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Expand EnergyEXECompetitor analysis, valuation and peers

United States · USD·Energy›Integrated Oil

Largest independent US natural gas producer, formed from Chesapeake Energy's merger with Southwestern Energy.

Momentum weak 34
Mkt cap
$19.5B
US dollars, full cap
Free float
99%
of shares outstanding
$/day
$326M
20-day average traded
Fwd P/E
10.8×
forward earnings
ROIC−WACC
+2.1 pp
WACC 6.5%
Hurdle
-28 pp
Req g minus delivered
Official | Implied
BBB- / BBB
agencies · bond market
Next earnings
117 days
3 Mar 2027
Close · USD$84.60
1D-0.9%
1W-6.6%
1M-4.8%
3M-13.3%
6M-11.3%
YTD-22.5%
1Y-21.9%
ATR %3.1%
Beta-0.09
52w lowhigh32.4% off high

What Expand Energy does

Largest independent US natural gas producer, formed from Chesapeake Energy's merger with Southwestern Energy.

Sells natural gas, plus some oil and natural-gas liquids, at market-based prices, so revenue follows gas prices unless protected by hedges. Appalachia is the lower-cost base, while the Haynesville in Louisiana and East Texas sits nearer Gulf Coast LNG plants. Chesapeake emerged from bankruptcy in 2021 and renamed itself Expand Energy after buying Southwestern in 2024.

Products and services

  • Appalachia (Marcellus/Utica) gas
  • Haynesville shale gas
  • NGLs

Customers

  • Utilities
  • LNG exporters
  • Industrial gas buyers

Where it sits in the supply chain

  • Energy
  • Upstream natural gas
  • Shale gas (Appalachia, Haynesville)

What could go right

  • US LNG export demand growth
  • Natural gas price recovery

What could go wrong

  • Natural gas price volatility
  • Regional pipeline/takeaway constraints

Moat: narrow (scale, cost advantage). Scale from the Chesapeake-Southwestern merger gives low-cost gas inventory near LNG export demand.

Headquarters: Oklahoma City, Oklahoma, US · Founded: 2024 · Employees: 1,600

Named competitors

Expand Energy at a glance

Size Expand Energy (EXE) is a United States Energy company (Integrated Oil) with a market value of $19.5B, the 503rd largest of 3,117 United States companies the cockpit tracks. Shares closed at $84.60 on 6 Nov 2026.

Performance Over six months the shares fell 11.3%, against -0.1% for the median peer and -1.1% for the United States market (cap-weighted) — 4th lowest of 21 in its peer set.

Growth Revenue grew 19.6% over the last twelve months (peer median +13.4%); the operating margin is 20.3% (peer median 28.9%).

Valuation It trades at 10.8× forward earnings against a peer median of 7.4× (3rd most expensive of 21).

Price implies For today's price to make sense, revenue must grow about -8% a year for seven years (Req g). Recent delivered growth is +20%, so the hurdle is -28 pp: the price already allows for a slowdown.

Capital Return on invested capital runs 2.1 points above its cost of capital (6.5% WACC).

Credit Expand Energy has 3 bonds outstanding ($2.99B), rated BBB- by the agencies and trading like BBB at a weighted spread of 104 bp.

Short interest Short interest is 4.8% of the free float (15 Oct 2026).

Next results Next results expected around 3 Mar 2027 (exchange calendar; dates can move).

Relative performance

9010011011 May 202611 Aug 20266 Nov 2026Peer median 99EXE 88
Six months, rebased to 100: Expand Energy against the median of its 20 peers (local-currency closes).

Expand Energy financials

Reported figures in USD; fiscal year ends 2025-12-31. TTM = trailing twelve months.
TTMFY2025FY2024FY2023FY2022
Revenue$12.9B$11.6B$4.25B$6.04B$14.1B
Revenue growth—+174%-30%-57%—
Gross profit$6.32B$5.42B-$242M$609M$6.36B
EBITDA$5.56B$5.02B$969M$1.99B$7.92B
Net income$2.75B$1.82B-$714M$2.42B$4.94B
Free cash flow$2.46B$1.63B-$3.00M$551M$2.30B
Capital expenditure$3.17B$2.93B$1.56B$1.83B$1.82B
Total debt$4.67B$5.06B$5.75B$2.11B$3.18B

Quarterly statements and history in the cockpit →

Expand Energy competitor charts

The default views of Competitor Analysis ▸ Charts, drawn from the same data. Open them in the cockpit to change the axes, pin companies and read every value.

Performance: 6-month against 1-month return

-10%0%+10%+20%-20%-10%0%PRYPFAKRBPIOCOVVAPA1605WCPVARONGCEQTECREPDVNCVEOILCHRDSMEXE6-month return →1-month return →
Up and to the right = strong over both horizons. Expand Energy is the large dot.

Fundamentals: revenue growth against valuation

0%+20%+40%+60%+80%5×10×15×PRYPFAKRBPIOCOVVAPA1605WCPVARONGCEQTECREPDVNCHRDSMNFGOXYEXERevenue growth (TTM) →Forward P/E →
Further right = faster growth; higher = more expensive. The dashed lines are the peer medians. Expand Energy is the large dot.

Capital: growth delivered against growth the price implies

-20%0%+20%+40%-20%0%20%40%PRAKRBPIOCOVVAPA1605WCPVAREQTECREPDVNCHRDOXYEXEGrowth delivered (Del g) →Growth the price implies (Req g, 7 yrs) →
Above the diagonal = the price needs more growth than the company has been delivering; below = the price already allows for a slowdown. Expand Energy is the large dot.

