest in size
CompanyMarketMarket cap6M returnRevenue growthOp. marginForward P/EReq gDelivered g
Otsuka Hldgs 4578.TJapan$38.6B+2%+11%18%16.3×0.4%+11.7%
Royalty Pharma RPRXUnited States$38.8B+33%+11%66%11.3×9.9%+2.3%
Haleon HLN.LUnited Kingdom$40.1B+1%+1%23%16.3×4.6%+2.2%
Biogen BIIBUnited States$36.7B+28%+2%17%16.8×9.4%-5.1%
Sandoz SDZ.SWSwitzerland$44.4B+24%+1%15%25.3×7.9%+0.4%
Zoetis ZTSUnited States$32.8B-4%+1%38%12.8×-4.3%+7.2%
BeOne Medicines 688235.SSChina$45.8B+19%+28%15%74.5×23.3%+79.3%
Daiichi Sankyo 4568.TJapan$31.9B+7%+17%13%18.6×7.2%+17.1%
Sun Pharmaceutical Industries SUNPHARMA.NSIndia$47.3B+1%+12%23%35.4×28.4%+11.7%
Jiangsu Hengrui Pharmaceuticals 1276.HKHong Kong$48.8B-20%+11%27%32.1×10.2%+2.0%
Divi's Laboratories DIVISLAB.NSIndia$29.0B+54%+16%31%82.0×50.9%+8.9%
Astellas Pharma 4503.TJapan$28.2B+11%+19%23%11.6×-11.0%+11.4%
Roivant Sciences ROIVUnited States$28.1B+36%-68%-18,146%n/an/an/a
Galderma GALD.SWSwitzerland$54.8B+17%+16%19%48.1×18.4%+6.4%
Hansoh Pharma 3692.HKHong Kong$26.9B-7%+25%38%27.5×8.9%+10.8%
Insmed INSMUnited States$25.1B-16%+240%-42%n/an/an/a
Incyte INCYUnited States$24.4B+21%+25%12%15.4×14.2%+14.0%
Bayer BAYN.DEGermany$61.2B+46%-2%14%12.3×2.1%+1.9%
Viatris VTRSUnited States$22.9B+17%+5%10%7.5×12.5%+3.7%
Wuxi Apptec 2359.HKHong Kong$66.3B+40%+38%44%20.4×8.7%+20.4%
Sigma Healthcare SIG.AXAustralia$22.4B-1%+209%9%37.1×28.2%+26.1%

Questions

Who are Otsuka Hldgs's main competitors?
Named competitors: Takeda (4502.T), Eisai (4523.T), Bristol Myers Squibb (BMY). The cockpit's measured peer set (industry) also includes Royalty Pharma (RPRX), Haleon (HLN.L), Biogen (BIIB), Sandoz (SDZ.SW), Zoetis (ZTS), BeOne Medicines (688235.SS).
Is Otsuka Hldgs expensive compared with its peers?
On forward p/e it trades at 16.3× against a peer median of 19.5×, 8th cheapest of 19 in its peer set. For today's price to make sense, revenue must grow about 0% a year for seven years (Req g). Recent delivered growth is +12%, so the hurdle is -11 pp: the price already allows for a slowdown.
How has Otsuka Hldgs stock performed?
Over six months to 6 Nov 2026 the shares returned +2.3% against +17.1% for the median peer; over one year +42.9%.

How these numbers are made. Returns are close-to-close in local currency. Revenue growth and margins are trailing twelve months. Req g is the revenue growth that today's enterprise value requires for seven years at the company's own cost of capital; Delivered g is what it actually grew; the gap is the hurdle (honest precision about ±8 points, so read the ranking more than the decimal). No fair values, price targets or analyst ratings are shown, by design. Method and validation.