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Of the 30 models in the Model Hub as of 6 Nov 2026, 14 passed validation in some form (1 rated fit for purpose and 13 fit only with conditions or for limited use), 10 failed (5 rated not reliable, 5 not fit) and 6 are not yet validated. Failures stay on the record with their evidence.
Data as of .
| Model | What it tries to answer | Result | Verdict as recorded | Stage | Reviewed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Option pricing models — Option Pricer M-009 | How accurately does the Option Pricer turn option prices into implied volatility, Greeks and dividends? | Passed: fit for purpose | FIT FOR PURPOSE | Production | 30 Aug 2026 |
| Moonshot Odds Model M-001 | Can a model find stocks likely to gain 150% or more in 12 months? | Passed with conditions or for limited use | FIT FOR LIMITED USE — RELIABLE WITH CONDITIONS | Production | 1 Sep 2026 |
| Capital reverse-DCF & ROIC engine M-002 | What growth and return on capital does a stock's price already require? | Passed with conditions or for limited use | FIT FOR LIMITED USE — RELIABLE WITH CONDITIONS | Production | 1 Sep 2026 |
| Valuation Lens Suite M-003 | What does a stock's price imply under eight valuation lenses, and do those reads predict returns? | Passed with conditions or for limited use | FIT FOR LIMITED USE — CONTEXT ONLY | Production | 2 Sep 2026 |
| Options strategy tags (US + NSE) M-004 | Is a stock's option implied volatility rich, cheap or event-distorted right now? | Passed with conditions or for limited use | FIT FOR LIMITED USE — US vol branches only; NOT VALIDATED on NSE | Production | 3 Sep 2026 |
| Option Lens Suite V/E/S/T/F/X M-006 | Are a stock's options pricing more volatility than the stock is forecast to deliver? | Passed with conditions or for limited use | FIT FOR LIMITED USE — V and T as rankers; NOT VALIDATED for E/S/F and for threshold levels | Production | 3 Sep 2026 |
| Wing pricing — SHAPE × VOL M-007 | Do stocks make 2-standard-deviation moves more often than far out-of-the-money options price in? | Passed with conditions or for limited use | FIT FOR LIMITED USE | Production | 13 Aug 2026 |
| Daily Picks — Two-Track Screen M-011 | Can a daily screen pick stocks that touch +10% within 10 sessions more often than chance? | Passed with conditions or for limited use | FIT FOR LIMITED USE | Production | 3 Sep 2026 |
| High/Low Retest Strength M-012 | When a stock retests a prior high or low, how often does the level break within 10 sessions? | Passed with conditions or for limited use | FIT FOR LIMITED USE | Production | 3 Sep 2026 |
| Pre-open Gap Board M-013 | Do stocks that gap down 3–8% in an uptrend recover, and do big gap-ups fade? | Passed with conditions or for limited use | FIT FOR LIMITED USE | Production | 3 Sep 2026 |
| Realized-Volatility Forecaster M-019 | Which method best forecasts a stock's realised volatility over 5, 21 and 63 trading days? | Passed with conditions or for limited use | FIT WITH CONDITIONS | Production | 4 Sep 2026 |
| Swing Excess-Return Ranker M-022 | Can a model rank which liquid US stocks beat the rest over the next 21 sessions? | Passed with conditions or for limited use | FIT WITH CONDITIONS (US ranked candidate list; unchanged from v1) | Research | 17 Sep 2026 |
| Regime Model — P(risk-off, 21 sessions) M-025 | What are the odds the US market turns risk-off within 21 sessions? | Passed with conditions or for limited use | FIT WITH CONDITIONS | Context only | 16 Oct 2026 |
| Earnings-Move and IV-Crush Model (US) M-026 | How big will a US stock's earnings-day move be, compared with what options imply? | Passed with conditions or for limited use | FIT WITH CONDITIONS | Research | 19 Oct 2026 |
| Swing Setup Score M-014 | Does a 0–100 swing setup score predict which stocks rise over the next 10 sessions? | Failed | NOT RELIABLE | Retired | 3 Sep 2026 |
| Chart Pattern Scanner M-015 | Do classic chart patterns such as flags, triangles and cups beat matched controls? | Failed | NOT RELIABLE | Context only | 3 Sep 2026 |
| Candlestick Pattern Scanner M-016 | Do candlestick patterns such as the hammer predict returns against matched controls? | Failed | NOT RELIABLE | Context only | 3 Sep 2026 |
| Moving-Average Support/Resistance Episodes M-017 | Do moving-average stacks and support or resistance tests predict trend continuation? | Failed | NOT RELIABLE | Retired | 3 Sep 2026 |
| Crash-Odds Model M-020 | Can price and volume data predict a 40% crash within 12 months? | Failed | NOT RELIABLE | Retired | 4 Sep 2026 |
| Swing Target Odds Model M-021 | Can any stock ranking make a +5% target, 1.5×ATR stop swing plan profitable? | Failed | NOT FIT | Retired | 8 Sep 2026 |
| Next-Day Upside Ranker M-023 | Can a model pick the US stocks that gain most overnight, from close to next open? | Failed | NOT FIT (Use A: closing-auction buy / next-open sell; Use B: '+3–10% tomorrow' picker) | Research | 6 Oct 2026 |
| US 12-month Sector-Routed Ranker M-027 | Can ranking US stocks within their sector beat 12-1 momentum over 12 months? | Failed | NOT FIT | Research | 19 Oct 2026 |
| Country Relative-Return Ranker (22 markets) M-028 | Can any rule predict which of 22 stock markets will beat the world next quarter? | Failed | NOT FIT | Research | 19 Oct 2026 |
| Intraday Trade Ranker M-030 | Which liquid US stocks to day-trade after the first hour: ranked at 10:30 ET, long/short, exit at the close. Shadow only. | Failed | NOT FIT (D1h/D1/D0 direction rankers) | Research | 4 Nov 2026 |
| Options Picks structure selector M-005 | Which option structure, expiry and strikes express a volatility view, and what does it cost? | Not yet validated | NOT VALIDATED (structure, direction, strikes) — FIT FOR LIMITED USE (vol-regime legs only) | Production | 3 Sep 2026 |
| Strategy Board — 24 structures × 4 expiry rungs M-008 | Which multi-leg option structures are priced away from what the stock's own moves deliver? | Not yet validated | NOT VALIDATED | Research | 30 Aug 2026 |
| Dealer gamma / OI positioning (GEX) M-010 | Does dealer gamma positioning show whether market makers will dampen or amplify a move? | Not yet validated | NOT VALIDATED | Production | 15 Aug 2026 |
| Volume Climax Base Rates M-018 | What happens after a stock prints record trading volume? | Not yet validated | NOT VALIDATED | Context only | 3 Sep 2026 |
| Bottleneck Beneficiaries (AI build-out) M-024 | Which US companies are positioned to be paid by the AI build-out's bottlenecks? | Not yet validated | NOT VALIDATED — pending | Shadow | 8 Oct 2026 |
| FX Trend chip (SMA 50/200 state) M-029 | Is each FX pair in an up, down or mixed trend — and does an 'up' chip carry the disclosed fade reading (strengthened currencies give back? | Not yet validated | NOT VALIDATED — fade claim unreproduced; pre-registered DXY re-test NULL | Context only | n/a |
The hub also reviews 10 tools (data pipelines, calculators and reports) that make no forecast and are not rated; they are listed in the live Model Hub.