Loading…
← CockpitCompetitor Analysis › ATH.TO Athabasca Oil CorporationOpen in the cockpit ↗

Athabasca Oil CorporationATH.TOCompetitor analysis, valuation and peers

Canada · CAD·Energy›Integrated Oil

Canadian oil sands producer using thermal (steam-based) extraction, plus light oil assets in Alberta.

≈ An oil sands thermal producerMomentum strong 71
Mkt cap
$3.92B
US dollars, full cap
Free float
98%
of shares outstanding
$/day
$52.0M
20-day average traded
Fwd P/E
13.7×
forward earnings
ROIC−WACC
+9.5 pp
WACC 5.9%
Hurdle
-29 pp
Req g minus delivered
Next earnings
118 days
4 Mar 2027
Close · CADC$11.45
1D+0.1%
1W-4.6%
1M-6.7%
3M+15.5%
6M+1.1%
YTD+62.9%
1Y+61.7%
ATR %1.9%
52w lowhigh11.0% off high

What Athabasca Oil does

Canadian oil sands producer using thermal (steam-based) extraction, plus light oil assets in Alberta.

Produces oil by injecting steam underground, so the natural gas used to make steam is a major cost and the discount of heavy crude to light crude matters. Light oil from its Alberta assets adds a second stream. It sells at market prices through pipelines, so returns depend on oil prices and the cost of steam.

In one line: An oil sands thermal producer.

Products and services

  • Thermal oil sands (SAGD) production
  • Light oil (Montney) production

Customers

  • Oil refiners/marketers (via pipeline)

Where it sits in the supply chain

  • Energy exploration & production
  • Oil sands thermal (SAGD) production
  • Light oil production

What could go right

  • Oil price strength/heavy-light differential narrowing
  • Thermal production growth

What could go wrong

  • Oil price volatility
  • Heavy oil price differential/egress risk

Moat: none. Commodity oil sands producer without a structural cost or scale advantage over larger integrated oil sands operators.

Headquarters: Calgary, Canada · Founded: 1998 · Employees: 187

Named competitors

Athabasca Oil at a glance

Size Athabasca Oil (ATH.TO) is a Canada Energy company (Integrated Oil) with a market value of $3.92B, the 137th largest of 420 Canada companies the cockpit tracks. Shares closed at C$11.45 on 6 Nov 2026.

Performance Over six months the shares gained 1.1%, against -8.2% for the median peer and +5.2% for the Canada market (cap-weighted) — 4th highest of 21 in its peer set.

Growth Revenue grew 2.5% over the last twelve months (peer median +12.2%); the operating margin is 31.2% (peer median 29.2%).

Valuation It trades at 13.7× forward earnings against a peer median of 9.7× (most expensive of 20).

Price implies For today's price to make sense, revenue must grow about -5% a year for seven years (Req g). Recent delivered growth is +23%, so the hurdle is -29 pp: the price already allows for a slowdown.

Capital Return on invested capital runs 9.5 points above its cost of capital (5.9% WACC).

Next results Next results expected around 4 Mar 2027 (exchange calendar; dates can move).

Relative performance

9010011011 May 202611 Aug 20266 Nov 2026ATH.TO 100Peer median 92
Six months, rebased to 100: Athabasca Oil against the median of its 20 peers (local-currency closes).

Athabasca Oil financials

Reported figures in CAD; fiscal year ends 2025-12-31. TTM = trailing twelve months.
TTMFY2025FY2024FY2023FY2022
RevenueC$1.39BC$1.31BC$1.36BC$1.20BC$1.35B
Revenue growth—-3%+13%-11%—
Gross profitC$507MC$423MC$494MC$295MC$395M
EBITDAC$581MC$509MC$564MC$339MC$477M
Net incomeC$237MC$245MC$468M-C$51.2MC$572M
Free cash flowC$489MC$520MC$558MC$306MC$316M
Capital expenditureC$400MC$323MC$268MC$140MC$147M
Total debtC$213MC$202MC$200MC$186MC$214M

Quarterly statements and history in the cockpit →

Athabasca Oil competitor charts

The default views of Competitor Analysis ▸ Charts, drawn from the same data. Open them in the cockpit to change the axes, pin companies and read every value.

Performance: 6-month against 1-month return

-30%-20%-10%0%-15%-10%-5%0%600777TVECRCPEYPOUCRGYBTEITHSCRHESMMTDR6009686002561662NFGSMDNOCHRDOILHWXATH.TO6-month return →1-month return →
Up and to the right = strong over both horizons. Athabasca Oil is the large dot.

Fundamentals: revenue growth against valuation

0%+50%+100%5×10×TVECRCPEYPOUCRGYBTEITHSCRHESMMTDR6009686002561662SMDNOCHRDOILATH.TORevenue growth (TTM) →Forward P/E →
Further right = faster growth; higher = more expensive. The dashed lines are the peer medians. Athabasca Oil is the large dot.

Capital: growth delivered against growth the price implies

0%+50%+100%0%50%100%600777TVECRCPEYCRGYBTEITHSCRHESMCHRDHWXATH.TOGrowth delivered (Del g) →Growth the price implies (Req g, 7 yrs) →
Above the diagonal = the price needs more growth than the company has been delivering; below = the price already allows for a slowdown. Athabasca Oil is the large dot.

