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South Bow CorpSOBO.TOCompetitor analysis, valuation and peers

Canada · CAD·Energy›Oil & Gas Pipelines

Canadian liquids pipeline company spun off from TC Energy, owning the Keystone Pipeline system that moves crude oil from Canada to US refineries.

≈ Canada's dedicated liquids-pipeline peer to Plains All AmericanMomentum weak 33
Mkt cap
$6.54B
US dollars, full cap
Free float
100%
of shares outstanding
$/day
$22.8M
20-day average traded
Fwd P/E
16.5×
forward earnings
ROIC−WACC
-3.1 pp
WACC 6.5%
Hurdle
+40 pp
Req g minus delivered
Next earnings
125 days
11 Mar 2027
Close · CADC$43.91
1D-0.9%
1W-12.7%
1M-7.7%
3M-11.6%
6M-8.4%
YTD+16.3%
1Y+21.4%
ATR %2.8%
52w lowhigh20.0% off high

What South Bow does

Canadian liquids pipeline company spun off from TC Energy, owning the Keystone Pipeline system that moves crude oil from Canada to US refineries.

Under long-term take-or-pay contracts, shippers pay for pipeline capacity whether or not they fill it, so income comes from fixed per-barrel fees rather than the oil price. Keystone carries most of that income, with the terminals around Hardisty, Alberta, adding storage and marketing fees.

In one line: Canada's dedicated liquids-pipeline peer to Plains All American.

Products and services

  • Keystone Pipeline crude oil transportation
  • Liquids storage/terminals

Customers

  • Canadian oil sands producers
  • US Gulf Coast/Midwest refiners

Where it sits in the supply chain

  • Midstream energy
  • Crude oil pipeline transportation
  • Long-haul liquids pipeline (Keystone…

What could go right

  • Oil sands production growth driving pipeline utilisation
  • Long-term contracted tariff escalation

What could go wrong

  • Pipeline spill/regulatory risk
  • Oil sands production growth dependency

Moat: wide (regulatory licence, installed base). Owns the irreplaceable, long-haul Keystone pipeline corridor with long-term take-or-pay shipper contracts.

Headquarters: Calgary, Canada · Founded: 2024 · Employees: 536

Named competitors

South Bow at a glance

Size South Bow (SOBO.TO) is a Canada Energy company (Oil & Gas Pipelines) with a market value of $6.54B, the 99th largest of 420 Canada companies the cockpit tracks. Shares closed at C$43.91 on 6 Nov 2026.

Performance Over six months the shares fell 8.4%, against -8.4% for the median peer and +5.2% for the Canada market (cap-weighted) — 6th highest of 12 in its peer set.

Growth Revenue fell 25.8% over the last twelve months (peer median +10.5%); the operating margin is 23.9% (peer median 15.4%).

Valuation It trades at 16.5× forward earnings against a peer median of 14.3× (4th most expensive of 11).

Price implies For today's price to make sense, revenue must grow about 14% a year for seven years (Req g). Recent delivered growth is -26%, so the hurdle is +40 pp: the price needs faster growth than the company has been delivering — of companies that just grew 25–50% a year, 93.8% slowed down over the next four years.

Capital Return on invested capital runs 3.1 points below its cost of capital (6.5% WACC).

Backlog Backlog (remaining performance obligations) was $6.10B at 31 Dec 2025, flat on a year earlier — 3.1 years of trailing revenue. Backlog detail →

Next results Next results expected around 11 Mar 2027 (exchange calendar; dates can move).

Relative performance

9010011011 May 202611 Aug 20266 Nov 2026SOBO.TO 92Peer median 91
Six months, rebased to 100: South Bow against the median of its 11 peers (local-currency closes).

South Bow financials

Reported figures in CAD; fiscal year ends 2025-12-31. TTM = trailing twelve months.
TTMFY2025FY2024FY2023
RevenueC$2.11BC$2.21BC$2.90BC$2.71B
Revenue growth—-24%+7%—
Gross profitC$490MC$425MC$1.04BC$945M
EBITDAC$828MC$781MC$1.36BC$1.27B
Net incomeC$602MC$605MC$433MC$597M
Free cash flowC$942MC$753MC$558MC$1.00B
Capital expenditureC$218MC$249MC$167MC$49.9M
Total debtC$8.14BC$7.94BC$8.25BC$7.88B

Quarterly statements and history in the cockpit →

South Bow competitor charts

The default views of Competitor Analysis ▸ Charts, drawn from the same data. Open them in the cockpit to change the axes, pin companies and read every value.

Performance: 6-month against 1-month return

-20%-10%0%+10%-10%-5%KNTKPAGPAMGLNGKEYDTMDKLWESPAARGSINGLSOBO.TO6-month return →1-month return →
Up and to the right = strong over both horizons. South Bow is the large dot.

Fundamentals: revenue growth against valuation

-20%0%+20%10×15×20×25×KNTKPAGPAMKEYDTMDKLWESPAARGSINGLSOBO.TORevenue growth (TTM) →Forward P/E →
Further right = faster growth; higher = more expensive. The dashed lines are the peer medians. South Bow is the large dot.