Expand Energy competitors and peer comparison

Head to head with its named competitors (EXE vs EQT vs AR vs RRC)
CompanyMarket cap6M returnRevenue growthOp. marginForward P/EReq g
Expand Energy EXE$19.5B-11%+20%20%10.8×-7.6%
EQT EQT$30.9B-12%+18%42%16.0×-1.9%
Antero Resources AR$11.1B0%+22%23%7.8×-4.1%
Range Resources RRC$11.4B+20%+18%33%12.1×-1.7%

How Expand Energy compares with its peers

Peer set: Industry: the same industry and sector in any market, nearest in size. This is the same default set the interactive Competitor Analysis opens with.

Expand Energy against its 20 peers (data as of 6 Nov 2026)
MeasureEXEPeer medianRank in peer set
1-month return-4.8%-6.3%9th highest of 21
6-month return-11.3%-0.1%4th lowest of 21
Distance from 52-week high-32.4%-18.9%2nd lowest of 21
Revenue growth (TTM)+19.6%+13.4%7th highest of 21
Operating margin20.3%28.9%5th lowest of 21
Forward P/E10.8×7.4×3rd most expensive of 21
Growth the price implies (Req g, 7 yrs)-7.6%-10.9%10th most demanding of 20
Growth delivered (Del g)+20.3%+21.1%10th lowest of 20
Hurdle (Req g minus delivered)-27.9 pp-30.6 pp9th most demanding of 20
ROIC minus cost of capital+2.1 pp+4.9 pp5th lowest of 21
EV / EBITDA4.3×4.1×8th most expensive of 21
Net debt / EBITDA0.8×0.8×11th least indebted of 21
Bond spread104 bp100 bp5th widest of 11

Peer table

Peer set: Industry: the same industry and sector in any market, nearest in size
CompanyMarketMarket cap6M returnRevenue growthOp. marginForward P/EReq gDelivered g
Expand Energy EXEUnited States$19.5B-11%+20%20%10.8×-7.6%+20.3%
Permian Resources PRUnited States$18.2B+10%+13%36%8.1×-2.0%+54.2%
YPF SA Sponsored ADR YPFUnited States$17.8B-9%-14%22%4.9×n/an/a
Aker BP AKRBP.OLNorway$21.6B-8%+4%70%7.8×-15.4%+32.7%
Indian Oil IOC.NSIndia$21.9B0%+23%7%20.8×-2.3%+16.4%
Ovintiv OVVUnited States$16.3B+5%+14%29%7.1×-10.9%+9.4%
APA APAUnited States$15.6B+26%-12%41%7.5×-20.0%+15.0%
Inpex 1605.TJapan$25.9B-16%-8%49%7.4×-14.4%+21.1%
Whitecap Resources WCP.TOCanada$14.4B+6%+73%38%8.8×-7.1%+44.8%
Var Energi VAR.OLNorway$13.3B+7%+48%55%6.9×-19.6%+26.6%
Oil & Natural Gas ONGC.NSIndia$30.8B-18%+7%9%5.6×-12.6%+14.9%
EQT EQTUnited States$30.9B-12%+18%42%16.0×-1.9%+25.7%
Ecopetrol SA Sponsored ADR ECUnited States$32.6B+23%+6%22%6.5×-6.7%+15.9%
Repsol REP.MCSpain$36.2B+34%+24%13%4.7×-20.1%+10.5%
Devon Energy DVNUnited States$46.4B-7%+18%24%7.6×0.9%+31.5%
Cenovus Energy CVE.TOCanada$50.2B0%+12%21%6.7×-14.4%+29.7%
Oil India OIL.NSIndia$7.60B-2%+20%29%7.7×-1.1%+13.7%
Chord Energy CHRDUnited States$7.47B0%+19%19%6.3×-13.4%+38.6%
SM Energy SMUnited States$7.12B+2%+100%38%3.5×-13.6%+22.9%
National Fuel Gas NFGUnited States$6.98B-8%+13%37%10.2×-6.2%+9.1%
Occidental Petroleum OXYUnited States$56.4B+7%-11%23%9.1×-2.5%+4.7%

Expand Energy bonds and credit

Expand Energy has 3 bonds outstanding with $2.99B face value. The agencies rate it BBB-; its bonds trade like BBB. Weighted yield 5.61%, a spread of 104 bp over government bonds.

Every bond, yield and spread in the cockpit →

Questions

Who are Expand Energy's main competitors?
Named competitors: EQT Corporation (EQT), Antero Resources (AR), Coterra Energy (private or unlisted), Range Resources (RRC). The cockpit's measured peer set (industry) also includes Permian Resources (PR), YPF SA Sponsored ADR (YPF), Aker BP (AKRBP.OL), Indian Oil (IOC.NS), Ovintiv (OVV), APA (APA).
Is Expand Energy expensive compared with its peers?
On forward p/e it trades at 10.8× against a peer median of 7.4×, 3rd most expensive of 21 in its peer set. For today's price to make sense, revenue must grow about -8% a year for seven years (Req g). Recent delivered growth is +20%, so the hurdle is -28 pp: the price already allows for a slowdown.
How has Expand Energy stock performed?
Over six months to 6 Nov 2026 the shares returned -11.3% against -0.1% for the median peer; over one year -21.9%.

How these numbers are made. Returns are close-to-close in local currency. Revenue growth and margins are trailing twelve months. Req g is the revenue growth that today's enterprise value requires for seven years at the company's own cost of capital; Delivered g is what it actually grew; the gap is the hurdle (honest precision about ±8 points, so read the ranking more than the decimal). No fair values, price targets or analyst ratings are shown, by design. Method and validation.