Athabasca Oil competitors and peer comparison

Head to head with its named competitors (ATH.TO vs CVE.TO vs TVE.TO vs SCR.TO)
CompanyMarket cap6M returnRevenue growthOp. marginForward P/EReq g
Athabasca Oil ATH.TO$3.92B+1%+3%31%13.7×-5.3%
Cenovus Energy CVE.TO$50.2B0%+12%21%6.7×-14.4%
Tamarack Valley Energy TVE.TO$3.83B-7%+11%48%10.7×-5.6%
Strathcona Resources SCR.TO$5.56B-14%-9%26%6.5×-2.7%
Canadian Natural Resources CNQ.TO$101B+12%+18%27%10.3×2.8%
Suncor Energy SU.TO$81.0B+12%+27%24%8.6×-11.7%
Imperial Oil IMO.TO$59.5B+3%+19%14%10.5×-0.2%
Obsidian Energy OBE.TO$653M-21%-22%22%4.1×n/a
Baytex Energy BTE.TO$2.95B-11%-8%15%7.5×4.7%

How Athabasca Oil compares with its peers

Peer set: Industry: the same industry and sector in any market, nearest in size. This is the same default set the interactive Competitor Analysis opens with.

Athabasca Oil against its 20 peers (data as of 6 Nov 2026)
MeasureATH.TOPeer medianRank in peer set
1-month return-6.7%-8.2%10th highest of 21
6-month return+1.1%-8.2%4th highest of 21
Distance from 52-week high-11.0%-24.8%highest of 21
Revenue growth (TTM)+2.5%+12.2%9th lowest of 21
Operating margin31.2%29.2%10th highest of 21
Forward P/E13.7×9.7×most expensive of 20
Growth the price implies (Req g, 7 yrs)-5.3%-7.0%6th most demanding of 18
Growth delivered (Del g)+23.4%+14.9%6th highest of 18
Hurdle (Req g minus delivered)-28.7 pp-24.5 pp7th least demanding of 18
ROIC minus cost of capital+9.5 pp+5.6 pp8th highest of 21
EV / EBITDA9.5×4.9×2nd most expensive of 18
Net debt / EBITDA-0.2×0.8×6th least indebted of 18

Peer table

Peer set: Industry: the same industry and sector in any market, nearest in size
CompanyMarketMarket cap6M returnRevenue growthOp. marginForward P/EReq gDelivered g
Athabasca Oil ATH.TOCanada$3.92B+1%+3%31%13.7×-5.3%+23.4%
Shandong Xinchao Energy 600777.SSChina$3.97B-33%-15%13%n/a-10.0%+13.1%
Tamarack Valley Energy TVE.TOCanada$3.83B-7%+11%48%10.7×-5.6%+46.8%
California Resources CRCUnited States$4.15B-20%+12%24%10.9×-8.3%+16.2%
Peyto Exploration & Development PEY.TOCanada$3.54B-5%+26%40%12.6×-2.1%+22.8%
Paramount Resources POU.TOCanada$3.26B+6%-28%10%12.4×n/an/a
Crescent Energy CRGYUnited States$4.74B-10%+34%30%4.1×-9.4%+36.5%
Baytex Energy BTE.TOCanada$2.95B-11%-8%15%7.5×4.7%+12.8%
Ithaca Energy ITH.LUnited Kingdom$5.52B-9%+28%41%12.1×-7.0%+1.4%
Strathcona Resources SCR.TOCanada$5.56B-14%-9%26%6.5×-2.7%+95.6%
Hess Midstream LP HESMUnited States$6.18B-22%-1%63%10.3×-16.3%+8.2%
Matador Resources MTDRUnited States$6.24B-9%+13%39%5.0×n/an/a
CNOOC Energy Technology & Services 600968.SSChina$6.25B-7%-1%9%9.7×-14.2%+8.7%
Guanghui Energy 600256.SSChina$6.47B0%-5%18%10.1×-11.4%+14.9%
Japan Petroleum Exploration 1662.TJapan$2.36B-36%-16%9%5.1×-5.6%+7.2%
National Fuel Gas NFGUnited States$6.98B-8%+13%37%10.2×-6.2%+9.1%
SM Energy SMUnited States$7.12B+2%+100%38%3.5×-13.6%+22.9%
DNO DNO.OLNorway$2.13B+6%+128%48%5.9×n/an/a
Chord Energy CHRDUnited States$7.47B0%+19%19%6.3×-13.4%+38.6%
Oil India OIL.NSIndia$7.60B-2%+20%29%7.7×-1.1%+13.7%
Headwater Exploration HWX.TOCanada$1.95B-10%+13%44%9.9×3.0%+125.4%

Questions

Who are Athabasca Oil's main competitors?
Named competitors: Cenovus Energy (CVE.TO), MEG Energy (private or unlisted), Tamarack Valley Energy (TVE.TO), Strathcona Resources (SCR.TO), Canadian Natural Resources (CNQ.TO), Suncor Energy (SU.TO). The cockpit's measured peer set (industry) also includes Shandong Xinchao Energy (600777.SS), Tamarack Valley Energy (TVE.TO), California Resources (CRC), Peyto Exploration & Development (PEY.TO), Paramount Resources (POU.TO), Crescent Energy (CRGY).
Is Athabasca Oil expensive compared with its peers?
On forward p/e it trades at 13.7× against a peer median of 9.7×, most expensive of 20 in its peer set. For today's price to make sense, revenue must grow about -5% a year for seven years (Req g). Recent delivered growth is +23%, so the hurdle is -29 pp: the price already allows for a slowdown.
How has Athabasca Oil stock performed?
Over six months to 6 Nov 2026 the shares returned +1.1% against -8.2% for the median peer; over one year +61.7%.

How these numbers are made. Returns are close-to-close in local currency. Revenue growth and margins are trailing twelve months. Req g is the revenue growth that today's enterprise value requires for seven years at the company's own cost of capital; Delivered g is what it actually grew; the gap is the hurdle (honest precision about ±8 points, so read the ranking more than the decimal). No fair values, price targets or analyst ratings are shown, by design. Method and validation.