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← CockpitCompetitor Analysis › 3868.HK Xinyi Energy Holdings LimitedOpen in the cockpit ↗

Xinyi Energy Holdings Limited3868.HKCompetitor analysis, valuation and peers

Hong Kong · HKD·Utilities›Alternative Power Generation
Momentum weak 37
Mkt cap
$863M
US dollars, full cap
Free float
23%
of shares outstanding
$/day
$1.03M
20-day average traded
Fwd P/E
8.1×
forward earnings
ROIC−WACC
-1.8 pp
WACC 6.7%
Hurdle
-12 pp
Req g minus delivered
Next earnings
115 days
1 Mar 2027
Close · HKDHK$0.79
1D-1.9%
1W+7.5%
1M0.0%
3M-9.2%
6M-38.2%
YTD-28.6%
1Y-39.1%
ATR %3.0%
52w lowhigh43.9% off high

What Xinyi Energy does

Employees: 457

Xinyi Energy at a glance

Size Xinyi Energy (3868.HK) is a Hong Kong Utilities company (Alternative Power Generation) with a market value of $863M, the 628th largest of 891 Hong Kong companies the cockpit tracks. Shares closed at HK$0.79 on 6 Nov 2026.

Performance Over six months the shares fell 38.2%, against -30.3% for the median peer and -13.4% for the Hong Kong market (cap-weighted) — 4th lowest of 20 in its peer set.

Growth Revenue grew 1.5% over the last twelve months (peer median +14.6%); the operating margin is 53.7% (peer median 19.6%).

Valuation It trades at 8.1× forward earnings against a peer median of 15.0× (3rd cheapest of 18).

Price implies For today's price to make sense, revenue must grow about -3% a year for seven years (Req g). Recent delivered growth is +9%, so the hurdle is -12 pp: the price already allows for a slowdown.

Capital Return on invested capital runs 1.8 points below its cost of capital (6.7% WACC).

Next results Next results expected around 1 Mar 2027 (exchange calendar; dates can move).

Relative performance

608010011 May 202611 Aug 20266 Nov 2026Peer median 693868.HK 63
Six months, rebased to 100: Xinyi Energy against the median of its 20 peers (local-currency closes).

Xinyi Energy financials

Reported figures in HKD; fiscal year ends 2025-12-31. TTM = trailing twelve months.
TTMFY2025FY2024FY2023FY2022
RevenueHK$2.56BHK$2.66BHK$2.65BHK$2.52BHK$2.32B
Revenue growth—+1%+5%+9%—
Gross profitHK$1.46BHK$1.64BHK$1.73BHK$1.71BHK$1.63B
EBITDAHK$2.26BHK$2.42BHK$2.43BHK$2.31BHK$2.13B
Net incomeHK$979MHK$1.10BHK$857MHK$993MHK$971M
Free cash flowHK$989MHK$713M-HK$1.46B-HK$1.87BHK$1.35B
Capital expenditureHK$1.00BHK$1.09BHK$2.50BHK$2.65BHK$1.55B
Total debtn/aHK$9.23BHK$8.84BHK$7.04BHK$5.65B

Quarterly statements and history in the cockpit →

Xinyi Energy competitor charts

The default views of Competitor Analysis ▸ Charts, drawn from the same data. Open them in the cockpit to change the axes, pin companies and read every value.

Performance: 6-month against 1-month return

-40%-20%0%-20%0%WAAREERTL475150COXG301046ARN2072002616KPIGREEN603105XIFRINOXGREENSCATC1407CLEANMAX600821601619PNE36001676010333868.HK6-month return →1-month return →
Up and to the right = strong over both horizons. Xinyi Energy is the large dot.

Fundamentals: revenue growth against valuation

0%+500%+1,000%0×1,000×2,000×WAAREERTL475150301046JNPR3868.HKRevenue growth (TTM) →Forward P/E →
Further right = faster growth; higher = more expensive. The dashed lines are the peer medians. Xinyi Energy is the large dot.

Capital: growth delivered against growth the price implies

0%+50%+100%+150%+200%0%100%200%WAAREERTL207200261660310514076008216010333868.HKGrowth delivered (Del g) →Growth the price implies (Req g, 7 yrs) →
Above the diagonal = the price needs more growth than the company has been delivering; below = the price already allows for a slowdown. Xinyi Energy is the large dot.

Xinyi Energy competitors and peer comparison

How Xinyi Energy compares with its peers

Peer set: Industry: the same industry and sector in any market, nearest in size. This is the same default set the interactive Competitor Analysis opens with.