Capital: growth delivered against growth the price implies

-25%0%+25%+50%0%50%KNTKPAGPAMDTMPAARGSINGLSOBO.TOGrowth delivered (Del g) →Growth the price implies (Req g, 7 yrs) →
Above the diagonal = the price needs more growth than the company has been delivering; below = the price already allows for a slowdown. South Bow is the large dot.

South Bow competitors and peer comparison

Head to head with its named competitors (SOBO.TO vs ENB.TO vs PAA vs TRP.TO)
CompanyMarket cap6M returnRevenue growthOp. marginForward P/EReq g
South Bow SOBO.TO$6.54B-8%-26%24%16.5×13.9%
Enbridge ENB.TO$107B-10%+29%13%22.1×12.6%
Plains All American Pipeline, L.P PAA$16.9B+10%+9%3%13.9×6.5%
TC Energy TRP.TO$65.1B-1%+6%46%23.0×11.4%

How South Bow compares with its peers

Peer set: Industry: the same industry and sector in any market, nearest in size. This is the same default set the interactive Competitor Analysis opens with.

South Bow against its 11 peers (data as of 6 Nov 2026)
MeasureSOBO.TOPeer medianRank in peer set
1-month return-7.7%-8.2%6th highest of 12
6-month return-8.4%-8.4%6th highest of 12
Distance from 52-week high-20.0%-20.4%6th highest of 12
Revenue growth (TTM)-25.8%+10.5%lowest of 12
Operating margin23.9%15.4%6th highest of 12
Forward P/E16.5×14.3×4th most expensive of 11
Growth the price implies (Req g, 7 yrs)13.9%3.2%2nd most demanding of 10
Growth delivered (Del g)-25.8%+12.2%lowest of 10
Hurdle (Req g minus delivered)+39.7 pp-5.4 ppmost demanding of 10
ROIC minus cost of capital-3.1 pp-1.3 pp2nd lowest of 12
EV / EBITDA19.6×15.6×3rd most expensive of 10
Net debt / EBITDA8.6×3.6×most indebted of 12

Peer table

Peer set: Industry: the same industry and sector in any market, nearest in size
CompanyMarketMarket cap6M returnRevenue growthOp. marginForward P/EReq gDelivered g
South Bow SOBO.TOCanada$6.54B-8%-26%24%16.5×13.9%-25.8%
Kinetik KNTKUnited States$7.92B+3%+10%9%25.1×33.0%+63.6%
Plains GP Holdings LP PAGPUnited States$5.10B+11%+9%3%14.7×2.6%+13.4%
Antero Midstream AMUnited States$8.97B-9%+8%55%15.1×2.5%+5.3%
Golar LNG GLNGUnited States$4.40B-23%+95%46%n/an/an/a
Keyera KEY.TOCanada$10.6B0%0%11%17.4×n/an/a
DT Midstream DTMUnited States$11.6B-20%+13%50%23.5×12.4%+10.5%
Delek Logistics Partners LP DKLUnited States$2.99B+1%+30%15%11.8×13.0%+12.2%
Western Midstream Partners, LP WESUnited States$16.5B-8%+18%39%9.9×3.2%+8.6%
Plains All American Pipeline, L.P PAAUnited States$16.9B+10%+9%3%13.9×6.5%+13.4%
Rockpoint Gas Storage RGSI.TOCanada$2.26B-16%+15%75%8.7×-3.8%+21.7%
NGL Energy Partners LP NGLUnited States$1.87B-8%-22%12%11.9×1.2%-9.6%

South Bow backlog

South Bow reported $6.10B of remaining performance obligations at 31 Dec 2025, flat from a year earlier. That is 3.1 years of trailing revenue already under contract.

Questions

Who are South Bow's main competitors?
Named competitors: Enbridge (ENB.TO), Plains All American Pipeline (PAA), TC Energy (TRP.TO). The cockpit's measured peer set (industry) also includes Kinetik (KNTK), Plains GP Holdings LP (PAGP), Antero Midstream (AM), Golar LNG (GLNG), Keyera (KEY.TO), DT Midstream (DTM).
Is South Bow expensive compared with its peers?
On forward p/e it trades at 16.5× against a peer median of 14.3×, 4th most expensive of 11 in its peer set. For today's price to make sense, revenue must grow about 14% a year for seven years (Req g). Recent delivered growth is -26%, so the hurdle is +40 pp: the price needs faster growth than the company has been delivering — of companies that just grew 25–50% a year, 93.8% slowed down over the next four years.
How has South Bow stock performed?
Over six months to 6 Nov 2026 the shares returned -8.4% against -8.4% for the median peer; over one year +21.4%.
What is South Bow's backlog?
South Bow's remaining performance obligations (contracted revenue not yet recognised) were $6.10B at 31 Dec 2025, 0% on a year earlier.

How these numbers are made. Returns are close-to-close in local currency. Revenue growth and margins are trailing twelve months. Req g is the revenue growth that today's enterprise value requires for seven years at the company's own cost of capital; Delivered g is what it actually grew; the gap is the hurdle (honest precision about ±8 points, so read the ranking more than the decimal). No fair values, price targets or analyst ratings are shown, by design. Method and validation.