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Tokai Corp.9729.TCompetitor analysis, valuation and peers

Japan · JPY·Health Care›Services to the Health Industry
Momentum strong 78
Mkt cap
$553M
US dollars, full cap
Free float
52%
of shares outstanding
$/day
$1.13M
20-day average traded
Fwd P/E
12.4×
forward earnings
ROIC−WACC
+5.4 pp
WACC 5.0%
Hurdle
-19 pp
Req g minus delivered
Next earnings
6 days
12 Nov 2026
Close · JPY¥2,695
1D-6.3%
1W-3.9%
1M+5.5%
3M+12.3%
6M+2.7%
YTD+7.3%
1Y+22.8%
ATR %3.4%
52w lowhigh9.9% off high

What Tokai does

Employees: 4,694

Tokai at a glance

Size Tokai (9729.T) is a Japan Health Care company (Services to the Health Industry) with a market value of $553M, the 1012th largest of 1,379 Japan companies the cockpit tracks. Shares closed at ¥2,695 on 6 Nov 2026.

Performance Over six months the shares gained 2.7%, against +36.4% for the median peer and +1.8% for the Japan market (cap-weighted) — 2nd lowest of 6 in its peer set.

Growth Revenue grew 4.9% over the last twelve months (peer median +9.1%); the operating margin is 6.0% (peer median 11.1%).

Valuation It trades at 12.4× forward earnings against a peer median of 22.0× (cheapest of 6).

Price implies For today's price to make sense, revenue must grow about -13% a year for seven years (Req g). Recent delivered growth is +6%, so the hurdle is -19 pp: the price already allows for a slowdown.

Capital Return on invested capital runs 5.4 points above its cost of capital (5.0% WACC).

Next results Next results expected around 12 Nov 2026 (exchange calendar; dates can move).

Relative performance

10012011 May 202611 Aug 20266 Nov 2026Peer median 1359729.T 104
Six months, rebased to 100: Tokai against the median of its 5 peers (local-currency closes).

Tokai financials

Reported figures in JPY; fiscal year ends 2026-03-31. TTM = trailing twelve months.
TTMFY2025FY2024FY2023FY2022
Revenue¥161B¥160B¥150B¥138B¥130B
Revenue growth—+7%+8%+6%—
Gross profit¥39.5B¥38.8B¥35.4B¥33.6B¥31.9B
EBITDA¥14.6B¥14.5B¥13.3B¥12.8B¥11.9B
Net income¥6.16B¥6.07B¥4.73B¥5.81B¥6.11B
Free cash flown/a¥8.15B¥5.99B-¥372M¥2.94B
Capital expendituren/a¥4.07B¥4.76B¥8.70B¥6.22B
Total debt¥4.70B¥3.48B¥2.63B¥2.35B¥2.87B

Quarterly statements and history in the cockpit →

Tokai competitor charts

The default views of Competitor Analysis ▸ Charts, drawn from the same data. Open them in the cockpit to change the axes, pin companies and read every value.

Performance: 6-month against 1-month return

0%+20%+40%+60%0%+10%+20%+30%NRCASTHATTPMEDGX9729.T6-month return →1-month return →
Up and to the right = strong over both horizons. Tokai is the large dot.

Fundamentals: revenue growth against valuation

0%+20%+40%+60%50×100×NRCASTHATTPMEDGX9729.TRevenue growth (TTM) →Forward P/E →
Further right = faster growth; higher = more expensive. The dashed lines are the peer medians. Tokai is the large dot.

Capital: growth delivered against growth the price implies

0%+20%+40%+60%0%20%40%60%NRCASTHATTPMEDGX9729.TGrowth delivered (Del g) →Growth the price implies (Req g, 7 yrs) →
Above the diagonal = the price needs more growth than the company has been delivering; below = the price already allows for a slowdown. Tokai is the large dot.

Tokai competitors and peer comparison

How Tokai compares with its peers

Peer set: Industry: the same industry and sector in any market, nearest in size. This is the same default set the interactive Competitor Analysis opens with.

Tokai against its 5 peers (data as of 6 Nov 2026)
Measure9729.TPeer medianRank in peer set
1-month return+5.5%+10.8%2nd lowest of 6
6-month return+2.7%+36.4%2nd lowest of 6
Distance from 52-week high-9.9%-5.7%3rd lowest of 6
Revenue growth (TTM)+4.9%+9.1%3rd lowest of 6
Operating margin6.0%11.1%2nd lowest of 6
Forward P/E12.4×22.0×cheapest of 6
Growth the price implies (Req g, 7 yrs)-13.2%11.2%least demanding of 6
Growth delivered (Del g)+6.2%+9.1%3rd lowest of 6
Hurdle (Req g minus delivered)-19.4 pp+3.2 pp2nd least demanding of 6
ROIC minus cost of capital+5.4 pp+2.7 pp3rd highest of 6
EV / EBITDA4.5×14.6×cheapest of 4
Net debt / EBITDA-1.5×3.5×least indebted of 6

Peer table

Peer set: Industry: the same industry and sector in any market, nearest in size
CompanyMarketMarket cap6M returnRevenue growthOp. marginForward P/EReq gDelivered g
Tokai 9729.TJapan$553M+3%+5%6%12.4×-13.2%+6.2%
NRC Health NRCUnited States$572M+38%+3%11%26.1×11.2%+0.6%
Astrana Health ASTHUnited States$1.71B-12%+59%3%19.3×12.8%+35.9%
Attendo ATT.STSweden$1.92B+23%-1%10%17.7×1.7%+9.1%
Pro Medicus PME.AXAustralia$14.8B+63%+23%75%112.9×55.0%+31.0%
Quest Diagnostics DGXUnited States$28.1B+36%+9%15%22.0×6.4%+3.2%

Questions

Which companies are Tokai's closest peers?
The cockpit's peer set: NRC Health (NRC), Astrana Health (ASTH), Attendo (ATT.ST), Pro Medicus (PME.AX), Quest Diagnostics (DGX).
Is Tokai expensive compared with its peers?
On forward p/e it trades at 12.4× against a peer median of 22.0×, cheapest of 6 in its peer set. For today's price to make sense, revenue must grow about -13% a year for seven years (Req g). Recent delivered growth is +6%, so the hurdle is -19 pp: the price already allows for a slowdown.
How has Tokai stock performed?
Over six months to 6 Nov 2026 the shares returned +2.7% against +36.4% for the median peer; over one year +22.8%.

How these numbers are made. Returns are close-to-close in local currency. Revenue growth and margins are trailing twelve months. Req g is the revenue growth that today's enterprise value requires for seven years at the company's own cost of capital; Delivered g is what it actually grew; the gap is the hurdle (honest precision about ±8 points, so read the ranking more than the decimal). No fair values, price targets or analyst ratings are shown, by design. Method and validation.