Xinyi Energy against its 20 peers (data as of 6 Nov 2026)
Measure3868.HKPeer medianRank in peer set
1-month return0.0%-9.7%4th highest of 21
6-month return-38.2%-30.3%4th lowest of 20
Distance from 52-week high-43.9%-43.8%11th highest of 21
Revenue growth (TTM)+1.5%+14.6%7th lowest of 21
Operating margin53.7%19.6%highest of 21
Forward P/E8.1×15.0×3rd cheapest of 18
Growth the price implies (Req g, 7 yrs)-2.6%-4.3%5th most demanding of 10
Growth delivered (Del g)+9.1%+18.4%4th lowest of 10
Hurdle (Req g minus delivered)-11.6 pp-13.8 pp5th most demanding of 10
ROIC minus cost of capital-1.8 pp-0.8 pp10th lowest of 21
EV / EBITDA6.6×17.0×2nd cheapest of 12
Net debt / EBITDA3.6×7.0×3rd least indebted of 13

Peer table

Peer set: Industry: the same industry and sector in any market, nearest in size
CompanyMarketMarket cap6M returnRevenue growthOp. marginForward P/EReq gDelivered g
Xinyi Energy 3868.HKHong Kong$863M-38%+2%54%8.1×-2.6%+9.1%
Waaree Renewable Technologies WAAREERTL.NSIndia$810M-30%+78%17%12.2×24.1%+203.3%
SK Eternix 475150.KSSouth Korea$949M-35%+39%9%40.0×n/an/a
Cox Infrastructure COXG.MCSpain$1.05B-12%+72%9%10.1×n/an/a
Shanghai Nenghui Technology 301046.SZChina$680M+8%-49%-13%2,690.0×n/an/a
Alerion Clean Power ARN.MIItaly$1.11B-35%+13%51%16.4×n/an/a
Century Wind Power 2072.TWTaiwan$618M-41%+62%22%5.7×-17.2%+41.9%
Guangdong Chant 002616.SZChina$617M-21%-3%7%14.1×-4.3%+3.8%
KPI Green Energy KPIGREEN.NSIndia$615M-40%+40%30%12.0×n/an/a
Zhejiang Sunoren Solar Technology 603105.SSChina$608M-17%+8%23%19.3×3.7%+11.6%
XPLR Infrastructure, LP XIFRUnited States$1.38B-38%-1%3%3.0×n/an/a
Inox Green Energy Services INOXGREEN.NSIndia$537M-37%+16%2%n/an/an/a
Scatec SCATC.OLNorway$1.50B-16%+16%29%n/an/an/a
West 1407.TJapan$490M-34%+20%23%8.2×-4.9%-3.6%
Juniper Green Energy JNPR.NSIndia$1.54Bn/a+1,313%52%100.5×n/an/a
Clean Max Enviro Energy Solutions CLEANMAX.NSIndia$1.57B+8%+28%44%107.0×n/an/a
Nyocor 600821.SSChina$1.63B-29%-12%12%40.5×6.8%+20.6%
Jiaze Renewables 601619.SSChina$1.65B-34%-5%43%15.0×0.2%+19.7%
Pne PNE3.DEGermany$442M-47%+13%14%n/an/an/a
Luenmei Quantum 600167.SSChina$1.76B-21%-11%15%19.4×-8.9%-2.1%
Grandtop Yongxing 601033.SSChina$1.83B-2%+6%26%14.0×-5.1%+18.4%

Questions

Which companies are Xinyi Energy's closest peers?
The cockpit's peer set: Waaree Renewable Technologies (WAAREERTL.NS), SK Eternix (475150.KS), Cox Infrastructure (COXG.MC), Shanghai Nenghui Technology (301046.SZ), Alerion Clean Power (ARN.MI), Century Wind Power (2072.TW), Guangdong Chant (002616.SZ), KPI Green Energy (KPIGREEN.NS).
Is Xinyi Energy expensive compared with its peers?
On forward p/e it trades at 8.1× against a peer median of 15.0×, 3rd cheapest of 18 in its peer set. For today's price to make sense, revenue must grow about -3% a year for seven years (Req g). Recent delivered growth is +9%, so the hurdle is -12 pp: the price already allows for a slowdown.
How has Xinyi Energy stock performed?
Over six months to 6 Nov 2026 the shares returned -38.2% against -30.3% for the median peer; over one year -39.1%.

How these numbers are made. Returns are close-to-close in local currency. Revenue growth and margins are trailing twelve months. Req g is the revenue growth that today's enterprise value requires for seven years at the company's own cost of capital; Delivered g is what it actually grew; the gap is the hurdle (honest precision about ±8 points, so read the ranking more than the decimal). No fair values, price targets or analyst ratings are shown, by design. Method and validation.